Market is myopically focused on NVDA earnings, where the bar is set for disappointment. The real edge is looking past the AI noise to the macro pivot. The consensus bond sell-off is a crowded, late-stage trade. A potential new Fed Chair (Warsh) focused on 'trimmed mean inflation' signals rate highs are in, creating a tactical long for housing and rate-sensitive assets.
explicit
implicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Charles Schwab
7.8
Asset Manager $890.00B
Kevin Hincks 7.0
Asset Manager $890.00B
Kevin Hincks 7.0
NVDA; CRWV; NBIS; AVGO; MRVL
5/20/2026 4:30:01 PM
ndx
Nvidia's earnings are expected to cause a 6% swing and affect many tech stocks, with high expectations potentially leading to a sell-off even on good news.
| 5/14/2026 3:30:29 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.24% | -0.24% |
| 5/8/2026 7:01:43 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -1.11% | -0.56% |
| 5/6/2026 6:30:38 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.75% | +1.75% |
| 5/1/2026 6:30:15 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +6.04% | +6.04% |
| 5/1/2026 3:30:59 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +6.04% | +6.04% |
| 4/30/2026 3:49:07 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.21% | +3.21% |
| 4/29/2026 6:30:43 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.05% | -1.03% |
| 4/24/2026 2:00:48 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.27% | -1.27% |
| 3/17/2026 1:00:03 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.97% | -0.97% |
| 3/13/2026 1:00:26 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -1.89% | +1.89% |
| 3/10/2026 1:00:27 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.24% | -1.24% |
| 3/9/2026 3:30:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.21% | -1.21% |
| 3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.50% | +0.50% |
| 2/18/2026 5:01:08 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.72% | -0.36% |
| 2/5/2026 2:00:23 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.50% | -0.50% |
| 2/4/2026 2:00:00 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.36% | -2.36% |
| 1/27/2026 2:00:35 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.09% | -1.09% |
| 11/20/2025 7:30:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.11% | +4.11% |
| 11/18/2025 6:00:07 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.95% |
| 11/7/2025 3:01:02 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | -1.05% | -1.05% |
| 11/5/2025 8:18:35 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.61% | +0.80% |
| 11/3/2025 6:30:01 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +0.69% | +0.35% |
| 11/1/2025 1:00:33 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.39% | -1.39% |
| 10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.15% | -0.15% |
| 10/23/2025 3:00:52 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +3.00% | +1.50% |
| 10/8/2025 1:00:07 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.07% | +1.03% |
| 10/1/2025 5:00:02 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.21% | -0.21% |
| 9/13/2025 1:29:51 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +1.92% | +1.92% |
| 8/11/2025 5:30:31 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.53% | -0.53% |
yields
It wouldn't surprise me though if we've already seen the highs in interest rates.
| 5/20/2026 1:00:35 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.03% | -3.04% |
| 5/14/2026 7:01:22 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 5/14/2026 3:30:29 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 5/13/2026 6:00:58 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.62% | +6.93% |
| 5/13/2026 4:07:44 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.62% | +4.62% |
| 5/12/2026 6:01:10 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.17% | +4.75% |
| 5/11/2026 7:00:43 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/6/2026 7:01:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.62% | +1.62% |
| 5/1/2026 5:30:10 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.81% | +0.81% |
| 4/29/2026 10:30:10 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 4/17/2026 7:00:31 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +3.76% | +3.76% |
| 4/10/2026 7:01:10 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +3.47% | +3.47% |
| 4/8/2026 7:30:12 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.86% | +0.86% |
| 3/27/2026 10:22:16 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.24% |
| 3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.08% |
| 3/26/2026 6:15:02 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.73% | -2.73% |
| 3/24/2026 3:30:35 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.32% | +0.16% |
| 3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.16% | -1.08% |
| 3/20/2026 4:35:56 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | -0.85% | -0.85% |
| 3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.76% | -1.76% |
| 3/16/2026 6:01:06 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.14% | +3.14% |
| 2/23/2026 7:00:42 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +4.64% | +2.32% |
| 2/18/2026 7:00:31 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +3.26% | +1.63% |
| 2/11/2026 7:35:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 2/11/2026 4:30:22 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 1/30/2026 7:01:03 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.80% | -1.80% |
| 1/23/2026 8:46:35 PM | long term cautious up | 60 days later | +5.39% | +2.69% |
| 1/20/2026 7:01:32 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -0.94% |
| 1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM | long term cautious up | 60 days later | -1.12% | -0.56% |
| 12/31/2025 5:47:14 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.17% | -1.17% |
| 12/23/2025 5:54:44 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.48% | -0.48% |
| 12/17/2025 7:00:01 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.53% | +0.27% |
| 12/15/2025 6:00:31 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.48% | -0.48% |
| 12/11/2025 7:30:17 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.03% | +0.51% |
| 12/5/2025 8:31:08 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -1.34% | -0.67% |
| 12/1/2025 7:17:24 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.03% | +2.03% |
| 11/21/2025 6:00:06 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +1.44% | -0.72% |
| 11/14/2025 6:01:14 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -2.30% | -1.15% |
| 11/11/2025 1:00:57 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.67% | +1.67% |
| 11/5/2025 11:14:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.66% | +0.99% |
| 11/5/2025 6:00:18 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.32% | -1.16% |
| 10/31/2025 5:00:59 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.10% | -0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 5:30:29 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.09% | +3.09% |
| 10/24/2025 8:41:31 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +2.73% | -1.36% |
| 10/24/2025 5:33:04 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.73% | +2.73% |
| 10/23/2025 7:03:38 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.53% | -0.76% |
| 10/21/2025 6:30:23 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.11% | -1.11% |
| 10/20/2025 6:30:14 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.86% | -0.43% |
| 10/16/2025 10:47:56 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.35% | +1.35% |
| 10/14/2025 6:01:25 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.48% | -0.74% |
| 10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.48% | +0.74% |
| 9/30/2025 5:42:26 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -0.68% |
| 9/29/2025 6:30:09 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +0.34% | +0.17% |
| 9/26/2025 6:27:34 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/22/2025 6:00:19 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/18/2025 5:45:03 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.22% | -0.11% |
| 9/17/2025 6:01:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/16/2025 11:52:11 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.64% | -0.82% |
| 9/15/2025 10:13:32 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +3.38% | -1.69% |
| 9/15/2025 6:00:38 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +2.91% | -1.45% |
| 9/12/2025 11:30:07 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +2.70% | -1.35% |
| 9/10/2025 11:30:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/5/2025 11:30:10 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.44% |
| 9/3/2025 11:30:04 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.69% | +0.35% |
| 9/2/2025 8:01:17 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.92% | +1.96% |
| 8/29/2025 11:22:31 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | -3.13% | +3.13% |
| 8/28/2025 11:34:09 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -2.91% | +1.45% |
| 8/25/2025 11:30:06 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.26% | +2.63% |
| 8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/22/2025 11:30:14 PM | short term down | 8 days later | +0.05% | -0.05% |
| 8/21/2025 6:30:30 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.52% | -0.26% |
| 8/13/2025 11:30:57 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.21% | -0.21% |
| 8/8/2025 11:30:04 PM | long term cautious down | 60 days later | -5.20% | +2.60% |
| 8/7/2025 11:35:19 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.82% | +0.91% |
| 7/30/2025 1:54:24 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -3.76% | -3.76% |
| 7/21/2025 11:30:17 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.45% | +0.73% |
| 7/16/2025 11:30:00 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -2.85% | -1.42% |
