Bitcoin's near-term trajectory is driven by macro factors (geopolitics, central bank rates) rather than crypto-specific fundamentals. Recent weakness reflects institutional rotation into AI and metals, plus deleveraging. Regulatory clarity (Clarity Act) could trigger a strong rally if passed, with Galaxy Research estimating a 75% chance of becoming law by early August.
implicit
implicit
Oil
explicit
USD
Bitcoin (cautious up)
Charles Schwab
7.8
Asset Manager $890.00B
Adam Lynch 5.0
Asset Manager $890.00B
Adam Lynch 5.0
6/14/2026 11:00:23 PM
metals
Precious metals have been rallying hard while Bitcoin dropped.
| 6/1/2026 6:00:30 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -6.14% | -6.14% |
| 6/1/2026 3:30:31 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -6.14% | -6.14% |
| 5/14/2026 6:01:01 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 3/19/2026 3:39:50 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.41% | -2.41% |
| 3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +1.56% | -2.34% |
| 2/18/2026 5:01:08 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +5.39% | +5.39% |
| 2/4/2026 10:00:48 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +6.93% | +6.93% |
| 2/4/2026 2:00:00 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.93% | +10.40% |
| 1/29/2026 7:00:16 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.93% | +4.40% |
| 1/27/2026 2:00:35 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -21.17% | -31.75% |
| 1/24/2026 8:01:04 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -16.21% | -16.21% |
| 12/30/2025 5:59:45 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.98% | +4.98% |
| 12/23/2025 5:54:44 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +8.96% | +13.44% |
| 10/22/2025 6:30:43 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.73% | +1.87% |
| 10/21/2025 6:30:23 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.09% | +1.55% |
| 10/8/2025 2:00:56 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.31% | +6.47% |
| 10/7/2025 11:01:24 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.72% | +2.72% |
ndx
Bitcoin is rallying on geopolitical progress and risk-on sentiment; NDX (tech-heavy) would likely benefit from same macro tailwinds (geopolitical easing, rate stability).
rut
Risk assets broadly catching a bid on geopolitical news; small caps (RUT) typically benefit from risk-on environment.
yields
Focus on central bank meetings (Fed, BoJ) and potential hikes; ECB already raised rates. Uncertainty around rate decisions suggests yields may remain rangebound until clarity emerges.
