McCartney sees persistent volatility driven by Fed regime change, narrative ping-pong (chip earnings vs. supply constraints), and geopolitical uncertainty. She expects a coming wave of liquidity from private company exits (IPOs/lock-ups) after years of delayed events, which will create both buying opportunities and market fragility. Clients are using concentrated loans and derivatives to manage illiquid positions ahead of this liquidity event.
Yields

explicit
Oil
Metals
USD
UBS 8.8
Investment Bank $4300.00B
Allie McCartney 8.2
6/27/2026 12:44:31 AM
ndx
We have a ping pong event in narratives... one day micron comes out with extraordinary earnings... the next day Apple says we have parts inflation... the whole market goes down.
15 calls
+5
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
6/15/2026 1:30:53 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +1.26% +0.63%
5/14/2026 1:35:31 AM medium term up 20 days later +4.40% +4.40%
4/14/2026 11:30:19 PM short term up 5 days later +1.47% +1.47%
4/14/2026 11:28:08 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +6.91% -3.45%
3/4/2026 11:08:33 PM short term up 5 days later -0.26% -0.26%
11/24/2025 7:04:12 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +1.30% +0.65%
11/14/2025 1:58:15 PM long term up 60 days later +2.94% +2.94%
11/13/2025 7:13:56 PM long term up 60 days later +2.93% +2.93%
10/29/2025 12:29:21 AM short term up 5 days later -1.16% -1.16%
10/24/2025 10:16:08 PM medium term up 21 days later -3.96% -3.96%
10/22/2025 6:37:14 PM short term up 5 days later +3.64% +3.64%
9/10/2025 1:15:07 PM short term up 5 days later +1.17% +1.17%
8/20/2025 5:59:24 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.65% -0.83%
8/20/2025 10:38:49 AM medium term up 20 days later +3.05% +3.05%
7/31/2025 8:47:19 PM short term up 5 days later +2.42% +2.42%
Show all 15 ndx results
rut
She mentions clients diversifying concentrated positions into Russell (up 20%) and Europe outperforming the US, implying a constructive view on small caps as liquidity flows in.

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