Trump claims military success vs Iran (75% targets hit, navy decimated) but Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Oil up modestly due to US production surge. Stock market at all-time highs (Dow 50k, S&P 7k) despite conflict, contradicting his earlier 20-25% drop prediction. Employment record high. Key: markets resilient, oil capped by US supply, geopolitical risk contained.
Yields
NDX
Oil
Metals
USD
The Trump Organization, Inc
3.0
Real Estate
Donald Trump 7.0
Real Estate
Donald Trump 7.0
4/23/2026 11:57:20 PM
ndx
The stock market is at an all-time high... hit an all-time high yesterday, the day before, and is staying there.
Trump expresses surprise that markets are resilient despite the conflict, suggesting continued strength.
| 4/17/2026 2:08:13 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.69% | +2.69% |
| 4/8/2026 2:17:04 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.03% | +3.03% |
| 4/2/2026 6:55:00 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.57% | +3.57% |
| 4/1/2026 4:30:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.65% | +0.65% |
| 3/26/2026 6:00:03 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +3.84% | -3.84% |
| 1/21/2026 7:26:12 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -1.24% | -1.86% |
| 1/21/2026 6:33:54 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.65% | +2.48% |
| 1/13/2026 7:24:32 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.25% | +0.25% |
| 10/29/2025 12:29:34 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.16% | -1.16% |
| 10/29/2025 9:51:12 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.16% | -1.16% |
| 10/24/2025 2:17:33 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.59% | +0.29% |
| 10/24/2025 10:29:43 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 10/20/2025 1:11:12 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.93% | +0.96% |
| 10/14/2025 10:09:14 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.60% | +1.60% |
| 8/6/2025 7:02:59 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.92% | +1.92% |
| 7/23/2025 9:26:43 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.38% | +0.57% |
rut
Trump's comments on record employment and economic strength imply broad market support, including small caps.
wti
Oil goes up a little bit. I hate it.
Trump acknowledges oil prices will rise somewhat due to the conflict and Strait closure, but expects U.S. production to cap the increase.
| 4/23/2026 11:52:58 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +13.22% | +6.61% |
| 4/21/2026 4:37:21 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.67% | +3.67% |
| 4/20/2026 9:01:16 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +6.45% | -6.45% |
| 4/17/2026 2:08:13 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -11.32% |
| 4/17/2026 11:37:01 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -3.77% |
| 4/17/2026 8:31:26 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -3.77% |
| 4/16/2026 10:53:39 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +10.86% | -16.30% |
| 4/16/2026 10:21:15 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +10.86% | -16.30% |
| 4/13/2026 11:02:21 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -0.91% |
| 4/13/2026 9:46:23 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -2.74% |
| 4/8/2026 8:00:34 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -6.73% | +3.37% |
| 4/8/2026 2:17:04 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -6.73% | +10.10% |
| 4/2/2026 9:36:47 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -15.36% | -23.04% |
| 4/2/2026 6:55:00 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -15.36% | +7.68% |
| 4/1/2026 3:20:56 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.26% | -0.63% |
| 3/26/2026 6:00:03 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.48% | +0.48% |
| 3/23/2026 7:47:20 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +11.40% | -17.10% |
| 3/18/2026 8:32:27 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -3.94% | -3.94% |
| 3/16/2026 11:23:07 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -8.40% | -8.40% |
| 3/16/2026 9:03:21 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | -8.40% | +12.60% |
| 3/16/2026 8:16:44 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +16.84% | -8.42% |
| 3/10/2026 9:18:14 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +7.16% | -3.58% |
| 3/10/2026 12:50:01 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +7.16% | -3.58% |
| 3/8/2026 6:30:54 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -1.34% | -0.67% |
| 3/6/2026 12:26:05 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +8.59% | -4.30% |
| 3/4/2026 9:51:48 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +3.01% | -4.52% |
| 3/3/2026 11:55:33 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +26.94% | +13.47% |
| 1/21/2026 7:26:12 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +5.10% | -2.55% |
| 1/13/2026 7:24:32 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.92% | -0.96% |
| 1/9/2026 10:36:27 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.12% | +0.06% |
| 1/5/2026 7:12:40 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +6.13% | +9.19% |
| 10/23/2025 12:46:28 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.66% | -2.49% |
| 10/15/2025 10:20:54 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +3.72% | -1.86% |
| 10/9/2025 10:45:24 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.07% | +0.53% |
| 9/15/2025 9:09:32 AM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -2.91% | -1.46% |
| 9/12/2025 12:16:57 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -2.54% | +1.27% |
| 8/25/2025 10:59:06 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +3.70% | +3.70% |
| 8/5/2025 4:44:03 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.61% | +0.30% |
