Bloomberg correspondent Abeer Abu Omar details the 14-point MOU between the US and Iran, including an end to war, US troop withdrawal, removal of naval blockade, and sanctions waivers allowing immediate Iranian oil sales. The deal implies increased oil supply and reduced geopolitical risk, pressuring oil prices lower in the short term.

inferred

inferred

explicit

inferred

inferred
Bloomberg 7.0
Financial Media
Abeer Abu Omar 4.0
6/17/2026 1:18:27 PM
dxy
Reduced geopolitical tensions and lower oil prices may reduce safe-haven demand for the US dollar. Additionally, removal of sanctions and unblocking of frozen assets could facilitate more international transactions outside dollar system.
metals
Reduced geopolitical tensions lower safe-haven demand for gold and other precious metals. However, lower real yields (from reduced inflation expectations) could provide some support. Net effect is slightly negative.
ndx
Lower oil prices reduce input costs for many companies, particularly in transportation and manufacturing. Reduced geopolitical risk improves business confidence and risk appetite, supporting tech and growth stocks.
rut
Small-cap companies are more sensitive to domestic economic conditions. Lower oil prices benefit domestic consumers and small businesses. Reduced geopolitical uncertainty may improve risk appetite for smaller, more volatile stocks.
wti
Iran is set to receive sanctions waivers that will allow it to sell oil immediately. The lifting of the oil sanctions is another point the US has made in this MOU. Immediate resumption of Iranian oil exports increases global supply, putting downward pressure on oil prices. Removal of naval blockade on Strait of Hormuz reduces supply disruption risk.
227 calls
+2
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
6/11/2026 11:22:23 PM short term down 5 days later -9.53% +9.53%
6/11/2026 7:18:14 AM short term sharp up 5 days later -9.53% -14.30%
6/11/2026 12:53:42 AM short term cautious up 5 days later -9.53% -4.77%
6/10/2026 5:50:32 PM short term up 5 days later -13.29% -13.29%
6/10/2026 10:48:17 AM short term up 5 days later -13.29% -13.29%
6/9/2026 9:20:32 PM short term down 5 days later -10.31% +10.31%
6/9/2026 7:27:16 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -10.31% +5.15%
6/9/2026 12:30:31 AM short term cautious up 5 days later -10.31% -5.15%
6/9/2026 12:20:16 AM short term cautious up 5 days later -10.31% -5.15%
6/8/2026 10:05:14 PM short term up 6 days later -8.45% -8.45%
6/8/2026 10:20:39 AM short term up 6 days later -8.45% -8.45%
6/8/2026 9:51:40 AM short term up 6 days later -8.45% -8.45%
6/8/2026 9:51:40 AM short term up 6 days later -8.45% -8.45%
6/8/2026 9:51:40 AM short term up 6 days later -8.45% -8.45%
6/8/2026 6:24:18 AM short term up 6 days later -8.45% -8.45%
6/6/2026 7:18:41 PM short term down 7 days later -11.56% +11.56%
6/6/2026 3:08:02 PM short term down 7 days later -11.56% +11.56%
6/6/2026 3:07:25 PM short term down 7 days later -11.56% +11.56%
6/6/2026 2:06:18 AM short term up 7 days later -11.56% -11.56%
6/5/2026 8:54:13 PM short term up 7 days later -11.56% -11.56%
6/4/2026 11:18:49 PM short term up 5 days later -0.56% -0.56%
6/4/2026 5:20:52 AM short term up 5 days later -0.56% -0.56%
6/3/2026 11:19:38 PM short term up 5 days later -5.20% -5.20%
6/3/2026 9:39:30 PM short term up 5 days later -5.20% -5.20%
6/3/2026 7:33:05 PM short term up 5 days later -5.20% -5.20%
6/2/2026 6:59:57 PM short term down 5 days later -4.92% +4.92%
6/1/2026 6:48:51 PM short term sharp up 6 days later -2.62% -3.94%
