Sonders flags market casino-like behavior, driven by short-termism and a lack of faith in traditional systems, especially among younger investors. She highlights significant under-the-surface drawdowns in NASDAQ members (avg. 35%) masked by index performance. Sonders advises fading the recent rotation into non-profitable tech and Russell 2000 names, advocating for quality, profitability, and stability. She implies yields will remain rangebound due to the Fed's rate-cut pause.
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Asset Manager $890.00B
Liz Ann Sonders 9.0
Asset Manager $890.00B
Liz Ann Sonders 9.0
5/7/2026 10:23:56 PM
ndx
Sonders states that the average NASDAQ member has experienced a 35% drawdown YTD, which is masked at the index level. She describes this as a 'corrective phase' and warns that the recent rotation into non-profitable tech (which includes many NASDAQ names) is 'worth fading.' She advises leaning into quality, implying a cautious view on the broader NASDAQ in the near term.
| 5/6/2026 6:30:38 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.75% | +1.75% |
| 5/1/2026 6:30:15 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +6.04% | +6.04% |
| 5/1/2026 3:30:59 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +6.04% | +6.04% |
| 4/30/2026 3:49:07 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.21% | +3.21% |
| 4/29/2026 6:30:43 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.05% | -1.03% |
| 4/24/2026 2:00:48 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.27% | -1.27% |
| 3/17/2026 1:00:03 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.97% | -0.97% |
| 3/13/2026 1:00:26 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -1.89% | +1.89% |
| 3/10/2026 1:00:27 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.24% | -1.24% |
| 3/9/2026 3:30:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.21% | -1.21% |
| 3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.50% | +0.50% |
| 2/18/2026 5:01:08 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.72% | -0.36% |
| 2/5/2026 2:00:23 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.50% | -0.50% |
| 2/4/2026 2:00:00 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.36% | -2.36% |
| 1/27/2026 2:00:35 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.09% | -1.09% |
| 11/20/2025 7:30:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.11% | +4.11% |
| 11/18/2025 6:00:07 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.95% |
| 11/7/2025 3:01:02 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | -1.05% | -1.05% |
| 11/5/2025 8:18:35 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.61% | +0.80% |
| 11/3/2025 6:30:01 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +0.69% | +0.35% |
| 11/1/2025 1:00:33 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.39% | -1.39% |
| 10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.15% | -0.15% |
| 10/23/2025 3:00:52 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +3.00% | +1.50% |
| 10/8/2025 1:00:07 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.07% | +1.03% |
| 10/1/2025 5:00:02 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.21% | -0.21% |
| 9/13/2025 1:29:51 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +1.92% | +1.92% |
| 8/11/2025 5:30:31 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.53% | -0.53% |
rut
The more recent rotation down the quality spectrum into the non-profitable segment of the Russell 2000... I think that was worth fading.
| 4/24/2026 4:01:46 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | -0.47% | -0.47% |
| 3/9/2026 3:30:01 PM | short term down | 6 days later | -1.76% | +1.76% |
| 3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -3.12% | +3.12% |
| 2/18/2026 5:01:08 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.48% | -0.48% |
| 1/27/2026 2:00:35 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.50% | +0.50% |
| 12/12/2025 11:34:07 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | +0.68% | +0.34% |
| 12/11/2025 6:01:13 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.32% | -2.32% |
| 11/18/2025 6:00:07 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.83% | -2.83% |
yields
Sonders notes that the Fed started cutting rates last fall but then 'pulled back, putting themselves in timeout,' which changed the trajectory for small caps. This implies that the rate cutting cycle has stalled, suggesting yields are likely to remain rangebound/sideways in the near term as the Fed pauses.
