Phil Streible discusses precious metals grinding higher ahead of the Fed decision under new Chair Warsh. He notes gold bounced 10% from $4,000 to $4,400 on easing oil prices and conflict resolution hopes. He expects the Fed to hold rates but Warsh to lean dovish, causing rate volatility. Key levels: gold 4,400 resistance, 4,165 support; silver $72 upside, $67.38 support. Copper remains strong on AI/data center demand. He prefers futures over ETFs for efficiency.
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Gold (up)
Blue Line Futures
7.5
Hedge Fund
Phillip Streible 6.5
Hedge Fund
Phillip Streible 6.5
Gold; Silver
6/17/2026 2:15:24 PM
dxy
Dollar index here, 99.38, up 10.
| 6/3/2026 2:08:27 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.50% | +0.25% |
| 5/28/2026 6:20:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.63% | +0.63% |
| 5/28/2026 2:12:37 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.63% | +0.63% |
| 5/26/2026 8:03:19 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.01% | +0.01% |
| 5/26/2026 1:55:39 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.01% | +0.01% |
| 5/21/2026 1:58:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.11% | -0.11% |
| 5/11/2026 2:01:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +0.69% | +0.69% |
| 5/8/2026 2:01:51 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +1.05% | -0.53% |
| 5/7/2026 1:56:51 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.65% | -0.65% |
| 5/6/2026 2:05:14 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.04% | -0.04% |
| 5/1/2026 2:11:55 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.54% | +0.54% |
| 4/27/2026 2:11:11 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.15% | +0.08% |
| 4/24/2026 2:18:16 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.01% | -0.01% |
| 4/17/2026 2:14:11 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.44% | -0.22% |
| 3/16/2026 1:23:55 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -0.63% | -0.95% |
| 3/4/2026 1:58:21 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.49% | +0.49% |
| 3/2/2026 2:15:55 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.20% | -0.10% |
| 2/24/2026 2:02:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.70% | +0.70% |
| 2/23/2026 2:01:27 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.26% |
| 2/16/2026 3:07:19 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.56% | -0.56% |
| 2/13/2026 2:18:11 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.62% | -0.31% |
| 2/12/2026 2:35:02 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.85% | -0.42% |
| 2/11/2026 2:40:37 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.24% |
| 2/10/2026 10:04:22 PM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | +2.29% | -3.44% |
| 2/9/2026 2:13:26 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.30% | -0.30% |
| 2/3/2026 1:56:20 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.82% | +0.82% |
| 2/2/2026 6:29:20 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -0.64% | -0.95% |
| 1/30/2026 2:05:52 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.81% | -0.81% |
| 1/26/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +1.44% | -2.17% |
| 1/20/2026 2:41:17 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.74% | +1.74% |
| 1/12/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.27% | -0.27% |
| 12/23/2025 2:10:09 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.06% | -0.03% |
| 12/19/2025 1:48:55 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.25% | -0.25% |
| 12/17/2025 2:18:23 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.50% |
| 12/4/2025 1:55:43 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.20% | +0.10% |
| 12/3/2025 1:42:38 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.23% | -0.12% |
| 11/24/2025 2:27:59 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.25% | +0.13% |
| 11/14/2025 2:02:42 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.55% | +0.28% |
| 11/11/2025 1:54:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.11% | -0.06% |
| 10/21/2025 1:46:58 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.12% | -0.12% |
| 10/2/2025 1:50:52 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.16% | -1.16% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.35% | -0.35% |
| 9/26/2025 2:00:35 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.20% | -0.10% |
| 9/11/2025 1:56:16 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.70% | -0.35% |
| 8/28/2025 2:17:15 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.38% | -0.38% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.02% | -0.02% |
| 7/31/2025 2:22:23 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.52% | -0.78% |
| 7/18/2025 2:12:59 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.83% | -0.83% |
metals
Gold has bounced about 10% from $4,000 to $4,400. Key resistance at 4,400, if we get a push above that we could retrace back up to about 4,587. Silver anchored around $70, monitoring $72 on the upside.
