Strong jobs data (172k vs 85k expected) allows the Fed to adopt a more hawkish stance, triggering a broad market sell-off. Dollar index breaks out, gold breaks below 200-day MA, silver drops below $70, copper falls 25 cents, and AI/momentum stocks lose steam. The gold-silver ratio jumps to 62:1, signaling risk-off. Streible suggests the sell-off may be overdone ('baby thrown out with bathwater').
implicit
explicit
Oil
explicit
explicit
Blue Line Futures
7.5
Hedge Fund
Phillip Streible 6.0
Hedge Fund
Phillip Streible 6.0
6/5/2026 9:53:37 PM
dxy
The dollar index breaks out to the upside.
| 5/28/2026 6:20:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.63% | +0.63% |
| 5/28/2026 2:12:37 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.63% | +0.63% |
| 5/26/2026 8:03:19 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.01% | +0.01% |
| 5/26/2026 1:55:39 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.01% | +0.01% |
| 5/21/2026 1:58:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.11% | -0.11% |
| 5/11/2026 2:01:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +0.69% | +0.69% |
| 5/8/2026 2:01:51 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +1.05% | -0.53% |
| 5/7/2026 1:56:51 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.65% | -0.65% |
| 5/6/2026 2:05:14 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.04% | -0.04% |
| 5/5/2026 2:13:50 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.08% | -0.04% |
| 5/1/2026 2:11:55 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.54% | +0.54% |
| 4/30/2026 2:13:23 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -0.19% | +0.29% |
| 4/27/2026 2:11:11 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.15% | +0.08% |
| 4/24/2026 2:18:16 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.01% | -0.01% |
| 4/17/2026 2:14:11 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.44% | -0.22% |
| 3/16/2026 1:23:55 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -0.63% | -0.95% |
| 3/4/2026 1:58:21 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.49% | +0.49% |
| 3/2/2026 2:15:55 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.20% | -0.10% |
| 2/24/2026 2:02:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.70% | +0.70% |
| 2/23/2026 2:01:27 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.26% |
| 2/16/2026 3:07:19 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.56% | -0.56% |
| 2/13/2026 2:18:11 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.62% | -0.31% |
| 2/12/2026 2:35:02 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.85% | -0.42% |
| 2/11/2026 2:40:37 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.24% |
| 2/10/2026 10:04:22 PM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | +2.29% | -3.44% |
| 2/9/2026 2:13:26 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.30% | -0.30% |
| 2/3/2026 1:56:20 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.82% | +0.82% |
| 2/2/2026 6:29:20 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -0.64% | -0.95% |
| 1/30/2026 2:05:52 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.81% | -0.81% |
| 1/26/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +1.44% | -2.17% |
| 1/20/2026 2:41:17 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.74% | +1.74% |
| 1/12/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.27% | -0.27% |
| 12/23/2025 2:10:09 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.06% | -0.03% |
| 12/19/2025 1:48:55 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.25% | -0.25% |
| 12/17/2025 2:18:23 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.50% |
| 12/4/2025 1:55:43 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.20% | +0.10% |
| 12/3/2025 1:42:38 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.23% | -0.12% |
| 11/24/2025 2:27:59 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.25% | +0.13% |
| 11/14/2025 2:02:42 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.55% | +0.28% |
| 11/11/2025 1:54:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.11% | -0.06% |
| 10/21/2025 1:46:58 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.12% | -0.12% |
| 10/2/2025 1:50:52 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.16% | -1.16% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.35% | -0.35% |
| 9/26/2025 2:00:35 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.20% | -0.10% |
| 9/11/2025 1:56:16 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.70% | -0.35% |
| 8/28/2025 2:17:15 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.38% | -0.38% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.02% | -0.02% |
| 7/31/2025 2:22:23 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.52% | -0.78% |
| 7/18/2025 2:12:59 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.83% | -0.83% |
metals
Gold market breaking below some key levels here, breaking below the 200-day moving average... gold market coming off, down about $138... silver market getting a bit of a one-two punch dropping below the 70 mark.
