Fmr. National Sec. Advisor Bolton on Trump calling for Strait of Hormuz blockade: it "makes sense"

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Fmr. National Sec. Advisor Bolton on Trump calling for Strait of Hormuz blockade: it "makes sense"

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think prices would come down very quickly especially when it looks like it is safe to bring maritime traffic through the Gulf. Simply the fact that the Gulf is open will cause prices to drop dramatically. Bolton argues that securing the Strait of Hormuz and allowing Gulf Arab oil (but not Iranian oil) to flow will quickly increase supply, reversing the war-driven price spike. He references a pre-conflict petroleum surplus.

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Asks for Bolton's take on failed Pakistan talks and Trump's announced blockade.

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Argues true Middle East peace requires regime change in Iran; criticizes Trump for lifting sanctions on Iranian oil shipments, which he says financed Iran's military.

Claims Trump was motivated by fear of rising oil prices, but the move was insignificant and counterproductive.
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Supports a blockade: 'no Gulf Arab oil gets out, no Iranian oil gets out.'

Suggests this would pressure Tehran without attacking Qeshm Island.
Asks if recent events in Iran constitute regime change.

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Dismisses idea of regime change already happening; says regime is fracturing but ceasefire was a mistake.

Claims internal opposition is disorganized but could emerge if regime collapses.
Questions the end goal and durability of the regime.

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States the regime must be replaced; patience is needed. Links Strait of Hormuz control to long-term higher oil prices.

Argues securing the Strait now prevents future closures and subordination of Gulf Arabs.
Asks if negotiating in Pakistan was smart.

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Says ceasefire, not negotiations, gave Iran a card. Immediate goal is to open Strait for Gulf Arab oil, not Iranian oil.
Asks if U.S. forces should be on ground in Iran per his op-ed.

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Advocates neutralizing fortified Iranian islands to secure Strait for maritime transit.

Details threats: anti-ship missiles, fast boats, drones.
Asks timeline for regime change and public patience given midterms and market uncertainty.

Notes even if Strait opens, tempo won't be normal soon.

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Cannot put timeframe; emphasizes cost of not succeeding. Claims if Gulf Arab oil flows, prices would come down very quickly.

Argues simply opening the Gulf will cause prices to drop dramatically; world was awash with petroleum before conflict.
Asks if Iran can denuclearize without regime change.

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No. Regime change is necessary to remove nuclear threat.

Quotes George W. Bush on dangerous weapons and dangerous people.

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