Ignore the sentiment vs. hard data disconnect; watch behavior (dip-buying). The rally's fate hinges on one variable: the 10Y yield. Tech's heroic earnings growth narrative is on a collision course with the bond market. If upcoming PCE/CPI data pushes the 10Y to the 4.6-4.8% threshold, it becomes a superior alternative to equities, triggering a rotation. The bond market holds the veto power over this tech-led rally.
explicit
implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Charles Schwab
7.8
Asset Manager $890.00B
Joe Mazzola 9.0
Asset Manager $890.00B
Joe Mazzola 9.0
5/22/2026 7:01:08 PM
yields
If yields start to get into that 4.6 to 4.8 range, that might turn the tables a little bit.
| 5/14/2026 3:30:29 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 5/13/2026 6:00:58 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.62% | +6.93% |
| 5/13/2026 4:07:44 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.62% | +4.62% |
| 5/12/2026 6:01:10 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.17% | +4.75% |
| 5/11/2026 7:00:43 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/1/2026 5:30:10 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.81% | +0.81% |
| 4/29/2026 10:30:10 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 4/22/2026 6:00:26 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.72% | -0.36% |
| 4/17/2026 7:00:31 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +3.76% | +3.76% |
| 4/10/2026 7:01:10 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +3.47% | +3.47% |
| 4/8/2026 7:30:12 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.86% | +0.86% |
| 3/27/2026 10:22:16 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.24% |
| 3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.08% |
| 3/26/2026 6:15:02 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.73% | -2.73% |
| 3/24/2026 3:30:35 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.32% | +0.16% |
| 3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.16% | -1.08% |
| 3/20/2026 4:35:56 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | -0.85% | -0.85% |
| 3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.76% | -1.76% |
| 3/16/2026 6:01:06 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.14% | +3.14% |
| 2/23/2026 7:00:42 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +4.64% | +2.32% |
| 2/18/2026 7:00:31 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +3.26% | +1.63% |
| 2/11/2026 7:35:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 2/11/2026 4:30:22 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 1/30/2026 7:01:03 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.80% | -1.80% |
| 1/23/2026 8:46:35 PM | long term cautious up | 60 days later | +5.39% | +2.69% |
| 1/20/2026 7:01:32 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -0.94% |
| 1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM | long term cautious up | 60 days later | -1.12% | -0.56% |
| 12/31/2025 5:47:14 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.17% | -1.17% |
| 12/23/2025 5:54:44 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.48% | -0.48% |
| 12/17/2025 7:00:01 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.53% | +0.27% |
| 12/15/2025 6:00:31 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.48% | -0.48% |
| 12/11/2025 7:30:17 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.03% | +0.51% |
| 12/5/2025 8:31:08 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -1.34% | -0.67% |
| 12/1/2025 7:17:24 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.03% | +2.03% |
| 11/21/2025 6:00:06 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +1.44% | -0.72% |
| 11/14/2025 6:01:14 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -2.30% | -1.15% |
| 11/11/2025 1:00:57 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.67% | +1.67% |
| 11/5/2025 11:14:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.66% | +0.99% |
| 11/5/2025 6:00:18 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.32% | -1.16% |
| 10/31/2025 5:00:59 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.10% | -0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 5:30:29 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.09% | +3.09% |
| 10/24/2025 8:41:31 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +2.73% | -1.36% |
| 10/24/2025 5:33:04 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.73% | +2.73% |
| 10/23/2025 7:03:38 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.53% | -0.76% |
| 10/21/2025 6:30:23 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.11% | -1.11% |
| 10/20/2025 6:30:14 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.86% | -0.43% |
| 10/16/2025 10:47:56 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.35% | +1.35% |
| 10/14/2025 6:01:25 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.48% | -0.74% |
| 10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.48% | +0.74% |
| 9/30/2025 5:42:26 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -0.68% |
| 9/29/2025 6:30:09 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +0.34% | +0.17% |
| 9/26/2025 6:27:34 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/22/2025 6:00:19 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/18/2025 5:45:03 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.22% | -0.11% |
| 9/17/2025 6:01:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/16/2025 11:52:11 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.64% | -0.82% |
| 9/15/2025 10:13:32 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +3.38% | -1.69% |
| 9/15/2025 6:00:38 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +2.91% | -1.45% |
| 9/12/2025 11:30:07 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +2.70% | -1.35% |
| 9/10/2025 11:30:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/5/2025 11:30:10 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.44% |
| 9/3/2025 11:30:04 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.69% | +0.35% |
| 9/2/2025 8:01:17 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.92% | +1.96% |
| 8/29/2025 11:22:31 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | -3.13% | +3.13% |
| 8/28/2025 11:34:09 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -2.91% | +1.45% |
| 8/25/2025 11:30:06 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.26% | +2.63% |
| 8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/22/2025 11:30:14 PM | short term down | 8 days later | +0.05% | -0.05% |
| 8/21/2025 6:30:30 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.52% | -0.26% |
| 8/13/2025 11:30:57 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.21% | -0.21% |
| 8/8/2025 11:30:04 PM | long term cautious down | 60 days later | -5.20% | +2.60% |
| 8/7/2025 11:35:19 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.82% | +0.91% |
| 7/30/2025 1:54:24 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -3.76% | -3.76% |
| 7/21/2025 11:30:17 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.45% | +0.73% |
| 7/16/2025 11:30:00 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -2.85% | -1.42% |
