explicit

explicit

implicit

implicit

implicit
rare earths cautious down
U.S. Treasury 8.0
Government Agency
Scott Bessent 7.0
10/27/2025 1:08:21 PM
metals
Expectations of improved global growth are supporting optimism for metals including copper.
ndx
Earnings upgrades and strong fundamentals are supporting continued upward momentum in equities. Current data and earnings outlook imply positive near-term direction for Nasdaq 100.
4 calls
+5
slightly better than random
10/15/2025 4:59:51 PM medium term up 20 days later +3.90% +3.90%
10/15/2025 4:07:08 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.91% -0.95%
yields
We question cuts beyond neutral rates and see possible hawkish surprises as the economy accelerates. While rate cuts are likely, economic strength may limit extent of cuts, leading to volatility in yields.
25 calls
+4
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
10/18/2025 5:32:35 PM medium term cautious up 22 days later +2.57% +1.29%
9/21/2025 3:01:16 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.22% -1.11%
9/18/2025 10:51:52 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.19% -0.10%
9/16/2025 3:17:11 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.64% -0.82%
9/16/2025 3:02:16 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.64% -0.82%
9/15/2025 1:01:21 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +2.91% -1.45%
9/11/2025 10:26:45 PM long term cautious down 60 days later +1.45% -0.73%
9/3/2025 6:57:32 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.69% +0.35%
8/27/2025 12:58:21 AM short term cautious up 5 days later +1.66% +0.83%
8/14/2025 12:59:39 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -0.74% +1.11%
8/14/2025 11:22:41 AM short term down 5 days later -0.74% +0.74%
8/14/2025 11:10:44 AM medium term sharp down 20 days later -3.51% +5.27%
8/14/2025 9:15:11 AM medium term sharp down 20 days later -3.51% +5.27%
8/14/2025 7:47:16 AM short term sharp down 5 days later -0.74% +1.11%
8/13/2025 11:25:02 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/13/2025 4:15:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.21% -0.10%
8/13/2025 3:45:12 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.91% +0.96%
8/13/2025 3:10:28 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/6/2025 7:18:34 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.14% +0.07%
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