6/1/2026 5:46:26 PM short term up 6 days later -2.62% -2.62%
6/1/2026 2:25:48 PM short term cautious down 6 days later -2.62% +1.31%
6/1/2026 10:44:42 AM short term cautious down 6 days later -2.62% +1.31%
6/1/2026 9:51:17 AM short term up 6 days later -2.62% -2.62%
5/31/2026 7:26:33 PM short term up 7 days later -0.93% -0.93%
5/28/2026 8:10:10 PM medium term down 20 days later -13.55% +13.55%
5/28/2026 9:27:53 AM short term down 5 days later +9.91% -9.91%
5/28/2026 12:59:08 AM short term down 5 days later +9.91% -9.91%
5/27/2026 11:48:14 PM medium term up 20 days later -13.62% -13.62%
5/27/2026 9:44:17 PM short term up 5 days later +5.47% +5.47%
5/27/2026 8:38:39 PM short term down 5 days later +5.47% -5.47%
5/27/2026 12:06:13 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +5.47% -2.73%
5/27/2026 12:03:14 AM short term down 5 days later +5.47% -5.47%
5/26/2026 6:15:06 PM short term up 5 days later +3.92% +3.92%
5/26/2026 4:16:23 PM short term up 5 days later +3.92% +3.92%
5/26/2026 9:27:20 AM medium term up 20 days later -14.24% -14.24%
5/25/2026 9:42:20 AM short term down 6 days later -1.84% +1.84%
5/25/2026 9:42:20 AM short term down 6 days later -1.84% +1.84%
5/25/2026 7:41:50 AM short term down 6 days later -1.84% +1.84%
5/25/2026 7:41:50 AM short term down 6 days later -1.84% +1.84%
5/25/2026 7:41:50 AM short term down 6 days later -1.84% +1.84%
5/21/2026 9:08:20 PM short term up 5 days later -8.20% -8.20%
5/21/2026 8:16:00 PM medium term down 20 days later -9.20% +9.20%
5/21/2026 6:44:38 PM short term up 5 days later -8.20% -8.20%
5/20/2026 11:58:17 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -2.55% +3.83%
5/20/2026 11:06:22 PM short term down 5 days later -2.55% +2.55%
5/20/2026 9:19:43 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -2.55% +3.83%
5/20/2026 12:22:59 AM short term down 5 days later -2.55% +2.55%
5/19/2026 11:25:08 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -1.69% -2.53%
5/19/2026 1:26:20 PM short term up 5 days later -1.69% -1.69%
5/19/2026 10:44:11 AM short term down 5 days later -1.69% +1.69%
5/19/2026 8:29:51 AM medium term cautious up 20 days later -10.24% -5.12%
5/19/2026 1:59:18 AM short term up 5 days later -1.69% -1.69%
5/18/2026 11:32:06 AM medium term up 20 days later -15.28% -15.28%
5/15/2026 10:45:02 PM medium term up 21 days later -15.98% -15.98%
5/13/2026 9:18:02 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +6.52% -3.26%
5/13/2026 9:05:11 PM short term up 5 days later +6.52% +6.52%
5/13/2026 4:02:01 PM short term up 5 days later +6.52% +6.52%
5/13/2026 2:30:46 PM short term up 5 days later +6.52% +6.52%
5/13/2026 8:05:25 AM short term cautious up 5 days later +6.52% +3.26%
5/12/2026 6:29:30 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +7.56% +11.34%
5/12/2026 3:58:46 PM short term up 5 days later +7.56% +7.56%
5/12/2026 9:34:37 AM short term up 5 days later +7.56% +7.56%
5/11/2026 3:42:16 PM short term up 6 days later +6.34% +6.34%
5/11/2026 2:37:40 PM short term up 6 days later +6.34% +6.34%
5/11/2026 2:21:17 PM short term up 6 days later +6.34% +6.34%
5/11/2026 2:21:17 PM short term up 6 days later +6.34% +6.34%
5/11/2026 10:21:17 AM short term up 6 days later +6.34% +6.34%
5/11/2026 10:21:17 AM medium term up 20 days later -9.81% -9.81%
5/11/2026 10:08:16 AM short term up 6 days later +6.34% +6.34%
5/11/2026 10:08:16 AM short term up 6 days later +6.34% +6.34%
5/11/2026 7:45:07 AM short term up 6 days later +6.34% +6.34%
5/8/2026 10:50:00 PM short term cautious up 7 days later +10.80% +5.40%
