Markets reporter Anthony Stevens explains that the AI-driven tech rally is pushing global stocks to record highs, with the Nasdaq correlation near zero as investors chase individual themes. However, the Iran war is having a massive impact under the hood: most Asian FX is weaker, South Asian markets are seeing extended foreign selling, and consumer sectors are struggling. The tech industry is feasting on a capex boom, but policymakers and consumers are grappling with inflationary pressures from the war.
Yields
explicit
implicit
Metals
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Bloomberg
5.5
Financial Media
Anthony Stevens 5.0
Financial Media
Anthony Stevens 5.0
US stocks; oil
6/1/2026 9:55:28 AM
dxy
Most Asian FX with the exception of China are materially weaker on the year including the Korean one and the Taiwanese dollar as they try to price the inflationary impact of this war.
| 5/11/2026 2:37:40 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +0.69% | +0.69% |
| 5/7/2026 2:09:37 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +1.21% | -1.21% |
| 5/7/2026 11:14:07 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.65% | -0.65% |
| 5/7/2026 10:02:35 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.65% | -0.33% |
| 5/7/2026 10:02:35 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.21% | -0.60% |
| 5/7/2026 9:41:16 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.65% | -0.65% |
| 5/6/2026 7:07:04 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.04% | -0.02% |
| 4/30/2026 8:02:59 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.19% | -0.19% |
| 3/27/2026 11:59:23 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.53% | -0.79% |
| 3/23/2026 9:48:17 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -1.07% | -1.60% |
| 3/23/2026 7:21:12 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +1.09% | +1.09% |
| 3/9/2026 2:08:40 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +0.89% | +0.89% |
| 3/9/2026 8:28:21 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +0.89% | +0.89% |
| 3/6/2026 10:25:51 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.52% | +1.52% |
| 2/23/2026 2:15:21 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.51% |
| 2/13/2026 9:47:08 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.62% | -0.62% |
| 2/11/2026 2:09:22 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.12% |
| 2/11/2026 10:51:35 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.12% |
| 2/6/2026 5:34:10 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.28% | +0.28% |
| 2/5/2026 6:10:54 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.82% | -0.82% |
| 1/30/2026 2:30:29 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.81% | -0.81% |
| 1/29/2026 9:02:44 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.97% | -0.48% |
| 1/29/2026 9:23:52 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.65% | -0.65% |
| 1/29/2026 9:18:07 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.97% | -0.48% |
| 1/29/2026 9:02:17 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.97% | -0.48% |
| 1/28/2026 7:33:33 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.20% | -1.20% |
| 1/28/2026 1:08:47 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +1.20% | -1.81% |
| 1/27/2026 11:03:03 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.20% | -1.20% |
| 1/26/2026 7:52:04 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +1.44% | -0.72% |
| 1/26/2026 4:46:43 AM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.44% | -1.44% |
| 1/20/2026 6:00:07 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.74% | +1.74% |
| 1/20/2026 5:25:20 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.74% | +1.74% |
| 1/14/2026 6:48:56 AM | medium term down | 20 days later | -1.71% | +1.71% |
| 1/12/2026 3:24:56 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.27% | -0.27% |
| 1/12/2026 2:06:59 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.27% | -0.27% |
| 12/23/2025 10:14:37 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +1.17% | +1.17% |
| 12/11/2025 6:13:10 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.03% | +0.02% |
| 12/4/2025 6:49:20 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.20% | +0.10% |
| 12/1/2025 5:28:31 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.08% | +0.54% |
| 11/4/2025 12:00:38 PM | long term up | 61 days later | -1.93% | -1.93% |
| 10/17/2025 10:27:37 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.43% | -0.43% |
| 10/1/2025 10:52:02 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.75% | -0.37% |
| 10/1/2025 8:12:58 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.75% | -0.75% |
| 10/1/2025 8:12:58 AM | medium term down | 20 days later | +1.07% | -1.07% |
| 9/30/2025 7:44:54 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.41% | -0.20% |
| 9/25/2025 1:14:48 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.45% | -0.45% |
| 9/17/2025 10:11:21 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.09% | +0.05% |
| 9/17/2025 8:33:28 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.09% | +0.05% |
| 9/5/2025 10:16:54 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.15% | +0.15% |
| 8/26/2025 8:35:09 AM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.17% | -0.17% |
| 8/1/2025 2:29:07 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.26% | -0.26% |
| 8/1/2025 12:29:01 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.26% | -0.26% |
ndx
The AI rally is broadening out... every day there's a new theme driving that market... this gives people the confidence but also the urgency to chase out these individual themes.