| 5/28/2026 6:20:00 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.61% | +2.61% |
| 5/28/2026 2:12:37 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.61% | +2.61% |
| 5/27/2026 8:38:49 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.24% | +0.24% |
| 5/26/2026 8:03:19 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.40% | +0.40% |
| 5/26/2026 1:55:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.40% | +0.40% |
| 5/21/2026 1:58:28 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.89% | +0.45% |
| 5/14/2026 6:12:33 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 5/14/2026 1:53:21 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.30% | +0.15% |
| 5/13/2026 1:45:31 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -6.77% | -10.15% |
| 5/12/2026 6:00:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -6.49% | -9.74% |
| 5/11/2026 4:58:00 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -6.35% | +3.17% |
| 5/11/2026 2:01:27 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -6.35% | +3.17% |
| 5/8/2026 7:12:41 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -6.32% | -9.47% |
| 5/8/2026 2:01:51 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -6.32% | -9.47% |
| 5/7/2026 1:56:51 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.79% | +4.18% |
| 5/6/2026 2:05:14 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.77% | +5.65% |
| 5/5/2026 2:13:50 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +4.44% | +2.22% |
| 5/4/2026 2:08:49 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +8.86% | -4.43% |
| 4/29/2026 2:22:08 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.29% | +1.29% |
| 4/16/2026 10:24:59 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -3.17% | -3.17% |
| 3/19/2026 5:20:35 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.41% | -2.41% |
| 3/18/2026 1:13:58 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -4.63% | +2.31% |
| 3/16/2026 1:23:55 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -12.28% | +6.14% |
| 3/10/2026 1:03:21 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -4.17% | -2.09% |
| 3/4/2026 1:58:21 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.23% | +4.23% |
| 3/3/2026 2:19:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.56% | -0.78% |
| 2/25/2026 11:43:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.16% | -6.25% |
| 2/25/2026 2:15:06 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.16% | -4.16% |
| 2/24/2026 2:02:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.77% | +2.77% |
| 2/23/2026 2:01:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.23% | +3.23% |
| 2/17/2026 2:09:29 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +8.30% | -8.30% |
| 2/16/2026 3:07:19 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +11.89% | +11.89% |
| 2/12/2026 2:35:02 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.44% | -0.66% |
| 2/11/2026 2:40:37 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -1.41% |
| 2/10/2026 10:04:22 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -0.91% | -1.37% |
| 2/4/2026 2:35:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.93% | +10.40% |
| 2/3/2026 1:56:20 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.05% | -0.08% |
| 2/2/2026 6:29:20 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +1.02% | -1.52% |
| 1/30/2026 2:05:52 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +6.99% | -6.99% |
| 1/28/2026 2:08:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -16.50% | -24.75% |
| 1/26/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -18.04% | -27.06% |
| 1/23/2026 10:07:21 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -22.49% | -33.74% |
| 1/22/2026 11:27:23 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -21.43% | -32.14% |
| 1/21/2026 11:13:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +9.15% | -4.58% |
| 1/21/2026 2:14:38 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +9.15% | +4.58% |
| 1/20/2026 2:41:17 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +9.79% | +14.69% |
| 1/14/2026 11:25:04 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.92% | +4.38% |
| 1/14/2026 2:13:25 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.92% | +4.38% |
| 12/23/2025 2:10:09 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.80% | -2.71% |
| 12/19/2025 5:07:19 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | +16.09% | +24.14% |
| 12/19/2025 1:48:55 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +16.09% | +16.09% |
| 12/17/2025 2:18:23 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.43% | +9.65% |
| 12/15/2025 10:17:24 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +9.32% | +13.98% |
| 12/11/2025 2:02:09 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.72% | +5.58% |
| 12/10/2025 2:04:36 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +23.10% | +23.10% |
| 12/8/2025 1:55:19 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.45% | +3.45% |
| 12/4/2025 1:55:43 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.17% | +2.17% |
| 12/3/2025 1:42:38 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.32% | +3.48% |
| 11/28/2025 2:32:51 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.33% | -0.49% |
| 11/27/2025 3:34:31 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.03% | +1.54% |
| 11/25/2025 2:09:39 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.64% | +5.46% |
| 11/20/2025 2:01:46 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +39.54% | +39.54% |
