explicit
implicit
RUT
explicit
Metals
USD
Bianco Research
7.2
Investment Research Firm
Jim Bianco 8.0
Investment Research Firm
Jim Bianco 8.0
Jim Bianco discusses how the conflict with Iran is shaping market strategies & economic expectations
WTI
4/7/2026 9:39:37 PM
ndx
Significant downside if ceasefire fails; software companies (key NDX components) have low expectations and face AI disruption; private credit troubles affecting tech lending.
| 12/8/2025 11:42:33 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -0.56% | -0.56% |
| 10/21/2025 9:30:34 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.79% | +3.79% |
| 10/14/2025 3:53:14 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.60% | +1.60% |
| 8/14/2025 2:49:30 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.33% | +0.17% |
wti
The nearby contracts are making new lifetime highs... they keep making new highs.
Imminent oil supply shortage due to 35-36 day shipping halt from Persian Gulf; failure of ceasefire would extend disruption.
| 3/20/2026 1:25:20 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +12.42% | +12.42% |
| 3/18/2026 7:32:42 PM | long term cautious down | 60 days later | +13.02% | -6.51% |
| 3/12/2026 8:50:04 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.42% | -3.63% |
| 3/4/2026 3:33:17 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.01% | +3.01% |
| 2/20/2026 3:49:52 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +7.42% | +7.42% |
| 1/6/2026 7:30:15 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +11.43% | +11.43% |
| 1/6/2026 4:06:05 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +11.43% | +11.43% |
yields
That should put the Fed on hold for a long time... We might be talking about them hiking rates later this year if there is some kind of persistent inflation.
0.9% March CPI (3%+ YoY) driven by oil prices forces Fed to stay on hold or consider hikes, implying higher yields.
| 3/30/2026 5:18:49 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -1.41% | -2.12% |
| 3/30/2026 5:17:13 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +0.56% | +0.56% |
| 3/29/2026 4:56:43 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | -2.12% | -2.12% |
| 3/20/2026 4:32:31 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | -0.85% | -0.85% |
| 3/20/2026 1:25:20 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | -0.85% | -0.85% |
| 3/18/2026 7:32:42 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.23% | +0.12% |
| 3/18/2026 7:32:42 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +2.59% | +1.30% |
| 3/18/2026 7:32:42 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.23% | -0.12% |
| 3/12/2026 8:50:04 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.61% | -0.91% |
| 3/9/2026 3:08:20 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +4.98% | +4.98% |
| 3/4/2026 4:03:19 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.24% | -0.24% |
| 3/4/2026 3:33:17 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.24% | -0.24% |
| 2/20/2026 3:49:52 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | +4.74% | +2.37% |
| 1/6/2026 10:41:18 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.05% | +2.05% |
| 1/6/2026 7:30:15 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.05% | +2.05% |
| 1/6/2026 4:06:05 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.05% | +2.05% |
| 1/5/2026 3:34:19 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.81% | +0.81% |
| 11/14/2025 5:39:52 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -2.30% | -2.30% |
| 11/13/2025 11:11:01 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -0.96% | -0.48% |
| 10/21/2025 10:16:55 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.11% | -0.56% |
| 10/14/2025 3:56:23 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +1.06% | +1.06% |
| 9/29/2025 3:25:33 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.34% | -0.17% |
| 9/17/2025 1:26:35 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.39% |
| 9/15/2025 3:58:32 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +2.91% | -1.45% |
| 9/4/2025 11:05:46 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +2.10% | +1.05% |
| 9/4/2025 9:35:50 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +2.10% | +1.05% |
| 8/28/2025 4:47:53 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -2.91% | +1.45% |
| 8/26/2025 4:19:00 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 8/26/2025 4:05:31 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -5.00% | -7.50% |
| 8/26/2025 1:00:15 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -5.00% | -7.50% |
| 8/25/2025 3:41:18 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/20/2025 6:53:54 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -6.88% | -3.44% |
| 8/19/2025 5:49:35 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.49% | +0.24% |
| 8/14/2025 2:49:30 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.51% | +1.76% |
| 8/7/2025 2:21:54 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.82% | +0.91% |
| 8/5/2025 3:48:43 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +0.90% | +1.35% |
| 8/4/2025 3:58:24 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.88% | +0.94% |
| 7/19/2025 1:58:49 AM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -2.26% | +1.13% |
