explicit
implicit
inferred
inferred
implicit
Federal Reserve
9.0
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari 7.0
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari 7.0
8/7/2025 7:17:58 PM
yields
Housing services inflation is gently declining. Non-housing services inflation is coming down. Wage growth is coming down. We've seen the jobs number and consumer spending is cooling. All of that suggests the real underlying economy is slowing. As one policy maker, I need to start leaning more on the data I've got confidence in. The economy is slowing and that means in the near term it may become appropriate to start adjusting the federal funds rate.
| 8/7/2025 6:16:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.10% | +0.55% |
| 8/7/2025 5:34:00 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.82% | +0.91% |
| 8/6/2025 4:32:08 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 8/6/2025 4:30:01 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 7/30/2025 11:06:39 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.47% | -0.73% |
| 7/30/2025 9:54:37 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.47% | -0.73% |
