metals

Gold is being part of that... It's negatively correlated. It does very well in such bubbles... I would rather be short debt in a sense Dalio explicitly recommends gold as hedge against government debt problems and sees it performing well during bubble periods

ndx

Earnings revisions are just phenomenally strong. The runway to next year in terms of earnings growth is great. Our 7750 price target is likely not going to imply any multiple expansion Despite current volatility and debt concerns, maintains bullish S&P 7750 target based on strong earnings growth fundamentals

metals

We are still happy to buy gold, palladium, silver; gold buying is high this year catalyzed by distrust in U.S. government and related factors. Precious metals benefit from safe haven demand amid distrust in government and economic uncertainty.

ndx

The NASDAQ shows weakness with tech leading declines and is on track for worst week since April. Market participants reacting to valuation concerns and mixed economic data are favoring downside risk for Nasdaq in the short term.

yields

We have reduced interest rate sensitivity, pulled some from the front end of the yield curve, focusing on carry and lower duration. The funds rate could move slightly lower from current break even levels. Due to sticky inflation and moderating employment, central banks are likely to pause and possibly lower rates slightly, leading to cautious down yields in the medium term.

yields

Today, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower our policy interest rate by a quarter percentage point. We judged it appropriate at this meeting to take another step toward a more neutral policy stance. With downside risks to employment having increased in recent months, the balance of risks has shifted. A further reduction in the policy rate at the December meeting is not a foregone conclusion. Policy is not on a preset course. Powell explains that the Federal Reserve is lowering rates cautiously to balance the upside risks to inflation and downside risks to employment, reflecting cautious easing in the short term as incoming data and uncertain risks continue to be evaluated.

yields

A further reduction in the policy rate at the December meeting is not a foregone conclusion, and the balance of risks has shifted with downside risks to employment increased. Fed is navigating a difficult trade-off between inflation risks tilted to the upside and employment risks to the downside, moving policy toward a more neutral stance, implying cautious downward pressure on yields in the short term.

yields

The committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point, indicating a cautious easing of yields in the short term.

yields

If you're driving in the fog you slow down; possibility that it would make sense to be more cautious about moving in December; not committing but certainly a possibility. Uncertainty due to lack of clear data ahead of December meeting suggests a cautious approach to adjusting yields, implying limited or cautious down movement short term.

yields

Policy is still modestly restrictive, which should lead to a gradually cooling economy and labor market. We are absolutely committed to returning inflation to 2%.

yields

If you were to see data that suggested the labor market strengthening or stabilizing, that would play into decisions going forward. High uncertainty could argue for caution about moving rates. The Fed is monitoring labor and inflation data closely and may proceed cautiously with rate cuts if labor market stabilizes or strengthens, indicating potential inflation risks.

yields

Inflation remains somewhat elevated and inflation expectations have moved up on balance over the course of this year, implying cautious upward pressure on yields in the medium term.

yields

Risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, balance of risks has shifted, and we took a step toward a more neutral policy stance. The Fed sees upside risks to inflation near term and downside risks to employment, which supports a cautious increase or maintenance of yields rather than a rate cut.

yields

A further reduction in the policy rate of December meeting is not a foregone conclusion; policy had been at a modestly restrictive level and may move towards neutral over time as risks to labor market are balanced. The Federal Reserve is considering data and balance of risks; with labor market risks increasing, the policy stance may shift towards neutral, implying cautious downward movement in yields in the medium term.

yields

the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower our policy interest rate by a quarter percentage point The decision to lower the federal funds target range indicates a cautious down direction for short-term yields due to balancing risks to employment and inflation while acknowledging elevated inflation and cooling labor market

yields

We're going to be more likely to ease rates than to tighten rates because most of the economy elements are weakening. The speaker highlights a divergence between a bubble in asset prices and weakening real economy, implying monetary policy will ease, which tends to push yields lower over the medium term.

yields

We're going to be more likely to ease rates than to tighten rates. Most of the economy is weakening. Monetary policy for both is not going to work because of the divergent elements.

ndx

"I think the market recognizes that this is the kind of innovation that this industry has needed." and "now we can innovate much faster." Partnerships and new product platforms specifically leveraging AI and accelerated computing will accelerate innovation in semiconductor and technology sectors, leading to a medium-term positive outlook for NASDAQ 100 stocks.

ndx

Over 40% of the economic growth in the second quarter was CapEx for technology. This driving the large gap between U.S. and European GDP and justifies maintaining a large overweight in the U.S. for at least 18 months.

yields

US Treasuries are exhibiting safe haven tendencies with yields low due to geopolitical tensions and trade negotiations; however, once hurdles are cleared, yields may rise modestly. Fed expected to ease by 25 basis points; inflation data is uncertain but crucial. Current low yields reflect risk aversion and uncertainties, but underlying risks such as debt, deficits, and inflation limit how low yields can fall.