Mike expects oil to fall to $50 by midterms as supply/demand favor lower prices, with WTI December at $75. Metals (gold, platinum, palladium) are dangerously dependent on stock market gains; gold's 180-day vol at 2.3x S&P 500 (highest since 2006) signals downside risk if equities drop. Biofuels (corn, soybeans) also vulnerable as they need crude oil to stay high.
Yields
NDX
RUT
explicit
implicit
USD
Bloomberg
5.5
Financial Media
Mike 3.0
Financial Media
Mike 3.0
5/7/2026 10:07:01 PM
metals
Mike states metals (gold, platinum, palladium) are almost completely dependent on stock market going higher. If stock market drops, severe deflation in commodities. Gold's high volatility relative to S&P 500 is reminiscent of 2006, implying downside risk.
wti
I still think it's more likely to head towards 50 by the time we get the midterms
| 5/7/2026 9:40:03 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +5.87% | +5.87% |
| 5/7/2026 9:26:20 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +5.87% | +5.87% |
| 5/7/2026 8:09:28 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -6.83% | +3.42% |
| 5/7/2026 2:41:58 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +5.87% | -2.93% |
| 5/7/2026 10:02:35 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +5.87% | -5.87% |
| 5/7/2026 7:06:33 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +5.87% | -2.93% |
| 5/6/2026 11:23:07 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +7.77% | +3.89% |
| 5/5/2026 11:37:18 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.14% | +4.72% |
| 5/5/2026 8:51:31 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.14% | +4.72% |
| 5/5/2026 10:43:29 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.14% | +3.14% |
| 5/5/2026 7:41:33 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.14% | +4.72% |
| 5/5/2026 7:41:33 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.14% | +4.72% |
| 5/5/2026 6:19:06 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +3.14% | +1.57% |
| 5/5/2026 12:24:00 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.14% | +4.72% |
| 5/4/2026 9:43:41 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -5.54% | -2.77% |
| 5/2/2026 3:08:03 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -7.85% | -11.77% |
| 5/1/2026 3:08:28 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -7.85% | -11.77% |
| 5/1/2026 3:05:47 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -7.85% | -11.77% |
| 5/1/2026 11:35:10 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -7.85% | -11.77% |
| 5/1/2026 9:53:00 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -7.85% | -11.77% |
| 4/30/2026 11:36:17 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.48% | +2.74% |
| 4/30/2026 3:40:05 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -5.48% | -8.23% |
| 4/30/2026 2:31:00 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -6.73% | -10.09% |
| 4/30/2026 1:25:28 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -6.73% | -10.09% |
| 4/30/2026 11:15:59 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -6.73% | -6.73% |
| 4/30/2026 10:27:44 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -6.73% | -10.09% |
| 4/30/2026 8:02:59 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -6.73% | -10.09% |
| 4/29/2026 11:30:52 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.66% | -2.66% |
| 4/29/2026 2:08:01 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.66% | -4.00% |
| 4/29/2026 11:42:11 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.66% | -4.00% |
| 4/28/2026 11:31:52 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.43% | -0.65% |
| 4/28/2026 10:39:20 PM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | +0.83% | -1.25% |
| 4/28/2026 2:08:22 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.43% | -0.43% |
| 4/28/2026 8:52:26 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.43% | -0.22% |
| 4/27/2026 7:39:37 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +8.74% | -8.74% |
| 4/27/2026 1:02:38 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +6.49% | +3.25% |
| 4/27/2026 10:29:21 AM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +6.49% | +3.25% |
| 4/24/2026 3:07:59 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +10.43% | +15.64% |
| 4/24/2026 1:23:43 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +10.43% | +15.64% |
| 4/24/2026 1:18:06 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +10.43% | +15.64% |
| 4/24/2026 11:16:33 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +10.43% | +10.43% |
| 4/24/2026 11:01:37 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +10.43% | +15.64% |
| 4/24/2026 9:53:00 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +10.43% | +15.64% |
| 4/24/2026 9:53:00 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +10.43% | +15.64% |
| 4/24/2026 12:09:41 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +10.43% | +15.64% |
| 4/20/2026 11:58:40 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +4.60% | -4.60% |
