Strong May jobs report (172k payrolls, steady 4.3% unemployment) boosts Fed rate hike bets, triggering sharp stock selloff (Dow -695, Nasdaq -1122, S&P -201) and Bitcoin crash below $60k for first time since Oct 2024, down 50%+ from $126k peak.

implicit

explicit
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Bitcoin sharp down
Bloomberg 7.0
Financial Media
Erica Herskovitz 3.0
6/5/2026 11:42:30 PM
ndx
The Nasdaq plunged 1,122 points.
211 calls
-1
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
6/5/2026 9:28:39 PM short term down 7 days later +3.84% -3.84%
6/5/2026 6:29:32 PM short term down 7 days later +3.84% -3.84%
6/5/2026 4:57:35 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +3.84% -1.92%
6/5/2026 4:12:24 PM short term down 7 days later +3.84% -3.84%
6/4/2026 5:20:52 AM short term down 5 days later -1.55% +1.55%
6/3/2026 11:19:38 PM short term down 5 days later -4.35% +4.35%
6/3/2026 9:58:46 AM short term up 5 days later -4.35% -4.35%
6/2/2026 6:07:13 PM short term up 5 days later -3.78% -3.78%
6/2/2026 9:59:30 AM short term up 5 days later -3.78% -3.78%
6/1/2026 9:55:28 AM short term up 6 days later -4.06% -4.06%
6/1/2026 7:57:57 AM short term up 6 days later -4.06% -4.06%
5/29/2026 1:15:10 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -3.60% -1.80%
5/29/2026 6:24:16 AM short term up 7 days later -3.60% -3.60%
5/28/2026 11:30:53 PM short term up 5 days later +0.78% +0.78%
5/28/2026 10:34:44 AM short term sharp down 5 days later +0.78% -1.18%
5/27/2026 8:38:39 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.44% -0.72%
5/27/2026 1:04:14 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.44% -0.72%
5/27/2026 10:39:52 AM short term down 5 days later +1.44% -1.44%
5/27/2026 7:43:30 AM short term up 5 days later +1.44% +1.44%
5/27/2026 12:06:13 AM short term up 5 days later +1.44% +1.44%
5/27/2026 12:03:14 AM short term up 5 days later +1.44% +1.44%
5/26/2026 8:31:32 PM medium term up 20 days later -0.02% -0.02%
5/26/2026 10:13:23 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.02% +0.01%
5/25/2026 10:15:34 AM short term down 6 days later +1.71% -1.71%
5/25/2026 9:42:20 AM short term up 6 days later +1.71% +1.71%
5/22/2026 9:11:59 PM short term up 5 days later +2.89% +2.89%
5/22/2026 4:48:45 PM short term up 5 days later +2.89% +2.89%
5/22/2026 10:35:21 AM short term cautious up 5 days later +2.89% +1.44%
5/22/2026 10:35:21 AM short term up 5 days later +2.89% +2.89%
5/21/2026 9:08:20 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.67% -0.83%
5/21/2026 6:44:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.67% -0.83%
5/21/2026 5:46:09 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.12% +0.06%
5/20/2026 11:58:17 PM short term up 5 days later +2.19% +2.19%
5/20/2026 9:19:43 PM short term up 5 days later +2.19% +2.19%
5/20/2026 12:22:59 AM short term down 5 days later +2.19% -2.19%
5/19/2026 11:25:08 PM short term down 5 days later +0.63% -0.63%
5/18/2026 9:50:51 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +2.30% -1.15%
5/18/2026 7:20:23 PM short term up 5 days later +2.30% +2.30%
5/18/2026 1:45:35 PM short term down 5 days later +2.30% -2.30%
5/18/2026 1:16:29 PM short term down 5 days later +2.30% -2.30%
5/16/2026 12:12:07 AM short term down 6 days later +1.68% -1.68%
5/15/2026 11:52:13 PM short term down 6 days later +1.68% -1.68%
5/15/2026 5:45:06 PM short term down 6 days later +1.68% -1.68%
5/15/2026 4:01:38 PM medium term up 21 days later +1.45% +1.45%
5/15/2026 7:54:32 AM short term down 6 days later +1.68% -1.68%
5/14/2026 2:29:36 PM short term up 5 days later +0.59% +0.59%
5/14/2026 10:22:14 AM medium term down 20 days later +4.40% -4.40%
5/14/2026 12:00:33 AM short term up 5 days later +0.59% +0.59%
5/13/2026 11:31:04 PM short term up 5 days later -2.57% -2.57%
5/13/2026 10:10:31 PM short term up 5 days later -2.57% -2.57%
5/13/2026 9:18:02 PM short term up 5 days later -2.57% -2.57%
5/13/2026 5:46:04 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -2.57% -1.29%
5/13/2026 10:40:42 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.57% +1.29%
5/12/2026 10:17:11 PM short term down 5 days later -1.27% +1.27%
5/12/2026 9:45:39 PM short term down 5 days later -1.27% +1.27%
5/12/2026 6:29:30 PM short term down 5 days later -1.27% +1.27%