| 5/21/2026 9:08:20 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.67% | -0.83% |
| 5/21/2026 10:34:29 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.67% | -0.83% |
| 5/20/2026 11:58:17 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.19% | +2.19% |
| 5/20/2026 9:19:43 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.19% | +2.19% |
| 5/20/2026 12:22:59 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.19% | -2.19% |
| 5/14/2026 2:29:36 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 5/14/2026 12:00:33 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 5/13/2026 11:31:04 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.57% | -2.57% |
| 5/13/2026 10:10:31 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.57% | -2.57% |
| 5/13/2026 9:18:02 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.57% | -2.57% |
| 5/13/2026 5:46:04 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -2.57% | -1.29% |
| 5/13/2026 10:40:42 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.57% | +1.29% |
| 5/12/2026 10:17:11 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.27% | +1.27% |
| 5/12/2026 9:45:39 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.27% | +1.27% |
| 5/12/2026 6:29:30 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.27% | +1.27% |
| 5/12/2026 5:44:45 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.27% | +1.27% |
| 5/12/2026 2:49:50 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 5/11/2026 8:32:50 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.24% | -0.24% |
| 5/11/2026 8:25:16 AM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.24% | -0.24% |
| 5/8/2026 9:25:43 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.11% | -1.11% |
| 5/8/2026 10:33:30 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.11% | -1.11% |
| 5/8/2026 9:39:28 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -1.11% | +1.11% |
| 5/8/2026 12:54:54 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -1.11% | +1.11% |
| 5/7/2026 11:14:50 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.45% | -0.23% |
| 5/7/2026 9:26:20 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.45% | -0.45% |
| 5/7/2026 10:44:12 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.45% | +0.45% |
| 5/7/2026 10:02:35 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +3.38% | +3.38% |
| 5/7/2026 7:06:33 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +3.38% | +3.38% |
| 5/6/2026 7:38:13 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +4.93% | +2.47% |
| 5/6/2026 4:25:04 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.75% | +1.75% |
| 5/6/2026 7:59:28 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +4.93% | -2.47% |
| 5/6/2026 7:07:04 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.75% | +1.75% |
| 5/5/2026 12:24:00 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.52% | -2.52% |
| 5/1/2026 4:44:32 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +6.04% | +6.04% |
| 4/30/2026 11:53:22 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.21% | +4.81% |
| 4/30/2026 10:27:44 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +5.94% | +5.94% |
| 3/19/2026 10:26:26 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.11% | -1.11% |
| 3/13/2026 6:44:24 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -1.89% | +0.95% |
| 3/9/2026 2:08:40 PM | short term down | 6 days later | -1.21% | +1.21% |
| 3/9/2026 10:03:43 AM | short term down | 6 days later | -1.21% | +1.21% |
| 2/24/2026 7:11:54 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -2.17% | +1.08% |
| 2/19/2026 11:46:00 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.27% | -1.27% |
| 2/11/2026 10:51:35 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.06% | -0.06% |
| 2/5/2026 6:10:54 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.50% | -0.50% |
| 1/29/2026 9:18:07 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.59% | +1.29% |
| 1/28/2026 1:08:47 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.11% | -2.11% |
| 1/8/2026 11:03:52 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.17% | +0.58% |
| 1/8/2026 10:04:31 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.17% | +1.17% |
| 12/24/2025 8:43:44 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.54% | -1.54% |
| 12/24/2025 7:08:10 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.54% | -1.54% |
| 12/23/2025 7:24:06 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.51% | -0.51% |
| 12/22/2025 9:48:16 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.24% | -0.24% |
| 12/22/2025 2:42:18 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.24% | +0.12% |
| 12/19/2025 9:48:49 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.25% | +0.25% |
| 12/19/2025 10:45:28 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.25% | +0.25% |
| 12/19/2025 1:45:14 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | +1.28% | +1.28% |
| 12/18/2025 11:18:27 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.22% | +1.22% |
| 12/18/2025 9:42:38 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.22% | -1.22% |
| 12/18/2025 8:02:41 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.22% | -0.61% |
| 12/17/2025 11:36:40 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.27% | -1.14% |
