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Roger Ferguson 7.0
Financial Media
Roger Ferguson 7.0
10/30/2025 1:11:10 PM
yields
The Chair was balanced about inflation risk and weakening labor market, trying to maintain optionality and push back on market expectations for multiple rate cuts. The so-called neutral rate is roughly where we are now.
Given uncertainty and split views at the Fed, few rate cuts are expected soon, yields may rise cautiously as market reassesses pace of easing and stagflation risks.
| 10/28/2025 3:55:04 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.18% | -0.59% |
| 10/15/2025 9:48:44 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.33% | -0.16% |
| 10/9/2025 8:36:27 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.12% | -0.06% |
| 10/2/2025 9:51:20 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.12% |
| 10/1/2025 7:40:01 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.95% |
| 9/26/2025 9:43:54 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.51% | +0.25% |
| 9/25/2025 9:42:20 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.93% | -2.90% |
| 9/12/2025 1:09:47 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +2.70% | +1.35% |
| 9/11/2025 9:43:20 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.37% | +0.37% |
| 9/11/2025 4:21:20 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.18% |
| 9/5/2025 8:42:13 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 9/2/2025 5:53:30 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.92% | +1.96% |
| 9/2/2025 5:00:10 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -3.92% | -1.96% |
| 8/26/2025 5:10:10 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.00% | +2.50% |
| 8/20/2025 6:15:09 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/20/2025 4:19:17 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/15/2025 9:51:48 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.52% | -1.52% |
| 8/14/2025 3:53:08 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.74% | -1.11% |
| 8/7/2025 6:28:51 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.10% | +0.55% |
| 8/6/2025 10:00:41 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.15% | -0.58% |
| 8/6/2025 12:29:47 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.15% | -0.58% |
| 8/4/2025 4:22:01 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.88% | -0.94% |
| 7/21/2025 5:52:01 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.94% | -1.94% |
