Trump forecasts significantly lower oil prices on an imminent Iran deal, citing a successful negotiation. He simultaneously claims the US economy is stronger than ever, evidenced by record-high stock market indices, despite geopolitical tensions. The core thesis is that a resolution with Iran will unlock economic benefits, specifically cheaper energy, while the market's current strength is presented as proof of underlying economic resilience under his leadership.
Yields
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
The Trump Organization, Inc 3.0
Real Estate
Donald Trump 9.5
Trump on Iran deal, oil prices, and the economy (with )
4/17/2026 2:08:13 PM
ndx
we just had a brand-new all-time high. Refers to stock market (implied S&P/NDX) hitting all-time highs, presenting it as a current fact and testament to economic strength.
32 calls
+3
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
4/8/2026 2:17:04 PM short term up 5 days later +3.03% +3.03%
4/2/2026 6:55:00 AM short term up 5 days later +3.57% +3.57%
4/1/2026 4:30:39 PM short term up 5 days later +0.65% +0.65%
3/26/2026 6:00:03 PM short term down 5 days later +3.84% -3.84%
1/21/2026 7:26:12 PM medium term sharp up 20 days later -1.24% -1.86%
1/21/2026 6:33:54 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +1.65% +2.48%
1/13/2026 7:24:32 PM short term up 5 days later +0.25% +0.25%
10/29/2025 12:29:34 PM short term up 5 days later -1.16% -1.16%
10/29/2025 9:51:12 AM short term up 5 days later -1.16% -1.16%
10/24/2025 2:17:33 PM short term cautious up 7 days later +0.59% +0.29%
10/24/2025 10:29:43 AM short term up 7 days later +0.59% +0.59%
10/20/2025 1:11:12 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +1.93% +0.96%
10/14/2025 10:09:14 AM short term up 5 days later +1.60% +1.60%
8/6/2025 7:02:59 PM short term up 5 days later +1.92% +1.92%
7/23/2025 9:26:43 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +0.38% +0.57%
Show all 15 ndx results
wti
I think your oil price will go down to lower than what it was before. Ties lower oil prices directly to a successful Iran deal being announced 'fairly soon'.
70 calls
-2
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
4/17/2026 11:37:01 AM short term cautious down 7 days later +7.54% -3.77%
4/17/2026 8:31:26 AM short term cautious down 7 days later +7.54% -3.77%
4/16/2026 10:53:39 PM short term sharp down 5 days later +10.86% -16.30%
4/16/2026 10:21:15 PM short term sharp down 5 days later +10.86% -16.30%
4/13/2026 11:02:21 PM short term cautious up 6 days later -1.83% -0.91%
4/13/2026 9:46:23 AM short term sharp up 6 days later -1.83% -2.74%
4/8/2026 8:00:34 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -6.73% +3.37%
4/8/2026 2:17:04 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -6.73% +10.10%
4/2/2026 9:36:47 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -15.36% -23.04%
4/2/2026 6:55:00 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -15.36% +7.68%
4/1/2026 3:20:56 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.26% -0.63%
3/26/2026 6:00:03 PM short term up 5 days later +0.48% +0.48%
3/23/2026 7:47:20 PM short term sharp down 6 days later +11.40% -17.10%
3/18/2026 8:32:27 AM short term up 5 days later -3.94% -3.94%
3/16/2026 11:23:07 PM short term up 6 days later -8.40% -8.40%
3/16/2026 9:03:21 PM short term sharp down 6 days later -8.40% +12.60%
3/16/2026 8:16:44 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +16.84% -8.42%
3/10/2026 9:18:14 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +7.16% -3.58%
3/10/2026 12:50:01 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +7.16% -3.58%
3/8/2026 6:30:54 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -1.34% -0.67%
3/6/2026 12:26:05 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +8.59% -4.30%
3/4/2026 9:51:48 AM short term sharp down 5 days later +3.01% -4.52%
3/3/2026 11:55:33 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +26.94% +13.47%
1/21/2026 7:26:12 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +5.10% -2.55%
1/13/2026 7:24:32 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +1.92% -0.96%
1/9/2026 10:36:27 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -0.12% +0.06%
1/5/2026 7:12:40 PM medium term sharp up 20 days later +6.13% +9.19%
10/23/2025 12:46:28 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -1.66% -2.49%
10/15/2025 10:20:54 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later +3.72% -1.86%
10/9/2025 10:45:24 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.07% +0.53%
9/15/2025 9:09:32 AM short term cautious up 6 days later -2.91% -1.46%
9/12/2025 12:16:57 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -2.54% +1.27%
8/25/2025 10:59:06 PM short term up 7 days later +3.70% +3.70%
8/5/2025 4:44:03 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.61% +0.30%
Show all 34 wti results

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