Marley Kaden recaps a session where the bull market broadened, financials hit new highs but closed lower post-FOMC. The Fed held rates, causing a dramatic yield curve flattening (2yr +16bp, 10yr +6bp) and a negative equity reaction. Carmax fell 9% despite beating earnings due to margin concerns. Netflix denied Lionsgate acquisition rumors. Focus shifts to tomorrow's jobless claims and Accenture earnings.

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explicit
Oil
Metals
USD
KBW Bank ETF cautious up
Charles Schwab 7.8
Asset Manager $890.00B
Marley Kayden 3.5
Wednesday’s Final Takeaways: KMX Falls After Earnings & Fed Holds Rates Steady
KMX; NFLX
6/18/2026 1:00:06 AM
ndx
All of our major indices fell entirely into the red before the close.
31 calls
+0
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
6/11/2026 2:00:05 AM short term down 5 days later +0.12% -0.12%
6/8/2026 4:30:36 PM short term up 6 days later +5.02% +5.02%
6/5/2026 4:30:04 PM short term down 7 days later +3.84% -3.84%
6/5/2026 2:00:05 AM short term down 7 days later +3.84% -3.84%
6/4/2026 4:40:40 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.55% +0.78%
6/3/2026 7:30:39 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -4.35% +2.18%
5/29/2026 6:00:30 PM short term up 7 days later -3.60% -3.60%
5/27/2026 3:30:10 PM short term up 5 days later +1.44% +1.44%
5/20/2026 9:00:35 PM short term up 5 days later +2.19% +2.19%
5/14/2026 3:30:29 PM short term up 5 days later +0.59% +0.59%
3/17/2026 1:00:03 AM short term up 5 days later -0.97% -0.97%
3/13/2026 1:00:26 AM short term down 7 days later -1.89% +1.89%
3/10/2026 1:00:27 AM short term up 5 days later -1.24% -1.24%
3/9/2026 3:30:01 PM short term up 6 days later -1.21% -1.21%
3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM short term down 5 days later -0.50% +0.50%
2/18/2026 5:01:08 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.72% -0.36%
2/5/2026 2:00:23 AM short term down 5 days later +0.50% -0.50%
2/4/2026 2:00:00 AM short term down 5 days later +2.36% -2.36%
1/27/2026 2:00:35 AM short term up 5 days later -1.09% -1.09%
11/20/2025 7:30:15 PM short term up 5 days later +4.11% +4.11%
11/18/2025 6:00:07 PM short term down 5 days later +0.95% -0.95%
11/7/2025 3:01:02 AM medium term up 21 days later -1.05% -1.05%
11/5/2025 8:18:35 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +1.61% +0.80%
11/3/2025 6:30:01 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +0.69% +0.35%
11/1/2025 1:00:33 AM short term up 7 days later -1.39% -1.39%
10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM short term up 6 days later -0.15% -0.15%
10/23/2025 3:00:52 AM short term cautious up 5 days later +3.00% +1.50%
10/8/2025 1:00:07 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.07% +1.03%
10/1/2025 5:00:02 PM short term up 5 days later -0.21% -0.21%
9/13/2025 1:29:51 AM short term up 7 days later +1.92% +1.92%
8/11/2025 5:30:31 PM short term up 6 days later -0.53% -0.53%
Show all 31 ndx results
rut
All of our major indices fell entirely into the red before the close.
12 calls
+4
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
6/11/2026 2:00:05 AM short term down 5 days later -0.88% +0.88%
6/5/2026 4:00:33 PM short term up 7 days later +3.84% +3.84%
6/5/2026 2:00:05 AM short term up 7 days later +3.84% +3.84%
5/29/2026 3:30:30 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -1.73% -0.87%
5/21/2026 3:30:57 PM short term up 5 days later +1.77% +1.77%
3/9/2026 3:30:01 PM short term down 6 days later -1.76% +1.76%
3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM short term down 5 days later -3.12% +3.12%
2/18/2026 5:01:08 PM short term up 5 days later -0.48% -0.48%
1/27/2026 2:00:35 AM short term down 5 days later -0.50% +0.50%
12/12/2025 11:34:07 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later +0.68% +0.34%
12/11/2025 6:01:13 PM short term up 5 days later -2.32% -2.32%
11/18/2025 6:00:07 PM short term down 5 days later +2.83% -2.83%
Show all 12 rut results
yields
We saw a dramatic flattening of the yield curve. The 2-year moved up 16 basis points to 4.2, the 10-year jumping more than 6 basis points to 4.49, and the 30-year came in almost 2 basis points.