| 6/3/2026 6:28:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -7.61% | +3.80% |
| 6/3/2026 2:08:27 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -7.61% | +3.80% |
| 6/2/2026 6:22:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.41% | -4.41% |
| 6/1/2026 5:29:41 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -6.14% | -9.21% |
| 5/28/2026 6:20:00 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.61% | +2.61% |
| 5/28/2026 2:12:37 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.61% | +2.61% |
| 5/27/2026 8:38:49 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.24% | +0.24% |
| 5/26/2026 8:03:19 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.40% | +0.40% |
| 5/26/2026 1:55:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.40% | +0.40% |
| 5/21/2026 1:58:28 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.89% | +0.45% |
| 5/14/2026 6:12:33 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 5/14/2026 1:53:21 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.30% | +0.15% |
| 5/13/2026 1:45:31 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -6.77% | -10.15% |
| 5/12/2026 6:00:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -6.49% | -9.74% |
| 4/16/2026 10:24:59 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -3.17% | -3.17% |
| 3/19/2026 5:20:35 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.41% | -2.41% |
| 3/18/2026 1:13:58 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -4.63% | +2.31% |
| 3/16/2026 1:23:55 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -12.28% | +6.14% |
| 3/10/2026 1:03:21 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -4.17% | -2.09% |
| 3/4/2026 1:58:21 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.23% | +4.23% |
| 3/3/2026 2:19:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.56% | -0.78% |
| 2/25/2026 11:43:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.16% | -6.25% |
| 2/25/2026 2:15:06 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.16% | -4.16% |
| 2/24/2026 2:02:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.77% | +2.77% |
| 2/23/2026 2:01:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.23% | +3.23% |
| 2/17/2026 2:09:29 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +8.30% | -8.30% |
| 2/16/2026 3:07:19 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +11.89% | +11.89% |
| 2/12/2026 2:35:02 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.44% | -0.66% |
| 2/11/2026 2:40:37 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -1.41% |
| 2/10/2026 10:04:22 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -0.91% | -1.37% |
| 2/4/2026 2:35:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.93% | +10.40% |
| 2/3/2026 1:56:20 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.05% | -0.08% |
| 2/2/2026 6:29:20 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +1.02% | -1.52% |
| 1/30/2026 2:05:52 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +6.99% | -6.99% |
| 1/28/2026 2:08:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -16.50% | -24.75% |
| 1/26/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -18.04% | -27.06% |
| 1/23/2026 10:07:21 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -22.49% | -33.74% |
| 1/22/2026 11:27:23 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -21.43% | -32.14% |
| 1/21/2026 11:13:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +9.15% | -4.58% |
| 1/21/2026 2:14:38 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +9.15% | +4.58% |
| 1/20/2026 2:41:17 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +9.79% | +14.69% |
| 1/14/2026 11:25:04 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.92% | +4.38% |
| 1/14/2026 2:13:25 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.92% | +4.38% |
| 12/23/2025 2:10:09 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.80% | -2.71% |
| 12/19/2025 5:07:19 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | +16.09% | +24.14% |
| 12/19/2025 1:48:55 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +16.09% | +16.09% |
| 12/17/2025 2:18:23 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.43% | +9.65% |
| 12/15/2025 10:17:24 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +9.32% | +13.98% |
| 12/11/2025 2:02:09 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.72% | +5.58% |
| 12/10/2025 2:04:36 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +23.10% | +23.10% |
| 12/8/2025 1:55:19 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.45% | +3.45% |
| 12/4/2025 1:55:43 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.17% | +2.17% |
| 12/3/2025 1:42:38 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.32% | +3.48% |
| 11/28/2025 2:32:51 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.33% | -0.49% |
| 11/27/2025 3:34:31 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.03% | +1.54% |
| 11/25/2025 2:09:39 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.64% | +5.46% |
| 11/20/2025 2:01:46 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +39.54% | +39.54% |
| 11/19/2025 2:11:41 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.62% | +2.43% |
