Barry expects the Fed to lose its easing bias at the upcoming meeting, with a rate hike possible early next year. The front end of the curve has repriced sharply, but the long end has not fully repriced to reflect the more hawkish direction. He sees the intermediate sector of the US curve as 20-25 bps too low. Money market fund AUM is likely to remain sticky, as it typically takes the Fed cutting below 2% to see money flow out. He also notes that high-grade corporate debt is becoming a substitute for Treasuries as pension funds are well-funded.

explicit

inferred
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
JPMorgan
9.0
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jay Barry 9.0
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jay Barry 9.0
6/17/2026 1:33:47 AM
ndx
Barry's focus is on rates and the Fed; he does not provide a direct equity view, but a hawkish Fed and higher yields typically pressure growth/tech stocks, suggesting a sideways to cautious tone.
yields
We ultimately think the Fed will have to hike... the intermediate sector of the US curve is probably trading 20 or 25 basis points too low in yield.
Sonders sees a broadening out trade happening with fits and starts, not linearly. She believes there will be continued rotations providing leadership outside mega-cap tech, though a large-cap bias remains. On energy, she cautions that lower oil prices don't represent a significant tailwind for the economy or inflation, as AI-driven pressures are also at play. For the Fed under Warsh, she expects no definitive announcements but will watch for comments on balance sheet, press conference frequency, dot plot, and SEP.
Yields

implicit


implicit
Metals
USD
Charles Schwab
7.8
Asset Manager $890.00B
Liz Ann Sonders 8.5
Asset Manager $890.00B
Liz Ann Sonders 8.5
6/17/2026 1:33:47 AM
ndx
Sonders believes in a broadening trade that will provide leadership outside mega-cap tech, implying the NDX (dominated by mega-caps) may not lead but could still rise cautiously as part of a broader market advance.
rut
Even the Russell 2000 is outperforming the S&P this year by a fairly wide margin.
wti
Sonders cautions that lower oil prices are not a significant tailwind and that the economy proved resilient even at higher prices, suggesting she does not see a strong directional move from current levels.
Hooper believes the FOMC will be far more concerned about inflation than weakening growth. She expects them to eliminate their easing bias and discuss what could trigger a rate hike, potentially as soon as this summer. She sees vulnerabilities in the economy, with the top 10% of consumers responsible for 50% of spending. The equity market has not yet reacted negatively to the possibility of a hike, but multiple headwinds (downward earnings revisions plus a hike) could be problematic. She also sees risks in the AI trade, with investors becoming more discerning about financing.

explicit

implicit

Oil
Metals
USD
Man Group
7.5
Hedge Fund $1500.00B
Christina Hooper 8.0
Hedge Fund $1500.00B
Christina Hooper 8.0
6/17/2026 1:33:47 AM
ndx
Hooper sees vulnerabilities in the AI trade and notes that tech names have powered the market but could experience a significant hiccup, suggesting downside risk for the NDX.
rut
Hooper says there is more risk in a rate hike environment for the broadening trade and small caps, implying a cautious outlook for the Russell 2000.
yields
I think we could easily see a rate hike this summer.
Damodaran values SpaceX at an enterprise value of ~$1.2 trillion, roughly half its current market cap. He describes it as a three-business company (space launch, satellite internet, AI) loosely tied together by space. The AI business is the biggest swing factor, but much is unknown—costs, competition, and business models are still in flux. He argues traditional valuation metrics are almost useless here; investors must tell a story about the future and accept they will be wrong.
Yields

inferred
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
NYU Stern School of Business
6.0
Business School
Aswath Damodaran 9.0
Business School
Aswath Damodaran 9.0
6/17/2026 1:33:47 AM
ndx
Damodaran highlights extreme uncertainty in AI business models and costs, which are central to many NDX components, suggesting near-term volatility.
Merrill focuses on demand-driven asset classes like student housing, senior housing, medical properties, and self-storage, which are resilient through cycles. He notes that 15-20% of colleges may go out of business, so they focus on public universities with growing enrollment. On senior housing, 80,000 people turn 80 every month, and supply is not keeping up, creating a significant undersupply in 3-6 years. Higher rates have choked off supply, which helps existing assets. DPI (distributions to paid-in capital) is the new IRR.
Yields
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Harrison Street Asset Management
2.5
Asset Manager
Christopher Merrill 8.5
Asset Manager
Christopher Merrill 8.5
6/17/2026 1:33:47 AM
Reese explains that Roku CEO Anthony Wood got a very favorable deal from Fox, including a board seat and a tax-free structure, with 55% of voting power committed, giving him no reason to walk away. She sees a favorable market for consolidation in streaming, with Netflix likely a contender if the Fox deal falls through. She highlights Roku's ACR data and advertising infrastructure as key assets, and notes that performance marketing is where the industry is heading.
Yields
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Wedbush
5.5
Management Consulting $1.90B
Alicia Reese 7.0
Management Consulting $1.90B
Alicia Reese 7.0
6/17/2026 1:33:47 AM