Retail sales beat was broad-based but inflated by higher gasoline prices; the underlying consumer remains strong and falling gas prices could boost H2 growth. The new Fed chair's first press conference will be information-dense and likely trigger short-term volatility. US-Iran rhetoric is pressuring crude oil higher but is seen as diplomatic negotiation, not a sustained escalation.
explicit
implicit
implicit
Metals
USD
US equities volatile
Charles Schwab
7.8
Asset Manager $890.00B
Kevin Hincks 5.0
Asset Manager $890.00B
Kevin Hincks 5.0
6/17/2026 4:30:03 PM
ndx
Strong consumer spending and economic data support tech/growth companies. However, the Fed press conference introduces near-term uncertainty. The overall positive macro outlook suggests cautious optimism for the Nasdaq.
rut
Strong consumer spending data and falling gas prices are positive for small-cap domestic companies. Kevin describes the economy as 'very strong' and expects falling gas prices to 'unleash things in the second half of the year', which would benefit the Russell 2000.
wti
Kevin states 'crude oil's reacting to that today' in response to US-Iran rhetoric, implying near-term upward pressure on oil prices due to geopolitical tension and negotiation tactics.
yields
That window of 130 to 230 Chicago time, 230 to 330 Eastern is gonna be incredibly volatile to watch what he says and how the market reacts to what he says.
| 6/4/2026 4:40:40 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.13% | -0.13% |
| 6/3/2026 7:30:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.14% | +1.14% |
| 6/2/2026 6:00:01 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.36% | +1.36% |
| 6/1/2026 3:30:31 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +2.18% | +1.09% |
| 5/28/2026 7:00:37 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -0.04% | -0.02% |
| 5/26/2026 4:30:11 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.13% | +0.13% |
| 5/21/2026 7:00:03 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.08% | -1.04% |
| 5/21/2026 3:30:57 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.69% | +1.69% |
| 5/20/2026 6:00:24 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.03% | -2.03% |
| 5/20/2026 4:30:01 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.03% | +1.01% |
| 5/20/2026 1:00:35 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.03% | -3.04% |
| 5/19/2026 7:00:05 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -0.96% | -1.44% |
| 5/19/2026 5:39:53 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | -0.96% | +0.96% |
| 5/18/2026 3:30:42 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.46% | -1.23% |
| 5/14/2026 7:01:22 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 5/14/2026 3:30:29 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 5/13/2026 6:00:58 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.62% | +6.93% |
| 5/13/2026 4:07:44 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.62% | +4.62% |
| 5/12/2026 6:01:10 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.17% | +4.75% |
| 5/12/2026 4:00:57 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.58% | +0.29% |
| 5/11/2026 7:00:43 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/6/2026 7:01:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.62% | +1.62% |
| 5/1/2026 5:30:10 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.81% | +0.81% |
| 4/29/2026 10:30:10 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 4/17/2026 7:00:31 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +3.76% | +3.76% |
| 4/10/2026 7:01:10 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +3.47% | +3.47% |
| 4/8/2026 7:30:12 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.86% | +0.86% |
| 3/27/2026 10:22:16 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.24% |
| 3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.08% |
| 3/26/2026 6:15:02 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.73% | -2.73% |
| 3/24/2026 3:30:35 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.32% | +0.16% |
| 3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.16% | -1.08% |
| 3/20/2026 4:35:56 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | -0.85% | -0.85% |
| 3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.76% | -1.76% |
| 3/16/2026 6:01:06 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.14% | +3.14% |
| 2/23/2026 7:00:42 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +4.64% | +2.32% |
| 2/18/2026 7:00:31 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +3.26% | +1.63% |
| 2/11/2026 7:35:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 2/11/2026 4:30:22 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 1/30/2026 7:01:03 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.80% | -1.80% |
| 1/23/2026 8:46:35 PM | long term cautious up | 60 days later | +5.39% | +2.69% |
| 1/20/2026 7:01:32 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -0.94% |
| 1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM | long term cautious up | 60 days later | -1.12% | -0.56% |
| 12/31/2025 5:47:14 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.17% | -1.17% |
| 12/23/2025 5:54:44 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.48% | -0.48% |
| 12/17/2025 7:00:01 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.53% | +0.27% |
| 12/15/2025 6:00:31 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.48% | -0.48% |
| 12/11/2025 7:30:17 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.03% | +0.51% |
| 12/5/2025 8:31:08 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -1.34% | -0.67% |
| 12/1/2025 7:17:24 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.03% | +2.03% |
| 11/21/2025 6:00:06 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +1.44% | -0.72% |
| 11/14/2025 6:01:14 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -2.30% | -1.15% |
| 11/11/2025 1:00:57 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.67% | +1.67% |
| 11/5/2025 11:14:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.66% | +0.99% |
| 11/5/2025 6:00:18 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.32% | -1.16% |
| 10/31/2025 5:00:59 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.10% | -0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 5:30:29 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.09% | +3.09% |
| 10/24/2025 8:41:31 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +2.73% | -1.36% |
| 10/24/2025 5:33:04 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.73% | +2.73% |
| 10/23/2025 7:03:38 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.53% | -0.76% |
| 10/21/2025 6:30:23 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.11% | -1.11% |
| 10/20/2025 6:30:14 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.86% | -0.43% |
| 10/16/2025 10:47:56 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.35% | +1.35% |
| 10/14/2025 6:01:25 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.48% | -0.74% |
| 10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.48% | +0.74% |
| 9/30/2025 5:42:26 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -0.68% |
| 9/29/2025 6:30:09 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +0.34% | +0.17% |
| 9/26/2025 6:27:34 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/22/2025 6:00:19 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/18/2025 5:45:03 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.22% | -0.11% |
| 9/17/2025 6:01:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/16/2025 11:52:11 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.64% | -0.82% |
| 9/15/2025 10:13:32 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +3.38% | -1.69% |
| 9/15/2025 6:00:38 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +2.91% | -1.45% |
| 9/12/2025 11:30:07 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +2.70% | -1.35% |
| 9/10/2025 11:30:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/5/2025 11:30:10 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.44% |
| 9/3/2025 11:30:04 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.69% | +0.35% |
| 9/2/2025 8:01:17 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.92% | +1.96% |
| 8/29/2025 11:22:31 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | -3.13% | +3.13% |
| 8/28/2025 11:34:09 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -2.91% | +1.45% |
| 8/25/2025 11:30:06 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.26% | +2.63% |
| 8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/22/2025 11:30:14 PM | short term down | 8 days later | +0.05% | -0.05% |
| 8/21/2025 6:30:30 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.52% | -0.26% |
| 8/13/2025 11:30:57 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.21% | -0.21% |
| 8/8/2025 11:30:04 PM | long term cautious down | 60 days later | -5.20% | +2.60% |
| 8/7/2025 11:35:19 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.82% | +0.91% |
| 7/30/2025 1:54:24 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -3.76% | -3.76% |
| 7/21/2025 11:30:17 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.45% | +0.73% |
| 7/16/2025 11:30:00 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -2.85% | -1.42% |