| 4/20/2026 7:06:15 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +4.60% | -4.60% |
| 4/20/2026 7:38:52 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +4.60% | +4.60% |
| 4/18/2026 2:40:06 AM | medium term down | 21 days later | +9.44% | -9.44% |
| 4/18/2026 2:18:29 AM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -11.32% |
| 4/18/2026 12:01:38 AM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -11.32% |
| 4/17/2026 4:22:48 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -7.54% |
| 4/13/2026 7:26:30 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -1.83% |
| 4/13/2026 7:26:30 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -2.74% |
| 4/13/2026 7:26:30 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -1.83% |
| 4/13/2026 7:00:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -1.83% |
| 4/13/2026 2:27:08 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -2.74% |
| 4/12/2026 7:34:52 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -9.56% | -14.34% |
| 4/12/2026 3:41:23 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -9.56% | -9.56% |
| 4/12/2026 3:41:14 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -9.56% | -9.56% |
| 4/10/2026 10:10:32 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -9.56% | -9.56% |
| 4/10/2026 3:55:23 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +7.41% | +7.41% |
| 4/10/2026 1:31:13 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +7.41% | +7.41% |
| 4/10/2026 12:31:57 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -9.56% | -4.78% |
| 4/6/2026 10:30:45 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -14.68% | +7.34% |
| 4/6/2026 7:54:23 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -14.68% | -14.68% |
| 4/4/2026 7:49:11 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -14.27% | +7.13% |
| 4/3/2026 3:02:21 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -11.86% | -17.79% |
| 4/3/2026 12:36:51 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -11.86% | -17.79% |
| 3/30/2026 3:30:54 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +10.88% | +5.44% |
| 3/30/2026 2:09:27 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -11.61% | -17.41% |
| 3/30/2026 2:04:13 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +10.88% | +16.32% |
| 3/30/2026 8:40:46 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +10.88% | +16.32% |
| 3/29/2026 5:07:24 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +9.26% | +9.26% |
| 3/28/2026 6:03:36 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +9.26% | +9.26% |
| 3/27/2026 11:07:21 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +9.26% | +13.89% |
| 3/27/2026 11:59:23 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +9.26% | +13.89% |
| 3/27/2026 2:00:21 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +9.26% | +13.89% |
| 3/25/2026 10:52:54 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +7.30% | -7.30% |
| 3/23/2026 9:56:47 AM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +11.40% | +5.70% |
| 3/21/2026 1:47:39 AM | long term sharp down | 60 days later | +9.61% | -14.42% |
| 3/20/2026 4:06:06 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +16.74% | +25.10% |
| 3/20/2026 2:30:40 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +16.74% | +16.74% |
| 3/13/2026 9:25:35 PM | medium term sharp up | 21 days later | +20.22% | +30.34% |
| 3/13/2026 6:57:37 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -5.74% | -2.87% |
| 3/13/2026 6:57:37 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -5.74% | -2.87% |
| 3/13/2026 9:59:21 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -5.74% | -8.61% |
| 3/11/2026 10:09:41 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.50% | +0.75% |
| 3/10/2026 9:18:14 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +16.19% | +16.19% |
| 3/10/2026 2:38:02 AM | medium term down | 20 days later | +16.19% | -16.19% |
| 3/10/2026 12:08:58 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +7.16% | +7.16% |
| 3/9/2026 6:46:13 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +23.28% | +34.93% |
| 3/9/2026 2:08:40 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +12.04% | +18.06% |
| 3/9/2026 10:03:43 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +12.04% | +18.06% |
| 3/9/2026 10:03:43 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +12.04% | +12.04% |
| 3/9/2026 8:28:21 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +12.04% | +18.06% |
| 3/9/2026 6:55:49 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +12.04% | +18.06% |
| 3/8/2026 3:01:00 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.34% | -1.34% |
| 3/5/2026 10:50:58 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.02% | -6.02% |
| 3/5/2026 2:02:48 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.02% | -4.02% |
| 3/4/2026 2:05:06 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.01% | +4.52% |
| 3/4/2026 5:43:12 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +3.01% | -1.51% |
