New Fed Chair Warsh signals a hawkish pivot. The market's rate cut fantasy is dead; a hike is now on the table, driven by sticky inflation and elevated oil. Warsh's first job is to reset the statement to neutral and firm up the dot plot. Separately, the AI capex supercycle is the dominant structural theme. $800B in spending is driving double-digit earnings revisions, decoupling corporate profits from sluggish GDP. This is a powerful margin expansion story.
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Metals
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Goldman Sachs
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Investment Bank $2500.00B
Rob Kaplan 8.5
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Rob Kaplan 8.5
5/22/2026 10:40:19 PM
yields
Next Fed move may actually be a raise; dot plot will show expectations for rate path are firmer, not lower.
| 5/5/2026 1:43:30 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.24% | +0.62% |
| 4/20/2026 7:09:00 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.75% | +2.75% |
| 3/4/2026 2:04:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.24% | -0.24% |
| 2/12/2026 6:36:08 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +2.22% | -1.11% |
| 1/30/2026 6:19:23 AM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -5.75% | +2.88% |
| 12/9/2025 6:20:53 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.82% | +0.41% |
| 11/28/2025 6:04:11 PM | medium term down | 21 days later | +1.78% | -1.78% |
| 11/13/2025 8:45:53 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.36% | +0.36% |
| 11/7/2025 7:28:39 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -0.34% | +0.17% |
| 10/29/2025 5:37:32 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.98% | -0.49% |
| 10/28/2025 6:42:40 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.60% | -0.80% |
| 10/28/2025 1:59:32 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.18% | -0.59% |
| 10/24/2025 6:55:30 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +3.40% | -1.70% |
| 10/15/2025 9:58:39 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +4.55% | -2.28% |
| 10/7/2025 1:51:58 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.89% | -1.89% |
| 9/29/2025 2:12:26 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.34% | -0.17% |
| 9/16/2025 4:19:00 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.25% | -0.63% |
| 9/11/2025 1:30:06 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.18% |
| 9/9/2025 10:35:22 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.05% | -0.02% |
| 9/5/2025 6:25:27 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +2.35% | -1.17% |
| 9/3/2025 7:20:32 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.44% | +1.22% |
| 9/2/2025 1:47:03 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.92% | -5.88% |
| 8/12/2025 11:12:01 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.43% | -1.22% |
| 8/6/2025 7:05:41 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 8/1/2025 6:12:49 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.74% | -1.74% |