5/8/2026 10:50:00 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later -6.03% -3.01%
5/8/2026 7:51:14 PM short term cautious up 7 days later +10.80% +5.40%
5/8/2026 6:45:11 PM short term cautious up 7 days later +10.80% +5.40%
5/8/2026 10:34:17 AM short term up 7 days later +10.80% +10.80%
5/8/2026 10:33:30 AM short term up 7 days later +10.80% +10.80%
5/8/2026 9:39:28 AM short term sharp up 7 days later +10.80% +16.20%
5/8/2026 8:52:09 AM short term up 7 days later +10.80% +10.80%
5/7/2026 10:07:01 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -6.83% +3.42%
5/7/2026 9:40:03 PM short term up 5 days later +5.87% +5.87%
5/7/2026 9:26:20 PM short term up 5 days later +5.87% +5.87%
5/7/2026 8:09:28 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -6.83% +3.42%
5/7/2026 7:11:49 PM short term down 5 days later +5.87% -5.87%
5/7/2026 2:41:58 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +5.87% -2.93%
5/7/2026 10:02:35 AM short term down 5 days later +5.87% -5.87%
5/7/2026 7:06:33 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +5.87% -2.93%
5/6/2026 11:23:07 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +7.77% +3.89%
5/2/2026 3:08:03 PM short term sharp up 7 days later -7.85% -11.77%
5/1/2026 3:08:28 PM short term sharp up 7 days later -7.85% -11.77%
5/1/2026 3:05:47 PM short term sharp up 7 days later -7.85% -11.77%
5/1/2026 11:35:10 AM short term sharp up 7 days later -7.85% -11.77%
5/1/2026 9:53:00 AM short term sharp up 7 days later -7.85% -11.77%
4/30/2026 11:36:17 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -5.48% +2.74%
4/30/2026 3:40:05 PM medium term sharp up 20 days later -5.48% -8.23%
4/27/2026 7:39:37 PM medium term down 20 days later +8.74% -8.74%
4/27/2026 1:02:38 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +6.49% +3.25%
4/27/2026 10:29:21 AM short term cautious up 6 days later +6.49% +3.25%
4/24/2026 3:07:59 PM short term sharp up 7 days later +10.43% +15.64%
4/24/2026 1:23:43 PM short term sharp up 7 days later +10.43% +15.64%
4/24/2026 1:18:06 PM short term sharp up 7 days later +10.43% +15.64%
4/24/2026 11:16:33 AM short term up 7 days later +10.43% +10.43%
4/24/2026 11:01:37 AM short term sharp up 7 days later +10.43% +15.64%
4/24/2026 9:53:00 AM short term sharp up 7 days later +10.43% +15.64%
4/24/2026 9:53:00 AM short term sharp up 7 days later +10.43% +15.64%
4/24/2026 12:09:41 AM short term sharp up 7 days later +10.43% +15.64%
4/20/2026 11:58:40 PM short term down 6 days later +4.60% -4.60%
4/20/2026 7:06:15 PM short term down 6 days later +4.60% -4.60%
4/20/2026 7:38:52 AM short term up 6 days later +4.60% +4.60%
4/18/2026 2:40:06 AM medium term down 21 days later +9.44% -9.44%
4/18/2026 2:18:29 AM short term sharp down 7 days later +7.54% -11.32%
4/18/2026 12:01:38 AM short term sharp down 7 days later +7.54% -11.32%
4/17/2026 4:22:48 PM short term down 7 days later +7.54% -7.54%
4/13/2026 7:26:30 PM short term up 6 days later -1.83% -1.83%
4/13/2026 7:26:30 PM short term sharp up 6 days later -1.83% -2.74%
4/13/2026 7:26:30 PM short term up 6 days later -1.83% -1.83%
4/13/2026 7:00:27 PM short term up 6 days later -1.83% -1.83%
4/13/2026 2:27:08 PM short term sharp up 6 days later -1.83% -2.74%
4/12/2026 7:34:52 PM short term sharp up 7 days later -9.56% -14.34%
4/12/2026 3:41:23 PM short term up 7 days later -9.56% -9.56%
4/12/2026 3:41:14 PM short term up 7 days later -9.56% -9.56%
4/10/2026 10:10:32 PM short term up 7 days later -9.56% -9.56%
4/10/2026 3:55:23 PM medium term up 21 days later +7.41% +7.41%
