The Fed has bought time but the key takeaway is a hawkish, independent Fed willing to tackle inflation. Less forward guidance will lead to more volatility, especially in funding markets. The focus has shifted from oil to real growth data.

explicit
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Citi 8.5
Investment Bank $1800.00B
Deirdre Dunn 8.5
6/25/2026 11:14:25 PM
yields
The Fed wants to guide the market less... which will translate into more volatility.
17 calls
-2
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
5/22/2026 8:36:10 AM medium term up 22 days later -1.95% -1.95%
5/20/2026 8:07:16 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -2.03% -1.01%
5/20/2026 8:07:16 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -2.03% -1.01%
5/19/2026 10:44:11 AM medium term up 20 days later -0.96% -0.96%
4/30/2026 11:03:58 AM short term sharp up 5 days later -0.50% -0.75%
4/30/2026 2:09:30 AM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.50% -0.25%
3/25/2026 10:44:32 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.38% +1.19%
3/12/2026 12:07:11 AM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.61% -0.30%
2/13/2026 6:59:47 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +1.90% -0.95%
1/28/2026 1:50:23 PM medium term down 20 days later -3.50% +3.50%
1/21/2026 12:47:18 AM medium term up 20 days later -1.81% -1.81%
12/8/2025 7:49:51 AM short term down 6 days later -0.10% +0.10%
10/24/2025 8:04:31 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later +3.40% -1.70%
9/11/2025 11:25:08 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.37% -0.18%
9/4/2025 1:39:08 AM short term down 5 days later -1.32% +1.32%
9/2/2025 9:41:20 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -3.92% +1.96%
9/2/2025 8:40:30 PM short term up 5 days later -3.92% -3.92%
Show all 17 yields results

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