The AI-driven tape is fighting a major macro headwind: a global bond rout (US 10Y >4.5%) and sticky energy inflation. Don't be fooled by placid indices; single-stock dispersion is at 52-week highs, revealing a treacherous, bifurcated market. The Trump-Xi summit was pure optics, failing to de-risk key flashpoints. The Cerebras IPO confirms the desperate chase for any NVDA alternative, but the price action is frothy.
Yields
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Charles Schwab 8.0
Asset Manager $890.00B
Alex Coffey 3.0
Stock Market Pulls Back from Red-Hot Rally, CBRS Slides After Strong IPO
CBRS
5/15/2026 3:30:02 PM
ndx
Alex describes the rally as 'AI-driven' and 'rip-roaring', but notes today's pullback and underlying dispersion (tug-of-war). The cautious tone on near-term volatility suggests a cautious up view for the Nasdaq 100, as the AI theme supports but dispersion creates risk.
wti
WTI crude in July up over 100 still. Oil prices are elevated due to Middle East conflict and energy infrastructure issues, driving inflation higher.
37 calls
+3
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
5/6/2026 7:01:28 PM short term up 5 days later +7.77% +7.77%
5/1/2026 8:00:31 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -9.23% -4.61%
4/28/2026 3:35:20 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -0.43% -0.65%
4/24/2026 7:01:37 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later +12.75% +6.38%
4/17/2026 6:00:59 PM short term down 7 days later +7.54% -7.54%
4/17/2026 1:00:06 AM short term down 7 days later +7.54% -7.54%
4/11/2026 2:00:47 AM short term sharp down 7 days later -9.56% +14.34%
4/8/2026 7:00:27 PM short term down 5 days later -6.73% +6.73%
4/3/2026 2:00:27 AM short term sharp up 7 days later -11.86% -17.79%
4/2/2026 7:01:00 PM short term up 5 days later -15.36% -15.36%
3/31/2026 2:00:25 AM short term up 5 days later +12.28% +12.28%
3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM short term up 7 days later +9.26% +9.26%
3/24/2026 6:00:01 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +1.06% +0.53%
3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +7.29% +3.64%
3/20/2026 7:58:07 PM short term up 7 days later +16.74% +16.74%
3/18/2026 5:00:40 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -3.94% -5.91%
3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM short term up 5 days later -8.50% -8.50%
3/13/2026 1:00:26 AM short term up 7 days later -5.74% -5.74%
3/9/2026 6:15:03 PM short term up 6 days later +12.04% +12.04%
3/9/2026 5:30:33 PM short term up 6 days later +12.04% +12.04%
3/7/2026 2:01:09 AM short term sharp up 5 days later +8.59% +12.89%
3/6/2026 7:01:41 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +8.59% +12.89%
1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +5.87% -2.93%
12/30/2025 10:30:10 PM long term down 61 days later +24.05% -24.05%
10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.29% +0.64%
9/25/2025 6:01:25 PM short term up 5 days later -6.00% -6.00%
8/7/2025 12:00:18 AM short term up 5 days later -1.93% -1.93%
Show all 27 wti results
yields
US 10-year yield over 4.5% today... first time since 1999. Japan's 30-year touched 4%.
74 calls
+1
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
5/14/2026 7:01:22 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.50% -0.25%
5/6/2026 7:01:28 PM short term up 5 days later +1.62% +1.62%
5/4/2026 7:00:25 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +3.22% +1.61%
5/1/2026 8:00:31 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +2.52% +1.26%
4/17/2026 7:00:31 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.76% +3.76%
4/10/2026 7:01:10 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.47% +3.47%
3/27/2026 10:22:16 PM short term sharp up 7 days later -0.16% -0.24%
3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -0.16% -0.08%
3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.16% -1.08%
3/20/2026 4:35:56 PM medium term up 21 days later -0.85% -0.85%
3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM short term down 5 days later +1.76% -1.76%
3/16/2026 6:01:06 PM short term up 6 days later +3.14% +3.14%
2/23/2026 7:00:42 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +4.64% +2.32%
2/18/2026 7:00:31 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +3.26% +1.63%
2/9/2026 7:00:36 PM short term cautious down 6 days later -2.19% +1.10%
1/30/2026 7:01:03 PM short term up 7 days later -1.80% -1.80%
1/23/2026 8:46:35 PM long term cautious up 60 days later +5.39% +2.69%
1/20/2026 7:01:32 PM short term up 5 days later -0.94% -0.94%
1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM long term cautious up 60 days later -1.12% -0.56%
12/31/2025 5:47:14 PM short term up 5 days later -1.17% -1.17%
12/23/2025 5:54:44 PM short term up 5 days later -0.48% -0.48%
12/17/2025 7:00:01 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.53% +0.27%
12/15/2025 6:00:31 PM short term down 6 days later +0.48% -0.48%
12/5/2025 8:31:08 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later -1.34% -0.67%
12/1/2025 7:17:24 PM medium term up 20 days later +2.03% +2.03%
11/21/2025 6:00:06 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +1.44% -0.72%
11/14/2025 6:01:14 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -2.30% -1.15%
11/11/2025 1:00:57 AM short term up 5 days later +1.67% +1.67%
11/5/2025 11:14:15 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +0.66% +0.99%
11/5/2025 6:00:18 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.32% -1.16%
10/31/2025 5:00:59 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.10% -0.05%
10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM short term up 6 days later +3.09% +3.09%
10/24/2025 8:41:31 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +2.73% -1.36%
10/23/2025 7:03:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.53% -0.76%
10/21/2025 6:30:23 PM short term down 5 days later +1.11% -1.11%
10/20/2025 6:30:14 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.86% -0.43%
10/16/2025 10:47:56 PM short term down 5 days later -1.35% +1.35%
10/14/2025 6:01:25 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -1.48% -0.74%
10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.48% +0.74%
9/30/2025 5:42:26 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.36% -0.68%
9/29/2025 6:30:09 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +0.34% +0.17%
9/26/2025 6:27:34 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.51% -0.25%
9/22/2025 6:00:19 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.51% -0.25%
9/18/2025 5:45:03 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.22% -0.11%
9/17/2025 6:01:49 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.39% -0.19%
9/16/2025 11:52:11 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.64% -0.82%
9/15/2025 10:13:32 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +3.38% -1.69%
9/15/2025 6:00:38 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +2.91% -1.45%
9/12/2025 11:30:07 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +2.70% -1.35%
9/10/2025 11:30:15 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.37% -0.19%
9/5/2025 11:30:10 PM short term sharp down 7 days later -0.30% +0.44%
9/3/2025 11:30:04 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.69% +0.35%
9/2/2025 8:01:17 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -3.92% +1.96%
8/29/2025 11:22:31 PM medium term down 20 days later -3.13% +3.13%
8/28/2025 11:34:09 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -2.91% +1.45%
8/25/2025 11:30:06 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -5.26% +2.63%
8/22/2025 11:30:14 PM short term down 8 days later +0.05% -0.05%
8/21/2025 6:30:30 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.52% -0.26%
8/13/2025 11:30:57 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/8/2025 11:30:04 PM long term cautious down 60 days later -5.20% +2.60%
8/7/2025 11:35:19 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.82% +0.91%
7/30/2025 1:54:24 AM short term up 5 days later -3.76% -3.76%
7/21/2025 11:30:17 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.45% +0.73%
7/16/2025 11:30:00 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -2.85% -1.42%
Show all 64 yields results

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