Precious metals rally sharply as 10-year yields break below 4.5%, with gold up 2.8% and silver up 5%. A potential US-Iran deal and G7 meeting add geopolitical uncertainty. ETF holdings show significant outflows, questioning sustainability of the bounce.
explicit
NDX
RUT
implicit
explicit
USD
Blue Line Futures
7.5
Hedge Fund
Phillip Streible 6.0
Hedge Fund
Phillip Streible 6.0
6/12/2026 4:37:45 PM
- silver → 72
- gold → 4500
metals
Precious metals are higher across the board. Gold at $4,233, up 2.8%. Silver up 5% at $67.15.
| 6/11/2026 2:08:47 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.09% | +0.05% |
| 6/10/2026 5:49:09 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +3.66% | -1.83% |
| 6/5/2026 9:53:37 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.30% | -1.30% |
| 6/5/2026 8:22:33 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.30% | -1.30% |
| 6/3/2026 6:28:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -7.61% | +3.80% |
| 6/3/2026 2:08:27 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -7.61% | +3.80% |
| 6/2/2026 6:22:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.41% | -4.41% |
| 6/1/2026 5:29:41 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -6.14% | -9.21% |
| 5/28/2026 6:20:00 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.61% | +2.61% |
| 5/28/2026 2:12:37 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.61% | +2.61% |
| 5/27/2026 8:38:49 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.24% | +0.24% |
| 5/26/2026 8:03:19 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.40% | +0.40% |
| 5/26/2026 1:55:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.40% | +0.40% |
| 5/21/2026 1:58:28 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.89% | +0.45% |
| 5/14/2026 6:12:33 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 5/14/2026 1:53:21 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.30% | +0.15% |
| 5/13/2026 1:45:31 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -6.77% | -10.15% |
| 4/16/2026 10:24:59 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -3.17% | -3.17% |
| 3/19/2026 5:20:35 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.41% | -2.41% |
| 3/18/2026 1:13:58 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -4.63% | +2.31% |
| 3/16/2026 1:23:55 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -12.28% | +6.14% |
| 3/10/2026 1:03:21 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -4.17% | -2.09% |
| 3/4/2026 1:58:21 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.23% | +4.23% |
| 3/3/2026 2:19:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.56% | -0.78% |
| 2/25/2026 11:43:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.16% | -6.25% |
| 2/25/2026 2:15:06 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.16% | -4.16% |
| 2/24/2026 2:02:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.77% | +2.77% |
| 2/23/2026 2:01:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.23% | +3.23% |
| 2/17/2026 2:09:29 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +8.30% | -8.30% |
| 2/16/2026 3:07:19 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +11.89% | +11.89% |
| 2/12/2026 2:35:02 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.44% | -0.66% |
| 2/11/2026 2:40:37 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -1.41% |
| 2/10/2026 10:04:22 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -0.91% | -1.37% |
| 2/4/2026 2:35:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.93% | +10.40% |
| 2/3/2026 1:56:20 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.05% | -0.08% |
| 2/2/2026 6:29:20 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +1.02% | -1.52% |
| 1/30/2026 2:05:52 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +6.99% | -6.99% |
| 1/28/2026 2:08:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -16.50% | -24.75% |
| 1/26/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -18.04% | -27.06% |
| 1/23/2026 10:07:21 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -22.49% | -33.74% |
| 1/22/2026 11:27:23 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -21.43% | -32.14% |
| 1/21/2026 11:13:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +9.15% | -4.58% |
| 1/21/2026 2:14:38 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +9.15% | +4.58% |
| 1/20/2026 2:41:17 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +9.79% | +14.69% |
| 1/14/2026 11:25:04 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.92% | +4.38% |
| 1/14/2026 2:13:25 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.92% | +4.38% |
| 12/23/2025 2:10:09 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.80% | -2.71% |
| 12/19/2025 5:07:19 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | +16.09% | +24.14% |
| 12/19/2025 1:48:55 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +16.09% | +16.09% |
| 12/17/2025 2:18:23 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.43% | +9.65% |
| 12/15/2025 10:17:24 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +9.32% | +13.98% |
| 12/11/2025 2:02:09 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.72% | +5.58% |
| 12/10/2025 2:04:36 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +23.10% | +23.10% |
| 12/8/2025 1:55:19 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.45% | +3.45% |
| 12/4/2025 1:55:43 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.17% | +2.17% |
| 12/3/2025 1:42:38 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.32% | +3.48% |
| 11/28/2025 2:32:51 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.33% | -0.49% |
| 11/27/2025 3:34:31 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.03% | +1.54% |
| 11/25/2025 2:09:39 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.64% | +5.46% |
| 11/20/2025 2:01:46 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +39.54% | +39.54% |
| 11/19/2025 2:11:41 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.62% | +2.43% |
| 11/18/2025 2:15:37 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.93% | -0.46% |
| 11/17/2025 11:09:46 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +1.23% | -0.61% |
| 11/14/2025 2:02:42 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +2.12% | -2.12% |
| 11/12/2025 10:49:45 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.36% | -3.55% |
| 11/12/2025 2:16:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.36% | -3.55% |
| 11/11/2025 1:54:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.54% | -6.81% |
| 11/7/2025 1:44:27 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -1.60% | -2.40% |
| 10/30/2025 1:04:43 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.56% | -0.28% |
| 10/29/2025 1:10:53 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.75% | -4.13% |
| 10/28/2025 1:16:24 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.40% | -0.70% |
| 10/27/2025 10:44:23 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +1.62% | -0.81% |
| 10/13/2025 2:05:40 PM | long term sharp up | 62 days later | +9.99% | +14.98% |
| 10/2/2025 1:50:52 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.07% | +6.10% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +3.17% | +4.76% |
| 9/26/2025 2:00:35 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +3.49% | +5.23% |
| 9/24/2025 2:07:11 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +17.30% | +17.30% |
| 9/22/2025 1:45:19 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +3.29% | +4.93% |
| 9/19/2025 2:06:39 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +3.81% | +1.91% |
| 9/12/2025 2:07:34 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +2.06% | +3.09% |
| 9/11/2025 1:56:16 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.42% | -0.21% |
| 9/10/2025 1:41:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.48% | -0.74% |
| 9/9/2025 11:14:55 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +8.17% | +12.26% |
| 9/9/2025 2:18:10 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.78% | +2.68% |
| 9/3/2025 1:52:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.66% | +2.50% |
| 9/2/2025 2:02:33 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.32% | +1.98% |
| 8/28/2025 2:17:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.29% | +3.29% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.16% | -1.16% |
| 8/4/2025 11:45:30 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -0.08% | -0.08% |
| 7/24/2025 2:44:36 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.54% | +2.54% |
| 7/18/2025 2:12:59 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -2.39% | -2.39% |
wti
The potential US-Iran deal could reopen the Straits of Hormuz, which would increase oil supply and push prices down, but last time a similar geopolitical event caused oil to go up. This creates high uncertainty and volatility.