94 calls
+2
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
6/4/2026 4:40:40 PM short term down 5 days later +0.13% -0.13%
6/3/2026 7:30:39 PM short term up 5 days later +1.14% +1.14%
6/2/2026 6:00:01 PM short term up 5 days later +1.36% +1.36%
6/1/2026 3:30:31 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +2.18% +1.09%
5/28/2026 7:00:37 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -0.04% -0.02%
5/26/2026 4:30:11 PM short term down 5 days later -0.13% +0.13%
5/21/2026 7:00:03 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.08% -1.04%
5/21/2026 3:30:57 PM short term down 5 days later -1.69% +1.69%
5/20/2026 6:00:24 PM short term up 5 days later -2.03% -2.03%
5/20/2026 4:30:01 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.03% +1.01%
5/20/2026 1:00:35 AM short term sharp up 5 days later -2.03% -3.04%
5/19/2026 7:00:05 PM medium term sharp up 20 days later -0.96% -1.44%
5/19/2026 5:39:53 PM medium term down 20 days later -0.96% +0.96%
5/18/2026 3:30:42 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.46% -1.23%
5/14/2026 7:01:22 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.50% -0.25%
5/14/2026 3:30:29 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.50% -0.25%
5/13/2026 6:00:58 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +4.62% +6.93%
5/13/2026 4:07:44 PM short term up 5 days later +4.62% +4.62%
5/12/2026 6:01:10 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +3.17% +4.75%
5/12/2026 4:00:57 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.58% +0.29%
5/11/2026 7:00:43 PM short term up 6 days later +3.59% +3.59%
5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM short term up 6 days later +3.59% +3.59%
5/6/2026 7:01:28 PM short term up 5 days later +1.62% +1.62%
5/1/2026 5:30:10 PM short term down 7 days later -0.81% +0.81%
4/29/2026 10:30:10 PM short term up 5 days later +0.59% +0.59%
4/17/2026 7:00:31 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.76% +3.76%
4/10/2026 7:01:10 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.47% +3.47%
4/8/2026 7:30:12 PM short term down 5 days later -0.86% +0.86%
3/27/2026 10:22:16 PM short term sharp up 7 days later -0.16% -0.24%
3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -0.16% -0.08%
3/26/2026 6:15:02 PM short term up 5 days later -2.73% -2.73%
3/24/2026 3:30:35 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +0.32% +0.16%
3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.16% -1.08%
3/20/2026 4:35:56 PM medium term up 21 days later -0.85% -0.85%
3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM short term down 5 days later +1.76% -1.76%
3/16/2026 6:01:06 PM short term up 6 days later +3.14% +3.14%
2/23/2026 7:00:42 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +4.64% +2.32%
2/18/2026 7:00:31 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +3.26% +1.63%
2/11/2026 7:35:50 PM short term up 5 days later -1.27% -1.27%
2/11/2026 4:30:22 PM short term up 5 days later -1.27% -1.27%
1/30/2026 7:01:03 PM short term up 7 days later -1.80% -1.80%
1/23/2026 8:46:35 PM long term cautious up 60 days later +5.39% +2.69%
1/20/2026 7:01:32 PM short term up 5 days later -0.94% -0.94%
1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM long term cautious up 60 days later -1.12% -0.56%
12/31/2025 5:47:14 PM short term up 5 days later -1.17% -1.17%
12/23/2025 5:54:44 PM short term up 5 days later -0.48% -0.48%
12/17/2025 7:00:01 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.53% +0.27%
12/15/2025 6:00:31 PM short term down 6 days later +0.48% -0.48%
12/11/2025 7:30:17 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.03% +0.51%
12/5/2025 8:31:08 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later -1.34% -0.67%
12/1/2025 7:17:24 PM medium term up 20 days later +2.03% +2.03%
11/21/2025 6:00:06 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +1.44% -0.72%
11/14/2025 6:01:14 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -2.30% -1.15%
11/11/2025 1:00:57 AM short term up 5 days later +1.67% +1.67%
11/5/2025 11:14:15 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +0.66% +0.99%
11/5/2025 6:00:18 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.32% -1.16%
10/31/2025 5:00:59 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.10% -0.05%
10/29/2025 5:30:29 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.10% +0.05%
10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM short term up 6 days later +3.09% +3.09%
10/24/2025 8:41:31 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +2.73% -1.36%
10/24/2025 5:33:04 PM short term up 7 days later +2.73% +2.73%
10/23/2025 7:03:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.53% -0.76%
10/21/2025 6:30:23 PM short term down 5 days later +1.11% -1.11%
10/20/2025 6:30:14 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.86% -0.43%
10/16/2025 10:47:56 PM short term down 5 days later -1.35% +1.35%
10/14/2025 6:01:25 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -1.48% -0.74%
10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.48% +0.74%
9/30/2025 5:42:26 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.36% -0.68%
9/29/2025 6:30:09 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +0.34% +0.17%
9/26/2025 6:27:34 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.51% -0.25%
9/22/2025 6:00:19 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.51% -0.25%
9/18/2025 5:45:03 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.22% -0.11%
9/17/2025 6:01:49 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.39% -0.19%
9/16/2025 11:52:11 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.64% -0.82%
9/15/2025 10:13:32 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +3.38% -1.69%
9/15/2025 6:00:38 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +2.91% -1.45%
9/12/2025 11:30:07 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +2.70% -1.35%
9/10/2025 11:30:15 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.37% -0.19%
9/5/2025 11:30:10 PM short term sharp down 7 days later -0.30% +0.44%
9/3/2025 11:30:04 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.69% +0.35%
9/2/2025 8:01:17 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -3.92% +1.96%
8/29/2025 11:22:31 PM medium term down 20 days later -3.13% +3.13%
8/28/2025 11:34:09 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -2.91% +1.45%
8/25/2025 11:30:06 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -5.26% +2.63%
8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.45% -0.22%
8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.45% -0.22%
8/22/2025 11:30:14 PM short term down 8 days later +0.05% -0.05%
8/21/2025 6:30:30 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.52% -0.26%
8/13/2025 11:30:57 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/8/2025 11:30:04 PM long term cautious down 60 days later -5.20% +2.60%
8/7/2025 11:35:19 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.82% +0.91%
7/30/2025 1:54:24 AM short term up 5 days later -3.76% -3.76%
7/21/2025 11:30:17 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.45% +0.73%
7/16/2025 11:30:00 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -2.85% -1.42%
Show all 94 yields results

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