| 3/3/2026 10:53:30 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +26.94% | +26.94% |
| 3/3/2026 8:39:08 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +26.94% | +40.40% |
| 3/2/2026 8:34:28 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +18.20% | -18.20% |
| 2/25/2026 9:27:27 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +14.34% | +7.17% |
| 2/20/2026 2:32:12 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +7.42% | +3.71% |
| 2/20/2026 10:59:11 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +7.42% | +7.42% |
| 2/19/2026 11:46:00 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.46% | -0.73% |
| 2/19/2026 10:55:34 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +44.19% | -22.10% |
| 2/11/2026 10:46:14 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.81% | -0.81% |
| 2/2/2026 10:10:47 AM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.82% | -1.82% |
| 2/2/2026 10:10:47 AM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.82% | -1.82% |
| 1/30/2026 6:19:23 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +3.57% | +1.79% |
| 1/29/2026 9:02:44 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.87% | -0.94% |
| 1/20/2026 6:00:07 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.02% | +0.02% |
| 1/16/2026 7:33:17 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +2.02% | +3.03% |
| 1/12/2026 6:04:30 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +1.62% | -1.62% |
| 1/10/2026 2:50:05 AM | medium term down | 21 days later | +4.44% | -4.44% |
| 1/9/2026 6:25:43 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.12% | +0.06% |
| 1/7/2026 9:00:08 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +5.87% | -2.93% |
| 12/22/2025 11:02:38 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.51% | +0.26% |
| 12/22/2025 9:48:16 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.51% | -0.51% |
| 12/22/2025 7:55:54 AM | long term down | 62 days later | +13.58% | -13.58% |
| 12/19/2025 10:53:44 PM | medium term down | 21 days later | +2.57% | -2.57% |
| 12/19/2025 9:48:49 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.12% | +0.12% |
| 12/18/2025 9:42:38 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.98% | -2.98% |
| 12/18/2025 1:08:16 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +2.98% | +1.49% |
| 12/17/2025 2:09:01 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +3.97% | -1.99% |
| 12/16/2025 11:40:23 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +3.70% | -5.55% |
| 12/16/2025 11:22:24 PM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | +2.13% | -3.19% |
| 11/24/2025 10:29:53 AM | long term cautious down | 62 days later | +4.62% | -2.31% |
| 10/23/2025 2:05:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.66% | -2.49% |
| 10/22/2025 11:01:29 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.65% | +1.33% |
| 10/21/2025 9:16:26 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +4.80% | -2.40% |
| 10/20/2025 6:00:17 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +6.04% | -3.02% |
| 9/30/2025 11:07:33 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.15% | +0.15% |
| 9/30/2025 7:44:54 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.15% | +0.07% |
| 9/29/2025 7:07:25 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -1.09% | +0.55% |
| 9/29/2025 7:07:25 AM | short term down | 6 days later | -1.09% | +1.09% |
| 9/24/2025 7:52:42 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.02% | -4.02% |
| 9/19/2025 10:47:12 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.29% | -1.29% |
| 9/9/2025 8:33:16 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.58% | -0.58% |
| 9/8/2025 11:19:17 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +1.07% | +1.07% |
| 9/8/2025 11:11:54 AM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +1.07% | +0.53% |
| 9/8/2025 8:18:05 AM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.07% | -1.07% |
| 9/5/2025 10:16:54 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.67% | -1.67% |
| 9/5/2025 7:27:44 AM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +1.91% | -0.96% |
| 9/4/2025 11:19:15 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.91% | -2.91% |
| 8/18/2025 11:10:24 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.93% | +3.93% |
| 8/15/2025 11:21:59 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +2.18% | -2.18% |
| 8/14/2025 11:46:57 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.65% | +0.65% |
| 8/11/2025 10:07:32 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.40% | -0.20% |
| 8/8/2025 8:23:48 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.84% | +0.84% |
| 8/8/2025 10:13:14 AM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | -0.84% | +1.27% |
| 8/5/2025 10:44:07 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.61% | +0.61% |
| 8/4/2025 11:29:13 PM | short term down | 6 days later | -1.84% | +1.84% |
| 8/4/2025 9:08:09 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -1.84% | +0.92% |