yields
10-year Treasury yield dropped from about 4.53% down to about 4.45%. The breakdown below 4.5% really escalated prices significantly higher.
| 6/3/2026 2:08:27 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.14% | +0.57% |
| 6/2/2026 6:22:15 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -1.36% |
| 6/2/2026 1:51:56 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.36% | +0.68% |
| 5/28/2026 6:20:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.85% | +0.85% |
| 5/28/2026 2:12:37 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.85% | +0.85% |
| 5/26/2026 8:03:19 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.13% | +0.07% |
| 5/26/2026 1:55:39 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.13% | +0.07% |
| 5/21/2026 1:58:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.69% | -1.69% |
| 5/14/2026 6:12:33 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 5/14/2026 1:53:21 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 5/13/2026 5:26:50 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.62% | +6.93% |
| 5/6/2026 2:05:14 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.62% | -1.62% |
| 5/4/2026 2:08:49 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.14% | -0.14% |
| 4/29/2026 2:22:08 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 4/24/2026 2:18:16 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.54% | +2.54% |
| 3/31/2026 2:11:17 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.37% |
| 3/27/2026 1:10:42 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.16% |
| 3/26/2026 1:05:27 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.73% | -2.73% |
| 3/25/2026 1:10:36 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.38% | +2.38% |
| 3/23/2026 1:14:06 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -1.14% | -1.71% |
| 3/18/2026 1:13:58 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.59% | -2.59% |
| 3/10/2026 1:03:21 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.29% | -0.14% |
| 3/5/2026 2:11:33 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.81% | +1.81% |
| 3/4/2026 1:58:21 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.24% | -0.24% |
| 3/3/2026 2:19:16 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.37% | +1.37% |
| 2/17/2026 2:09:29 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.23% | +1.23% |
| 2/16/2026 3:07:19 PM | short term down | 6 days later | -0.57% | +0.57% |
| 2/12/2026 2:35:02 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.57% | -0.57% |
| 2/11/2026 2:40:37 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.27% | +1.27% |
| 1/30/2026 2:05:52 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.80% | -1.80% |
| 1/21/2026 2:14:38 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.61% | -0.61% |
| 1/20/2026 2:41:17 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -1.41% |
| 12/23/2025 2:10:09 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.48% | +0.24% |
| 12/19/2025 1:48:55 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 12/11/2025 2:02:09 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.03% | +1.03% |
| 12/10/2025 2:04:36 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.19% | +0.19% |
| 12/9/2025 2:09:53 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.43% | +0.65% |
| 12/4/2025 1:55:43 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.60% | -0.30% |
| 11/28/2025 2:32:51 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.86% | -1.86% |
| 11/27/2025 3:34:31 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.00% | -1.00% |
| 11/25/2025 2:09:39 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.45% | -2.45% |
| 11/24/2025 2:27:59 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +2.35% | -1.17% |
| 11/20/2025 2:01:46 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.60% | -0.80% |
| 11/14/2025 2:02:42 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -2.30% | -1.15% |
| 11/5/2025 2:23:24 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.66% | -0.33% |
| 10/30/2025 1:04:43 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.37% | -0.68% |
| 10/29/2025 1:10:53 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.10% |
| 10/28/2025 1:16:24 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.18% | -1.18% |
| 10/27/2025 10:44:23 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +3.09% | -3.09% |
| 10/2/2025 1:50:52 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.24% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.34% | -0.34% |
| 9/26/2025 2:00:35 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.51% | -0.51% |
| 9/10/2025 1:41:49 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.37% | +0.37% |
| 9/9/2025 11:14:55 PM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | +2.88% | -4.32% |
| 9/9/2025 2:18:10 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.05% | -0.05% |
| 9/2/2025 2:02:33 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -3.92% | -3.92% |
| 8/28/2025 2:17:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.38% | +0.19% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.21% | -0.21% |
| 7/18/2025 2:12:59 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.10% | -1.10% |