| 5/6/2026 7:01:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.62% | +1.62% |
| 5/1/2026 5:30:10 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.81% | +0.81% |
| 4/29/2026 10:30:10 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 4/22/2026 6:00:26 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.72% | -0.36% |
| 4/17/2026 7:00:31 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +3.76% | +3.76% |
| 4/10/2026 7:01:10 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +3.47% | +3.47% |
| 4/8/2026 7:30:12 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.86% | +0.86% |
| 3/27/2026 10:22:16 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.24% |
| 3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.08% |
| 3/26/2026 6:15:02 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.73% | -2.73% |
| 3/24/2026 3:30:35 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.32% | +0.16% |
| 3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.16% | -1.08% |
| 3/20/2026 4:35:56 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | -0.85% | -0.85% |
| 3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.76% | -1.76% |
| 3/16/2026 6:01:06 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.14% | +3.14% |
| 2/23/2026 7:00:42 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +4.64% | +2.32% |
| 2/18/2026 7:00:31 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +3.26% | +1.63% |
| 2/11/2026 7:35:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 2/11/2026 4:30:22 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 1/30/2026 7:01:03 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.80% | -1.80% |
| 1/23/2026 8:46:35 PM | long term cautious up | 60 days later | +5.39% | +2.69% |
| 1/20/2026 7:01:32 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -0.94% |
| 1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM | long term cautious up | 60 days later | -1.12% | -0.56% |
| 12/31/2025 5:47:14 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.17% | -1.17% |
| 12/23/2025 5:54:44 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.48% | -0.48% |
| 12/17/2025 7:00:01 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.53% | +0.27% |
| 12/15/2025 6:00:31 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.48% | -0.48% |
| 12/11/2025 7:30:17 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.03% | +0.51% |
| 12/5/2025 8:31:08 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -1.34% | -0.67% |
| 12/1/2025 7:17:24 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.03% | +2.03% |
| 11/21/2025 6:00:06 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +1.44% | -0.72% |
| 11/14/2025 6:01:14 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -2.30% | -1.15% |
| 11/11/2025 1:00:57 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.67% | +1.67% |
| 11/5/2025 11:14:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.66% | +0.99% |
| 11/5/2025 6:00:18 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.32% | -1.16% |
| 10/31/2025 5:00:59 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.10% | -0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 5:30:29 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.09% | +3.09% |
| 10/24/2025 8:41:31 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +2.73% | -1.36% |
| 10/24/2025 5:33:04 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.73% | +2.73% |
| 10/23/2025 7:03:38 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.53% | -0.76% |
| 10/21/2025 6:30:23 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.11% | -1.11% |
| 10/20/2025 6:30:14 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.86% | -0.43% |
| 10/16/2025 10:47:56 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.35% | +1.35% |
| 10/14/2025 6:01:25 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.48% | -0.74% |
| 10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.48% | +0.74% |
| 9/30/2025 5:42:26 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -0.68% |
| 9/29/2025 6:30:09 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +0.34% | +0.17% |
| 9/26/2025 6:27:34 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/22/2025 6:00:19 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/18/2025 5:45:03 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.22% | -0.11% |
| 9/17/2025 6:01:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/16/2025 11:52:11 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.64% | -0.82% |
| 9/15/2025 10:13:32 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +3.38% | -1.69% |
| 9/15/2025 6:00:38 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +2.91% | -1.45% |
| 9/12/2025 11:30:07 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +2.70% | -1.35% |
| 9/10/2025 11:30:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/5/2025 11:30:10 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.44% |
| 9/3/2025 11:30:04 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.69% | +0.35% |
| 9/2/2025 8:01:17 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.92% | +1.96% |
| 8/29/2025 11:22:31 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | -3.13% | +3.13% |
| 8/28/2025 11:34:09 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -2.91% | +1.45% |
| 8/25/2025 11:30:06 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.26% | +2.63% |
| 8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/22/2025 11:30:14 PM | short term down | 8 days later | +0.05% | -0.05% |
| 8/21/2025 6:30:30 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.52% | -0.26% |
| 8/13/2025 11:30:57 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.21% | -0.21% |
| 8/8/2025 11:30:04 PM | long term cautious down | 60 days later | -5.20% | +2.60% |
| 8/7/2025 11:35:19 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.82% | +0.91% |
| 7/30/2025 1:54:24 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -3.76% | -3.76% |
| 7/21/2025 11:30:17 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.45% | +0.73% |
| 7/16/2025 11:30:00 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -2.85% | -1.42% |