| 12/16/2025 11:40:23 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.30% | +3.30% |
| 12/11/2025 10:26:28 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -2.18% | -1.09% |
| 12/10/2025 11:45:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.16% | -2.16% |
| 12/1/2025 2:08:24 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.28% | -0.28% |
| 11/28/2025 12:53:14 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +0.83% | +0.83% |
| 11/25/2025 8:46:35 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.42% | +0.42% |
| 11/25/2025 4:59:14 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.42% | -0.21% |
| 11/25/2025 5:18:20 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.42% | +0.42% |
| 11/24/2025 11:41:23 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +1.30% | +1.30% |
| 11/21/2025 1:49:16 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.89% | -1.89% |
| 11/21/2025 10:59:48 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.89% | -1.89% |
| 11/19/2025 1:40:42 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +4.01% | -2.00% |
| 11/19/2025 1:30:46 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +4.01% | -2.00% |
| 11/18/2025 1:29:07 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.47% |
| 11/18/2025 10:02:58 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.95% |
| 11/11/2025 7:51:50 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.81% | +1.41% |
| 11/11/2025 2:03:07 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.81% | +1.41% |
| 11/11/2025 2:03:07 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.81% | +1.41% |
| 11/11/2025 1:10:20 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -2.81% | -1.41% |
| 11/11/2025 10:07:03 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -2.81% | -1.41% |
| 11/10/2025 2:14:07 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.87% | -2.87% |
| 11/10/2025 10:55:42 AM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.87% | -2.87% |
| 11/10/2025 10:55:42 AM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.87% | -2.87% |
| 11/7/2025 10:12:11 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -3.17% | +3.17% |
| 11/6/2025 11:18:53 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.83% | -1.83% |
| 11/5/2025 5:35:23 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.61% | -1.61% |
| 11/4/2025 2:20:08 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.03% | +0.03% |
| 10/27/2025 7:25:44 AM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.15% | -0.15% |
| 10/2/2025 9:07:28 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.42% | +1.42% |
| 10/2/2025 9:07:28 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.42% | +1.42% |
| 10/1/2025 10:25:13 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.21% | +0.21% |
| 9/26/2025 1:25:54 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.49% | -1.49% |
| 9/19/2025 10:47:12 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.60% | -0.60% |
| 9/19/2025 8:51:38 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.60% | -0.60% |
| 9/19/2025 7:17:12 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.60% | -0.60% |
| 9/12/2025 7:15:05 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +1.92% | +1.92% |
| 9/11/2025 8:51:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.55% | +0.55% |
| 9/10/2025 8:24:03 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.17% | +1.76% |
| 9/4/2025 9:41:48 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.83% | +0.83% |
| 9/3/2025 12:19:28 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.88% | +0.88% |
| 8/29/2025 8:13:51 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +2.29% | +2.29% |
| 8/29/2025 8:13:51 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +2.29% | +2.29% |
| 8/28/2025 7:11:09 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -+0.00% | +0.00% |
| 8/27/2025 1:15:21 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.99% | -1.99% |
| 8/25/2025 12:19:20 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.25% | -1.25% |
| 8/21/2025 7:19:44 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.29% | -0.29% |
| 8/20/2025 11:22:19 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.65% | -1.65% |
| 8/20/2025 6:36:06 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.65% | -1.65% |
| 8/20/2025 6:36:06 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.65% | -1.65% |
| 8/12/2025 8:37:14 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.57% | +0.28% |
| 8/7/2025 9:54:40 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.01% | +1.01% |
| 8/5/2025 10:31:22 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.91% | -0.45% |
| 7/25/2025 12:39:07 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.72% | -0.72% |
| 7/16/2025 9:14:41 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.08% | -0.08% |
rut
The guest notes that the rally is concentrated in tech stocks (NDX), while consumer sectors are struggling. The RUT (small caps) would be more exposed to consumer weakness and less to the AI capex boom, suggesting a sideways or underperforming trend.
wti
The Iran war is causing massive disruption to energy, Asian FX is weakening to price inflationary impact, and the host notes oil prices are up 2% to $93/barrel. The guest confirms the war is having a massive impact on markets.