5/12/2026 5:44:45 PM short term down 5 days later -1.27% +1.27%
5/12/2026 2:49:50 AM short term up 5 days later -1.27% -1.27%
5/11/2026 8:32:50 PM short term up 6 days later -0.24% -0.24%
5/11/2026 3:12:21 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +4.99% +2.49%
5/11/2026 8:25:16 AM short term up 6 days later -0.24% -0.24%
5/10/2026 10:55:12 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later +4.07% +2.03%
5/8/2026 9:25:43 PM short term up 7 days later -1.11% -1.11%
5/8/2026 6:45:11 PM short term up 7 days later -1.11% -1.11%
5/8/2026 10:33:30 AM short term up 7 days later -1.11% -1.11%
5/8/2026 9:39:28 AM short term down 7 days later -1.11% +1.11%
5/8/2026 12:54:54 AM short term down 7 days later -1.11% +1.11%
5/7/2026 11:14:50 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.45% -0.23%
5/7/2026 9:26:20 PM short term down 5 days later +0.45% -0.45%
5/7/2026 7:11:49 PM short term up 5 days later +0.45% +0.45%
5/7/2026 10:44:12 AM short term up 5 days later +0.45% +0.45%
5/7/2026 10:02:35 AM medium term up 20 days later +3.38% +3.38%
5/7/2026 7:06:33 AM medium term up 20 days later +3.38% +3.38%
5/6/2026 4:25:04 PM short term up 5 days later +1.75% +1.75%
5/6/2026 7:07:04 AM short term up 5 days later +1.75% +1.75%
5/5/2026 10:15:04 PM short term up 5 days later +2.52% +2.52%
5/5/2026 12:24:00 AM short term down 5 days later +2.52% -2.52%
5/1/2026 4:44:32 PM short term up 7 days later +6.04% +6.04%
4/30/2026 11:53:22 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +3.21% +4.81%
4/30/2026 10:27:44 AM medium term up 20 days later +5.94% +5.94%
4/27/2026 9:40:13 AM short term up 6 days later +2.30% +2.30%
4/22/2026 12:50:22 AM short term down 5 days later +0.92% -0.92%
4/21/2026 4:08:13 PM short term up 5 days later +1.37% +1.37%
4/21/2026 9:48:39 AM medium term up 20 days later +7.90% +7.90%
4/18/2026 12:01:38 AM short term sharp up 7 days later +2.69% +4.04%
4/15/2026 6:29:05 AM short term up 5 days later +0.56% +0.56%
4/15/2026 2:51:26 AM short term up 5 days later +0.56% +0.56%
4/15/2026 12:05:32 AM short term sharp up 5 days later +0.56% +0.83%
4/14/2026 6:20:19 PM short term up 5 days later +1.47% +1.47%
4/13/2026 7:00:27 PM short term down 6 days later +2.90% -2.90%
4/10/2026 12:48:22 AM short term up 7 days later +4.75% +4.75%
4/9/2026 7:03:26 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +4.33% -2.17%
4/8/2026 11:22:44 PM short term up 5 days later +3.03% +3.03%
4/6/2026 10:46:54 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +4.88% +2.44%
4/3/2026 3:02:21 AM short term cautious up 7 days later +4.93% +2.46%
4/3/2026 12:36:51 AM short term up 7 days later +4.93% +4.93%
4/2/2026 4:45:47 PM short term down 5 days later +3.57% -3.57%
4/2/2026 11:25:19 AM short term down 5 days later +3.57% -3.57%
4/1/2026 1:17:50 AM short term up 5 days later +0.65% +0.65%
3/30/2026 2:09:27 PM medium term down 20 days later +12.01% -12.01%
3/28/2026 6:03:36 PM short term down 7 days later +5.40% -5.40%
3/27/2026 11:07:21 PM short term down 7 days later +5.40% -5.40%
3/27/2026 2:00:21 AM short term down 7 days later +5.40% -5.40%
3/26/2026 11:24:01 PM short term down 5 days later +3.84% -3.84%
3/26/2026 9:40:28 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +3.84% -1.92%
3/24/2026 10:39:13 AM short term down 5 days later -5.01% +5.01%
3/23/2026 12:16:34 PM short term down 6 days later -4.37% +4.37%
3/23/2026 9:56:47 AM medium term down 20 days later +5.75% -5.75%
3/19/2026 10:26:26 PM short term down 5 days later +1.11% -1.11%
3/13/2026 6:44:24 AM short term cautious down 7 days later -1.89% +0.95%
3/9/2026 2:08:40 PM short term down 6 days later -1.21% +1.21%
3/9/2026 10:03:43 AM short term down 6 days later -1.21% +1.21%
2/28/2026 1:02:34 AM short term down 6 days later -1.40% +1.40%
2/19/2026 11:46:00 PM short term down 5 days later +1.27% -1.27%
2/13/2026 9:47:08 AM short term down 7 days later -0.10% +0.10%
2/13/2026 12:58:03 AM short term down 7 days later -0.10% +0.10%
2/11/2026 10:51:35 AM short term down 5 days later +0.06% -0.06%
2/6/2026 11:41:39 PM short term up 7 days later -2.12% -2.12%
1/29/2026 9:18:07 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.59% +1.29%
1/28/2026 1:08:47 AM short term up 5 days later -2.11% -2.11%
1/12/2026 2:06:59 PM short term down 6 days later -0.83% +0.83%
1/8/2026 10:04:31 AM short term down 5 days later -1.17% +1.17%
