David Woo argues the US-Iran deal is a strategic defeat for America, signaling the end of US hegemony. He sees the AI trade as extremely fragile due to regulatory risks and Chinese commoditization, posing a major threat to the US dollar. He is bullish on gold as a long-term hedge against dollar decline and geopolitical instability, viewing recent weakness as a buying opportunity.

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AI bubble sharp down
Bank of America 8.5
Investment Bank $3040.00B
David Woo 7.5
6/15/2026 9:30:38 PM
dxy
If AI is at risk of becoming commoditized and no longer American, then that is very bearish for the US dollar... the dollar is no longer being going to be seen as being sacred.
4 calls
-1
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
4/17/2026 3:01:43 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -0.11% +0.06%
1/27/2026 1:16:36 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.74% -0.37%
9/17/2025 4:38:45 PM long term cautious down 60 days later +2.30% -1.15%
9/3/2025 5:31:38 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -0.57% +0.85%
Show all 4 dxy results
metals
I think gold actually if you haven't sold I wouldn't be rushing to sell and I'll be looking to basically pick up some... I think this whole AI bubble... gold is going to be trading at $10,000.
7 calls
+47
frequent correct calls with solid market follow-through
2/11/2026 2:09:22 PM medium term up 20 days later +6.75% +6.75%
1/7/2026 1:57:49 PM medium term up 20 days later +30.93% +30.93%
12/9/2025 3:07:36 PM long term up 61 days later +25.27% +25.27%
10/24/2025 9:17:59 PM long term cautious up 60 days later +30.90% +15.45%
9/12/2025 2:50:23 PM short term sharp up 7 days later +2.06% +3.09%
9/4/2025 9:08:44 PM medium term up 20 days later +6.42% +6.42%
9/3/2025 5:31:38 PM short term up 5 days later +1.66% +1.66%
Show all 7 metals results
ndx
I think if this AI bubble were to burst the dollars toast... I think if NASDAQ is down 20% before your end... the AI trade is going to be over.
4 calls
-4
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
6/4/2026 2:28:36 AM short term up 5 days later -1.55% -1.55%
3/19/2026 6:22:02 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.11% -0.55%
10/28/2025 3:42:05 PM long term up 61 days later -2.28% -2.28%
9/3/2025 5:31:38 PM short term up 5 days later +0.88% +0.88%
Show all 4 ndx results
wti
I am not yet sure that oil price is going much lower... I think this deal is not over yet.
7 calls
-22
consistently off direction or weak follow-through
3/19/2026 6:22:02 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -8.14% -12.21%
3/16/2026 5:06:11 PM short term sharp up 6 days later -8.40% -12.60%
2/11/2026 2:09:22 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +18.81% -9.40%
12/9/2025 3:07:36 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.87% +0.44%
10/24/2025 9:17:59 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -0.42% -0.21%
10/6/2025 2:28:34 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -3.50% +1.75%
9/15/2025 10:19:56 PM short term cautious up 6 days later -2.91% -1.46%
Show all 7 wti results
yields
Woo expects the bond market to trail oil lower, but the deal is uncertain. He also expects Walsh to be hawkish initially, which would put upward pressure on yields, creating a sideways/directionless outcome in the near term.

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