The US strikes on Iranian assets are surprising given ongoing negotiations, but markets are looking through the geopolitical turbulence, focusing on hopes for a breakthrough in talks, which is keeping futures positive.
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implicit
implicit
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U.S. Government
6.2
Government Agency
Donald Trump 7.0
Government Agency
Donald Trump 7.0
5/26/2026 9:30:22 AM
dxy
No explicit mention of the dollar; the geopolitical situation and ongoing negotiations do not provide a clear directional signal for DXY in the short term.
metals
No explicit mention of metals; given the geopolitical uncertainty but market optimism, gold might be rangebound as safe-haven demand is offset by risk-on sentiment.
| 10/22/2025 10:13:00 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -3.73% | +5.60% |
| 9/15/2025 11:20:00 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +2.12% | +3.18% |
ndx
The interviewee states that S&P futures are leaning positive because markets are looking through geopolitical turbulence and believing in a breakthrough, implying a positive short-term outlook for equities including NDX.
| 5/6/2026 1:27:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.75% | +1.75% |
| 5/6/2026 8:05:33 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.75% | +1.75% |
| 10/22/2025 10:13:00 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +3.64% | -1.82% |
rut
Same reasoning as NDX: positive S&P futures and market optimism about a deal suggest a short-term up move for small caps as well.
wti
The strikes on Iranian assets and the Straits of Hormuz context imply potential supply disruption risk, but the market is looking through it, suggesting short-term volatility rather than a clear direction.
| 5/6/2026 8:05:33 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +7.77% | -7.77% |
| 4/12/2026 6:29:43 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -9.56% | +9.56% |
| 4/12/2026 6:27:38 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -9.56% | +9.56% |
| 3/20/2026 12:39:47 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +16.74% | +16.74% |
| 11/3/2025 11:33:50 AM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -0.71% | -0.36% |
| 10/23/2025 12:15:14 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.66% | -2.49% |
| 9/15/2025 11:20:00 AM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.91% | -2.91% |
yields
Market optimism about a breakthrough and positive equity futures suggest a slight risk-on move, which could push yields modestly higher, but geopolitical risks cap the upside.
| 8/26/2025 3:50:33 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.00% | +2.50% |