| 11/18/2025 2:15:37 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.93% | -0.46% |
| 11/17/2025 11:09:46 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +1.23% | -0.61% |
| 11/14/2025 2:02:42 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +2.12% | -2.12% |
| 11/12/2025 10:49:45 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.36% | -3.55% |
| 11/12/2025 2:16:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.36% | -3.55% |
| 11/11/2025 1:54:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.54% | -6.81% |
| 11/7/2025 1:44:27 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -1.60% | -2.40% |
| 10/30/2025 1:04:43 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.56% | -0.28% |
| 10/29/2025 1:10:53 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.75% | -4.13% |
| 10/28/2025 1:16:24 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.40% | -0.70% |
| 10/27/2025 10:44:23 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +1.62% | -0.81% |
| 10/13/2025 2:05:40 PM | long term sharp up | 62 days later | +9.99% | +14.98% |
| 10/2/2025 1:50:52 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.07% | +6.10% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +3.17% | +4.76% |
| 9/26/2025 2:00:35 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +3.49% | +5.23% |
| 9/24/2025 2:07:11 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +17.30% | +17.30% |
| 9/22/2025 1:45:19 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +3.29% | +4.93% |
| 9/19/2025 2:06:39 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +3.81% | +1.91% |
| 9/12/2025 2:07:34 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +2.06% | +3.09% |
| 9/11/2025 1:56:16 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.42% | -0.21% |
| 9/10/2025 1:41:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.48% | -0.74% |
| 9/9/2025 11:14:55 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +8.17% | +12.26% |
| 9/9/2025 2:18:10 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.78% | +2.68% |
| 9/3/2025 1:52:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.66% | +2.50% |
| 9/2/2025 2:02:33 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.32% | +1.98% |
| 8/28/2025 2:17:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.29% | +3.29% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.16% | -1.16% |
| 8/4/2025 11:45:30 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -0.08% | -0.08% |
| 7/24/2025 2:44:36 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.54% | +2.54% |
| 7/18/2025 2:12:59 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -2.39% | -2.39% |
ndx
NASDAQ up 140 at 30,453. Markets relatively calm here.
| 6/3/2026 2:08:27 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.35% | -4.35% |
| 6/1/2026 2:05:49 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -4.06% | -4.06% |
| 5/27/2026 8:38:49 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.44% | +1.44% |
| 5/13/2026 1:45:31 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.57% | -2.57% |
| 3/18/2026 1:13:58 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.45% | -1.45% |
| 3/3/2026 2:19:16 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.50% | +0.50% |
| 1/30/2026 2:05:52 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -1.83% | +1.83% |
| 1/28/2026 2:08:44 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.11% | -2.11% |
| 1/26/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.78% | +0.39% |
| 1/21/2026 2:14:38 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.65% | -1.65% |
| 12/11/2025 2:02:09 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.18% | +2.18% |
| 11/25/2025 2:09:39 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.42% | -0.42% |
| 11/24/2025 2:27:59 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +1.30% | +1.30% |
| 11/18/2025 2:15:37 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.95% |
| 11/14/2025 2:02:42 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.30% | -0.30% |
| 11/12/2025 2:16:05 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.96% | -1.96% |
| 11/11/2025 1:54:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.81% | +1.41% |
| 11/7/2025 1:44:27 PM | short term down | 7 days later | -3.17% | +3.17% |
| 11/5/2025 2:23:24 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.61% | -1.61% |
| 10/29/2025 1:10:53 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.16% | -1.16% |
| 10/27/2025 10:44:23 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -0.15% | -0.23% |
| 10/2/2025 1:50:52 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.42% | +2.12% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +1.21% | +1.21% |
| 9/22/2025 1:45:19 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.13% | -0.06% |
| 9/19/2025 2:06:39 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.60% | -0.60% |
| 9/9/2025 2:18:10 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.86% | +1.86% |
| 9/2/2025 2:02:33 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.48% | -1.48% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.88% | -1.88% |
rut
No explicit mention of Russell 2000. S&P 500 up only 4 points suggests small caps likely flat to slightly positive in a calm pre-Fed session.
