Gold and silver are rebounding after a 20% decline due to their inverse correlation with energy-driven inflation and rising interest rates. The recovery pace depends on how quickly energy flows normalize after the Iran conflict disruption. Key technical levels: gold 4300/4400, silver $72. ETF outflows remain a headwind. Fed meeting (Kevin Worsh's first) with 98.6% probability of unchanged rates will be crucial for tone and dot plot. Wildcard: Iran may reinstitute tolls in 60 days.
implicit
NDX
RUT
implicit
explicit
USD
Blue Line Futures
7.5
Hedge Fund
Phillip Streible 7.4
Hedge Fund
Phillip Streible 7.4
6/16/2026 7:09:38 PM
metals
Gold and silver are extending their gains after falling as much as 20% since the start of the conflict in Iran. Key levels: gold 4300/4400, silver $72 resistance.
| 6/3/2026 6:28:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -7.61% | +3.80% |
| 6/3/2026 2:08:27 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -7.61% | +3.80% |
| 6/2/2026 6:22:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.41% | -4.41% |
| 6/1/2026 5:29:41 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -6.14% | -9.21% |
| 5/28/2026 6:20:00 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.61% | +2.61% |
| 5/28/2026 2:12:37 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.61% | +2.61% |
| 5/27/2026 8:38:49 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.24% | +0.24% |
| 5/26/2026 8:03:19 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.40% | +0.40% |
| 5/26/2026 1:55:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.40% | +0.40% |
| 5/21/2026 1:58:28 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.89% | +0.45% |
| 5/14/2026 6:12:33 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 5/14/2026 1:53:21 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.30% | +0.15% |
| 5/13/2026 1:45:31 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -6.77% | -10.15% |
| 5/12/2026 6:00:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -6.49% | -9.74% |
| 4/16/2026 10:24:59 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -3.17% | -3.17% |
| 3/19/2026 5:20:35 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.41% | -2.41% |
| 3/18/2026 1:13:58 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -4.63% | +2.31% |
| 3/16/2026 1:23:55 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -12.28% | +6.14% |
| 3/10/2026 1:03:21 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -4.17% | -2.09% |
| 3/4/2026 1:58:21 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.23% | +4.23% |
| 3/3/2026 2:19:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.56% | -0.78% |
| 2/25/2026 11:43:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.16% | -6.25% |
| 2/25/2026 2:15:06 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.16% | -4.16% |
| 2/24/2026 2:02:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.77% | +2.77% |
| 2/23/2026 2:01:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.23% | +3.23% |
| 2/17/2026 2:09:29 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +8.30% | -8.30% |
| 2/16/2026 3:07:19 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +11.89% | +11.89% |
| 2/12/2026 2:35:02 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.44% | -0.66% |
| 2/11/2026 2:40:37 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -1.41% |
| 2/10/2026 10:04:22 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -0.91% | -1.37% |
| 2/4/2026 2:35:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.93% | +10.40% |
| 2/3/2026 1:56:20 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.05% | -0.08% |
| 2/2/2026 6:29:20 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +1.02% | -1.52% |
| 1/30/2026 2:05:52 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +6.99% | -6.99% |
| 1/28/2026 2:08:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -16.50% | -24.75% |
| 1/26/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -18.04% | -27.06% |
| 1/23/2026 10:07:21 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -22.49% | -33.74% |
| 1/22/2026 11:27:23 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -21.43% | -32.14% |
| 1/21/2026 11:13:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +9.15% | -4.58% |
| 1/21/2026 2:14:38 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +9.15% | +4.58% |
| 1/20/2026 2:41:17 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +9.79% | +14.69% |
| 1/14/2026 11:25:04 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.92% | +4.38% |
| 1/14/2026 2:13:25 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.92% | +4.38% |
| 12/23/2025 2:10:09 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.80% | -2.71% |
| 12/19/2025 5:07:19 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | +16.09% | +24.14% |
| 12/19/2025 1:48:55 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +16.09% | +16.09% |
| 12/17/2025 2:18:23 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.43% | +9.65% |
| 12/15/2025 10:17:24 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +9.32% | +13.98% |
| 12/11/2025 2:02:09 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.72% | +5.58% |
| 12/10/2025 2:04:36 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +23.10% | +23.10% |
| 12/8/2025 1:55:19 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.45% | +3.45% |
| 12/4/2025 1:55:43 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.17% | +2.17% |
| 12/3/2025 1:42:38 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.32% | +3.48% |
| 11/28/2025 2:32:51 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.33% | -0.49% |
| 11/27/2025 3:34:31 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.03% | +1.54% |
| 11/25/2025 2:09:39 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.64% | +5.46% |
| 11/20/2025 2:01:46 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +39.54% | +39.54% |
| 11/19/2025 2:11:41 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.62% | +2.43% |
| 11/18/2025 2:15:37 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.93% | -0.46% |
| 11/17/2025 11:09:46 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +1.23% | -0.61% |
| 11/14/2025 2:02:42 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +2.12% | -2.12% |
| 11/12/2025 10:49:45 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.36% | -3.55% |
| 11/12/2025 2:16:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.36% | -3.55% |
| 11/11/2025 1:54:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.54% | -6.81% |
| 11/7/2025 1:44:27 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -1.60% | -2.40% |
| 10/30/2025 1:04:43 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.56% | -0.28% |
| 10/29/2025 1:10:53 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.75% | -4.13% |
| 10/28/2025 1:16:24 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.40% | -0.70% |
| 10/27/2025 10:44:23 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +1.62% | -0.81% |
| 10/13/2025 2:05:40 PM | long term sharp up | 62 days later | +9.99% | +14.98% |
| 10/2/2025 1:50:52 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.07% | +6.10% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +3.17% | +4.76% |
| 9/26/2025 2:00:35 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +3.49% | +5.23% |
| 9/24/2025 2:07:11 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +17.30% | +17.30% |
| 9/22/2025 1:45:19 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +3.29% | +4.93% |
| 9/19/2025 2:06:39 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +3.81% | +1.91% |
| 9/12/2025 2:07:34 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +2.06% | +3.09% |
| 9/11/2025 1:56:16 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.42% | -0.21% |
| 9/10/2025 1:41:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.48% | -0.74% |
| 9/9/2025 11:14:55 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +8.17% | +12.26% |
| 9/9/2025 2:18:10 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.78% | +2.68% |
| 9/3/2025 1:52:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.66% | +2.50% |
| 9/2/2025 2:02:33 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.32% | +1.98% |
| 8/28/2025 2:17:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.29% | +3.29% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.16% | -1.16% |
| 8/4/2025 11:45:30 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -0.08% | -0.08% |
| 7/24/2025 2:44:36 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.54% | +2.54% |
| 7/18/2025 2:12:59 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -2.39% | -2.39% |
wti
Energy flows normalization timeline varies (Friday to December) and Iran may reinstitute tolls in 60 days, creating uncertainty and potential volatility in energy markets.
yields
Fed has 98.6% probability of leaving rates unchanged at Wednesday meeting, suggesting yields likely to remain stable in the near term pending tone and dot plot.
