The Oil Market is Dysfunctional

Oil markets are fundamentally broken, evidenced by extreme price spreads ($60+). This signals persistent supply shocks, likely involving the Strait of Hormuz, pushing WTI prices higher. This dysfunction, coupled with record-low consumer sentiment (worse than 9/11, 70s inflation), creates a stark K-shaped economy. The disconnect between soaring stocks and depressed sentiment is unsustainable and will eventually force a reckoning.

wti

These prices are going to continue to creep higher Market dysfunction with $60 price spreads indicates supply disruptions; longer dysfunction means Strait of Hormuz not open and no return to normality

27 calls

-9

slightly worse than random

4/15/2026 5:00:11 PM	short term up	5 days later	-2.70%	-2.70%
4/10/2026 3:53:15 AM	short term up	7 days later	-9.56%	-9.56%
4/9/2026 5:24:14 PM	medium term up	20 days later	+8.80%	+8.80%
4/9/2026 3:55:52 PM	short term sharp up	5 days later	-5.47%	-8.20%
4/7/2026 9:39:37 PM	short term sharp up	5 days later	+4.95%	+7.42%
4/1/2026 3:55:27 PM	long term sharp up	60 days later	-17.37%	-26.06%
3/20/2026 1:25:20 PM	medium term up	21 days later	+12.42%	+12.42%
3/18/2026 7:32:42 PM	long term cautious down	60 days later	+13.02%	-6.51%
3/12/2026 8:50:04 PM	short term sharp up	5 days later	-2.42%	-3.63%
3/4/2026 3:33:17 PM	short term up	5 days later	+3.01%	+3.01%
2/20/2026 3:49:52 PM	short term up	7 days later	+7.42%	+7.42%
1/6/2026 7:30:15 PM	medium term up	20 days later	+11.43%	+11.43%
1/6/2026 4:06:05 PM	medium term up	20 days later	+11.43%	+11.43%

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