4/10/2026 1:31:13 PM medium term up 21 days later +7.41% +7.41%
4/10/2026 12:31:57 AM short term cautious up 7 days later -9.56% -4.78%
4/6/2026 10:30:45 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -14.68% +7.34%
4/6/2026 7:54:23 PM medium term up 20 days later -14.68% -14.68%
4/4/2026 7:49:11 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -14.27% +7.13%
4/3/2026 3:02:21 AM short term sharp up 7 days later -11.86% -17.79%
4/3/2026 12:36:51 AM short term sharp up 7 days later -11.86% -17.79%
3/30/2026 3:30:54 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +10.88% +5.44%
3/30/2026 2:09:27 PM medium term sharp up 20 days later -11.61% -17.41%
3/30/2026 2:04:13 PM short term sharp up 6 days later +10.88% +16.32%
3/30/2026 8:40:46 AM short term sharp up 6 days later +10.88% +16.32%
3/29/2026 5:07:24 PM short term up 7 days later +9.26% +9.26%
3/28/2026 6:03:36 PM short term up 7 days later +9.26% +9.26%
3/27/2026 11:07:21 PM short term sharp up 7 days later +9.26% +13.89%
3/27/2026 11:59:23 AM short term sharp up 7 days later +9.26% +13.89%
3/27/2026 2:00:21 AM short term sharp up 7 days later +9.26% +13.89%
3/25/2026 10:52:54 AM short term down 5 days later +7.30% -7.30%
3/23/2026 9:56:47 AM short term cautious up 6 days later +11.40% +5.70%
3/21/2026 1:47:39 AM long term sharp down 60 days later +9.61% -14.42%
3/20/2026 4:06:06 PM short term sharp up 7 days later +16.74% +25.10%
3/20/2026 2:30:40 AM short term up 7 days later +16.74% +16.74%
3/13/2026 9:25:35 PM medium term sharp up 21 days later +20.22% +30.34%
3/13/2026 6:57:37 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -5.74% -2.87%
3/13/2026 6:57:37 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -5.74% -2.87%
3/13/2026 9:59:21 AM short term sharp up 7 days later -5.74% -8.61%
3/11/2026 10:09:41 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +0.50% +0.75%
3/10/2026 9:18:14 AM medium term up 20 days later +16.19% +16.19%
3/10/2026 2:38:02 AM medium term down 20 days later +16.19% -16.19%
3/10/2026 12:08:58 AM short term up 5 days later +7.16% +7.16%
3/9/2026 6:46:13 PM medium term sharp up 20 days later +23.28% +34.93%
3/9/2026 2:08:40 PM short term sharp up 6 days later +12.04% +18.06%
3/9/2026 10:03:43 AM short term sharp up 6 days later +12.04% +18.06%
3/9/2026 10:03:43 AM short term up 6 days later +12.04% +12.04%
3/9/2026 8:28:21 AM short term sharp up 6 days later +12.04% +18.06%
3/9/2026 6:55:49 AM short term sharp up 6 days later +12.04% +18.06%
3/8/2026 3:01:00 AM short term up 7 days later -1.34% -1.34%
3/5/2026 10:50:58 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -4.02% -6.02%
3/5/2026 2:02:48 PM short term up 5 days later -4.02% -4.02%
3/4/2026 2:05:06 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +3.01% +4.52%
3/4/2026 5:43:12 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +3.01% -1.51%
3/3/2026 10:53:30 AM short term up 5 days later +26.94% +26.94%
3/3/2026 8:39:08 AM short term sharp up 5 days later +26.94% +40.40%
3/2/2026 8:34:28 PM medium term down 20 days later +18.20% -18.20%
2/25/2026 9:27:27 AM short term cautious up 5 days later +14.34% +7.17%
2/20/2026 2:32:12 PM short term cautious up 7 days later +7.42% +3.71%
2/20/2026 10:59:11 AM short term up 7 days later +7.42% +7.42%
2/19/2026 11:46:00 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -1.46% -0.73%
2/19/2026 10:55:34 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +44.19% -22.10%
2/11/2026 10:46:14 PM short term up 5 days later -0.81% -0.81%
2/2/2026 10:10:47 AM short term down 6 days later +1.82% -1.82%