| 11/19/2025 2:11:41 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.62% | +2.43% |
| 11/18/2025 2:15:37 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.93% | -0.46% |
| 11/17/2025 11:09:46 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +1.23% | -0.61% |
| 11/14/2025 2:02:42 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +2.12% | -2.12% |
| 11/12/2025 10:49:45 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.36% | -3.55% |
| 11/12/2025 2:16:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.36% | -3.55% |
| 11/11/2025 1:54:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.54% | -6.81% |
| 11/7/2025 1:44:27 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -1.60% | -2.40% |
| 10/30/2025 1:04:43 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.56% | -0.28% |
| 10/29/2025 1:10:53 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.75% | -4.13% |
| 10/28/2025 1:16:24 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.40% | -0.70% |
| 10/27/2025 10:44:23 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +1.62% | -0.81% |
| 10/13/2025 2:05:40 PM | long term sharp up | 62 days later | +9.99% | +14.98% |
| 10/2/2025 1:50:52 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.07% | +6.10% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +3.17% | +4.76% |
| 9/26/2025 2:00:35 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +3.49% | +5.23% |
| 9/24/2025 2:07:11 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +17.30% | +17.30% |
| 9/22/2025 1:45:19 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +3.29% | +4.93% |
| 9/19/2025 2:06:39 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +3.81% | +1.91% |
| 9/12/2025 2:07:34 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +2.06% | +3.09% |
| 9/11/2025 1:56:16 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.42% | -0.21% |
| 9/10/2025 1:41:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.48% | -0.74% |
| 9/9/2025 11:14:55 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +8.17% | +12.26% |
| 9/9/2025 2:18:10 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.78% | +2.68% |
| 9/3/2025 1:52:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.66% | +2.50% |
| 9/2/2025 2:02:33 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.32% | +1.98% |
| 8/28/2025 2:17:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.29% | +3.29% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.16% | -1.16% |
| 8/4/2025 11:45:30 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -0.08% | -0.08% |
| 7/24/2025 2:44:36 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.54% | +2.54% |
| 7/18/2025 2:12:59 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -2.39% | -2.39% |
ndx
Sell-off that's going on across the AI space here across momentum, losing some of that upward momentum, and people start to question this AI picture again.
| 5/27/2026 8:38:49 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.44% | +1.44% |
| 5/13/2026 1:45:31 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.57% | -2.57% |
| 5/8/2026 2:01:51 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -1.11% | +0.56% |
| 5/5/2026 2:13:50 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +2.52% | +1.26% |
| 3/18/2026 1:13:58 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.45% | -1.45% |
| 3/3/2026 2:19:16 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.50% | +0.50% |
| 1/30/2026 2:05:52 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -1.83% | +1.83% |
| 1/28/2026 2:08:44 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.11% | -2.11% |
| 1/26/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.78% | +0.39% |
| 1/21/2026 2:14:38 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.65% | -1.65% |
| 12/11/2025 2:02:09 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.18% | +2.18% |
| 11/25/2025 2:09:39 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.42% | -0.42% |
| 11/24/2025 2:27:59 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +1.30% | +1.30% |
| 11/18/2025 2:15:37 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.95% |
| 11/14/2025 2:02:42 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.30% | -0.30% |
| 11/12/2025 2:16:05 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.96% | -1.96% |
| 11/11/2025 1:54:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.81% | +1.41% |
| 11/7/2025 1:44:27 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -3.17% | +3.17% |
| 11/5/2025 2:23:24 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.61% | -1.61% |
| 10/29/2025 1:10:53 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.16% | -1.16% |
| 10/27/2025 10:44:23 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -0.15% | -0.23% |
| 10/2/2025 1:50:52 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.42% | +2.12% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +1.21% | +1.21% |
| 9/22/2025 1:45:19 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.13% | -0.06% |
| 9/19/2025 2:06:39 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.60% | -0.60% |
| 9/9/2025 2:18:10 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.86% | +1.86% |
| 9/2/2025 2:02:33 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.48% | -1.48% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.88% | -1.88% |
rut
Broad market sell-off described as 'sea of red everywhere' driven by rate hike expectations, which typically impacts small caps (RUT) more severely.
yields
Strong jobs data allows Fed to adopt a hiking bias, which typically pushes yields higher as rate expectations rise.