wti
Crude oil futures just a little bit higher again after yesterday's washout. Key level is the gap from $65 to $67 as structural support. Playing downside on front months via put options suggests limited upside expectation near term.
yields
Kevin Worsh is really looking to have more flexibility there, which will cause some more volatility in interest rates. 10-year Treasury yields at 4.437% are the one to watch.
| 6/3/2026 2:08:27 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.14% | +0.57% |
| 6/2/2026 6:22:15 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -1.36% |
| 6/2/2026 1:51:56 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.36% | +0.68% |
| 5/28/2026 6:20:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.85% | +0.85% |
| 5/28/2026 2:12:37 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.85% | +0.85% |
| 5/26/2026 8:03:19 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.13% | +0.07% |
| 5/26/2026 1:55:39 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.13% | +0.07% |
| 5/21/2026 1:58:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.69% | -1.69% |
| 5/14/2026 6:12:33 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 5/14/2026 1:53:21 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 5/13/2026 5:26:50 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.62% | +6.93% |
| 5/6/2026 2:05:14 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.62% | -1.62% |
| 5/4/2026 2:08:49 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.14% | -0.14% |
| 4/29/2026 2:22:08 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 4/24/2026 2:18:16 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.54% | +2.54% |
| 3/31/2026 2:11:17 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.37% |
| 3/27/2026 1:10:42 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.16% |
| 3/26/2026 1:05:27 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.73% | -2.73% |
| 3/25/2026 1:10:36 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.38% | +2.38% |
| 3/23/2026 1:14:06 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -1.14% | -1.71% |
| 3/18/2026 1:13:58 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.59% | -2.59% |
| 3/10/2026 1:03:21 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.29% | -0.14% |
| 3/5/2026 2:11:33 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.81% | +1.81% |
| 3/4/2026 1:58:21 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.24% | -0.24% |
| 3/3/2026 2:19:16 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.37% | +1.37% |
| 2/17/2026 2:09:29 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.23% | +1.23% |
| 2/16/2026 3:07:19 PM | short term down | 6 days later | -0.57% | +0.57% |
| 2/12/2026 2:35:02 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.57% | -0.57% |
| 2/11/2026 2:40:37 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.27% | +1.27% |
| 1/30/2026 2:05:52 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.80% | -1.80% |
| 1/21/2026 2:14:38 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.61% | -0.61% |
| 1/20/2026 2:41:17 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -1.41% |
| 12/23/2025 2:10:09 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.48% | +0.24% |
| 12/19/2025 1:48:55 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 12/11/2025 2:02:09 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.03% | +1.03% |
| 12/10/2025 2:04:36 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.19% | +0.19% |
| 12/9/2025 2:09:53 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.43% | +0.65% |
| 12/4/2025 1:55:43 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.60% | -0.30% |
| 11/28/2025 2:32:51 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.86% | -1.86% |
| 11/27/2025 3:34:31 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.00% | -1.00% |
| 11/25/2025 2:09:39 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.45% | -2.45% |
| 11/24/2025 2:27:59 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +2.35% | -1.17% |
| 11/20/2025 2:01:46 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.60% | -0.80% |
| 11/14/2025 2:02:42 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -2.30% | -1.15% |
| 11/5/2025 2:23:24 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.66% | -0.33% |
| 10/30/2025 1:04:43 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.37% | -0.68% |
| 10/29/2025 1:10:53 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.10% |
| 10/28/2025 1:16:24 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.18% | -1.18% |
| 10/27/2025 10:44:23 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +3.09% | -3.09% |
| 10/2/2025 1:50:52 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.24% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.34% | -0.34% |
| 9/26/2025 2:00:35 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.51% | -0.51% |
| 9/10/2025 1:41:49 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.37% | +0.37% |
| 9/9/2025 11:14:55 PM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | +2.88% | -4.32% |
| 9/9/2025 2:18:10 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.05% | -0.05% |
| 9/2/2025 2:02:33 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -3.92% | -3.92% |
| 8/28/2025 2:17:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.38% | +0.19% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.21% | -0.21% |
| 7/18/2025 2:12:59 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.10% | -1.10% |