2/2/2026 10:10:47 AM short term down 6 days later +1.82% -1.82%
1/30/2026 6:19:23 AM short term cautious up 7 days later +3.57% +1.79%
1/29/2026 9:02:44 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +1.87% -0.94%
1/20/2026 6:00:07 PM short term up 5 days later +0.02% +0.02%
1/16/2026 7:33:17 PM short term sharp up 7 days later +2.02% +3.03%
1/12/2026 6:04:30 PM medium term down 20 days later +1.62% -1.62%
1/10/2026 2:50:05 AM medium term down 21 days later +4.44% -4.44%
1/9/2026 6:25:43 AM short term cautious down 7 days later -0.12% +0.06%
1/7/2026 9:00:08 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +5.87% -2.93%
12/22/2025 11:02:38 PM short term cautious down 6 days later -0.51% +0.26%
12/22/2025 9:48:16 PM short term up 6 days later -0.51% -0.51%
12/22/2025 7:55:54 AM long term down 62 days later +13.58% -13.58%
12/19/2025 10:53:44 PM medium term down 21 days later +2.57% -2.57%
12/19/2025 9:48:49 PM short term up 7 days later +0.12% +0.12%
12/18/2025 9:42:38 PM short term down 5 days later +2.98% -2.98%
12/18/2025 1:08:16 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +2.98% +1.49%
12/17/2025 2:09:01 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +3.97% -1.99%
12/16/2025 11:40:23 PM short term sharp down 5 days later +3.70% -5.55%
12/16/2025 11:22:24 PM medium term sharp down 20 days later +2.13% -3.19%
11/24/2025 10:29:53 AM long term cautious down 62 days later +4.62% -2.31%
10/23/2025 2:05:44 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -1.66% -2.49%
10/22/2025 11:01:29 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.65% +1.33%
10/21/2025 9:16:26 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +4.80% -2.40%
10/20/2025 6:00:17 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +6.04% -3.02%
9/30/2025 11:07:33 PM short term down 5 days later -0.15% +0.15%
9/30/2025 7:44:54 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.15% +0.07%
9/29/2025 7:07:25 AM short term cautious down 6 days later -1.09% +0.55%
9/29/2025 7:07:25 AM short term down 6 days later -1.09% +1.09%
9/24/2025 7:52:42 AM short term up 5 days later -4.02% -4.02%
9/19/2025 10:47:12 AM short term down 7 days later +1.29% -1.29%
9/9/2025 8:33:16 PM short term up 5 days later -0.58% -0.58%
9/8/2025 11:19:17 PM short term up 6 days later +1.07% +1.07%
9/8/2025 11:11:54 AM short term cautious up 6 days later +1.07% +0.53%
9/8/2025 8:18:05 AM short term down 6 days later +1.07% -1.07%
9/5/2025 10:16:54 AM short term down 7 days later +1.67% -1.67%
9/5/2025 7:27:44 AM medium term cautious down 21 days later +1.91% -0.96%
9/4/2025 11:19:15 AM short term down 5 days later +2.91% -2.91%
8/18/2025 11:10:24 PM short term up 6 days later +3.93% +3.93%
8/15/2025 11:21:59 PM short term down 7 days later +2.18% -2.18%
8/14/2025 11:46:57 PM short term up 5 days later +0.65% +0.65%
8/11/2025 10:07:32 AM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.40% -0.20%
8/8/2025 8:23:48 PM short term down 7 days later -0.84% +0.84%
8/8/2025 10:13:14 AM short term sharp down 7 days later -0.84% +1.27%
8/5/2025 10:44:07 AM short term down 5 days later -0.61% +0.61%
8/4/2025 11:29:13 PM short term down 6 days later -1.84% +1.84%
8/4/2025 9:08:09 PM short term cautious down 6 days later -1.84% +0.92%
Show all 227 wti results
yields
Lower oil prices reduce inflationary pressure, which could allow central banks to be less aggressive on rate hikes, but the geopolitical risk reduction is already priced in. Net effect on yields is neutral in the short term.

SignalTube

markets at a glance