12/24/2025 8:43:44 AM short term up 5 days later -1.54% -1.54%
12/24/2025 7:08:10 AM short term up 5 days later -1.54% -1.54%
12/22/2025 9:48:16 PM short term up 6 days later -0.24% -0.24%
12/19/2025 9:48:49 PM short term up 7 days later +0.25% +0.25%
12/19/2025 10:45:28 AM short term up 7 days later +0.25% +0.25%
12/19/2025 1:45:14 AM medium term up 21 days later +1.28% +1.28%
12/18/2025 11:18:27 PM short term up 5 days later +1.22% +1.22%
12/18/2025 8:02:41 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.22% -0.61%
12/17/2025 11:36:40 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +2.27% -1.14%
12/16/2025 11:40:23 PM short term up 5 days later +3.30% +3.30%
12/11/2025 10:26:28 AM short term cautious up 5 days later -2.18% -1.09%
12/10/2025 11:45:39 PM short term up 5 days later -2.16% -2.16%
12/1/2025 2:08:24 PM short term down 6 days later +0.28% -0.28%
11/28/2025 12:53:14 PM long term up 60 days later +0.83% +0.83%
11/25/2025 4:59:14 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.42% -0.21%
11/25/2025 5:18:20 AM short term up 5 days later +0.42% +0.42%
11/24/2025 11:41:23 PM short term up 6 days later +1.30% +1.30%
11/21/2025 1:49:16 PM short term down 7 days later +1.89% -1.89%
11/21/2025 10:59:48 AM short term down 7 days later +1.89% -1.89%
11/19/2025 1:40:42 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +4.01% -2.00%
11/19/2025 1:30:46 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +4.01% -2.00%
11/18/2025 1:29:07 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.95% -0.47%
11/11/2025 7:51:50 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.81% +1.41%
11/11/2025 2:03:07 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.81% +1.41%
11/11/2025 2:03:07 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.81% +1.41%
11/11/2025 1:10:20 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -2.81% -1.41%
11/11/2025 10:07:03 AM short term cautious up 5 days later -2.81% -1.41%
11/10/2025 2:14:07 PM short term up 6 days later -2.87% -2.87%
11/10/2025 10:55:42 AM short term up 6 days later -2.87% -2.87%
11/10/2025 10:55:42 AM short term up 6 days later -2.87% -2.87%
11/7/2025 10:12:11 AM short term down 7 days later -3.17% +3.17%
11/5/2025 5:35:23 AM short term down 5 days later +1.61% -1.61%
10/27/2025 7:25:44 AM short term up 6 days later -0.15% -0.15%
10/17/2025 10:27:37 AM short term down 5 days later +2.18% -2.18%
10/3/2025 5:39:54 AM short term up 6 days later -3.03% -3.03%
10/2/2025 9:07:28 AM short term up 5 days later +1.42% +1.42%
10/2/2025 9:07:28 AM short term up 5 days later +1.42% +1.42%
10/1/2025 10:25:13 PM short term down 5 days later -0.21% +0.21%
9/26/2025 1:25:54 AM short term down 7 days later +1.49% -1.49%
9/19/2025 10:47:12 AM short term up 7 days later -0.60% -0.60%
9/19/2025 8:51:38 AM short term up 7 days later -0.60% -0.60%
9/19/2025 7:17:12 AM short term up 7 days later -0.60% -0.60%
9/12/2025 7:15:05 AM short term up 7 days later +1.92% +1.92%
9/10/2025 8:24:03 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +1.17% +1.76%
9/4/2025 9:41:48 AM short term up 5 days later +0.83% +0.83%
8/29/2025 8:13:51 AM short term up 6 days later +2.29% +2.29%
8/29/2025 8:13:51 AM short term up 6 days later +2.29% +2.29%
8/28/2025 7:11:09 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -+0.00% +0.00%
8/27/2025 1:15:21 AM short term up 5 days later -1.99% -1.99%
8/25/2025 12:19:20 PM short term up 7 days later -1.25% -1.25%
8/21/2025 7:19:44 AM short term down 5 days later +0.29% -0.29%
8/20/2025 6:36:06 AM short term down 5 days later +1.65% -1.65%
8/20/2025 6:36:06 AM short term down 5 days later +1.65% -1.65%
8/12/2025 8:37:14 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.57% +0.28%
8/7/2025 9:54:40 AM short term up 5 days later +1.01% +1.01%
8/5/2025 10:31:22 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.91% -0.45%
7/25/2025 12:39:07 PM short term up 7 days later -0.72% -0.72%
7/16/2025 9:14:41 AM short term up 5 days later -0.08% -0.08%
Show all 180 ndx results
yields
The report states the strong jobs data 'boosted bets that the Fed will consider an interest rate hike this year,' which implies market expectations for higher yields as the probability of tighter monetary policy increases.

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