implicit
NDX
RUT
Oil
explicit
implicit
Bloomberg
5.5
Financial Media
Mark Cranfield 3.0
Financial Media
Mark Cranfield 3.0
1/26/2026 10:56:46 AM
dxy
The entire discussion is framed around U.S. potential intervention to support the yen, which would involve selling dollars. The interviewee states the U.S. is 'suddenly very concerned about yen weakness,' implying a desire for a weaker dollar to achieve their Treasury yield objective.
| 1/26/2026 4:46:43 AM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.44% | -1.44% |
| 1/20/2026 6:00:07 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.74% | +1.74% |
| 1/20/2026 5:25:20 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.74% | +1.74% |
| 1/14/2026 6:48:56 AM | medium term down | 20 days later | -1.71% | +1.71% |
| 1/12/2026 3:24:56 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.27% | -0.27% |
| 1/12/2026 2:06:59 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.27% | -0.27% |
| 12/23/2025 10:14:37 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +1.17% | +1.17% |
| 12/11/2025 6:13:10 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.03% | +0.02% |
| 12/4/2025 6:49:20 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.20% | +0.10% |
| 12/1/2025 5:28:31 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.08% | +0.54% |
| 11/4/2025 12:00:38 PM | long term up | 61 days later | -1.93% | -1.93% |
| 10/17/2025 10:27:37 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.43% | -0.43% |
| 10/1/2025 10:52:02 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.75% | -0.37% |
| 10/1/2025 8:12:58 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.75% | -0.75% |
| 10/1/2025 8:12:58 AM | medium term down | 20 days later | +1.07% | -1.07% |
| 9/30/2025 7:44:54 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.41% | -0.20% |
| 9/25/2025 1:14:48 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.45% | -0.45% |
| 9/17/2025 10:11:21 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.09% | +0.05% |
| 9/17/2025 8:33:28 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.09% | +0.05% |
| 9/5/2025 10:16:54 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.15% | +0.15% |
| 8/26/2025 8:35:09 AM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.17% | -0.17% |
| 8/1/2025 2:29:07 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.26% | -0.26% |
| 8/1/2025 12:29:01 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.26% | -0.26% |
metals
We seem to have a precious metals bubble going on right now as well. On several measures, it's really getting quite extreme. Both gold and silver have diverged enormously from where they're 200 day moving averages. The market is extremely speculative. What it may need is for something else to crack first and then that will feed back into the precious metals.
The interviewee describes a bubble with extreme divergence from moving averages and high speculation, warning of a potential reversal triggered by a crack in another market (like the yen). This implies a cautious downside view in the short term.
| 1/26/2026 10:10:52 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -18.04% | -27.06% |
| 1/23/2026 10:16:13 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -16.21% | -16.21% |
| 1/21/2026 3:54:53 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +9.15% | +13.73% |
| 1/19/2026 10:27:54 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +9.93% | +14.89% |
| 1/15/2026 8:01:10 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.70% | +4.70% |
| 1/14/2026 9:49:21 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.92% | +4.38% |
| 1/14/2026 6:48:56 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +1.48% | +1.48% |
| 1/10/2026 2:50:05 AM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -2.27% | -1.14% |
| 12/24/2025 10:09:01 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -7.53% | -11.30% |
| 12/24/2025 8:43:44 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -7.53% | -7.53% |
| 12/24/2025 7:08:10 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -7.53% | -11.30% |
| 12/23/2025 7:24:06 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.80% | -2.71% |
| 12/22/2025 11:02:38 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +7.73% | -3.87% |
| 12/22/2025 9:48:16 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.16% | -2.16% |
| 12/19/2025 9:48:49 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.39% | +0.39% |
| 12/1/2025 1:30:08 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +10.54% | +10.54% |
| 11/24/2025 10:10:50 AM | long term up | 62 days later | +50.41% | +50.41% |
| 11/11/2025 3:01:41 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.54% | -6.81% |
| 11/11/2025 2:03:07 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.54% | -4.54% |
| 11/11/2025 10:07:03 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.54% | -6.81% |
| 11/10/2025 2:14:07 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.26% | -2.26% |
| 10/22/2025 11:01:29 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -3.73% | +5.60% |
| 10/22/2025 10:20:48 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -3.73% | +5.60% |
| 10/21/2025 9:16:26 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.09% | +1.55% |
| 10/20/2025 6:00:17 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.71% | -2.71% |
| 10/8/2025 9:39:08 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +4.31% | -2.16% |
| 10/8/2025 1:58:52 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.31% | +6.47% |
| 10/7/2025 5:54:39 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.72% | +4.07% |
| 10/2/2025 12:01:12 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.07% | +4.07% |
| 10/1/2025 10:25:13 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.05% | +4.58% |
| 10/1/2025 3:37:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.05% | +3.05% |
| 10/1/2025 8:12:58 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.05% | +4.58% |
| 9/29/2025 10:23:48 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +13.19% | +19.78% |
| 9/24/2025 12:53:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.86% | +4.29% |
| 9/19/2025 10:47:12 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +3.81% | +3.81% |
| 9/8/2025 11:19:17 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +2.35% | +3.53% |
| 9/5/2025 10:16:54 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +1.91% | +1.91% |
| 9/2/2025 8:43:37 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.32% | +1.98% |
| 8/18/2025 11:31:36 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +9.56% | +14.34% |
| 8/18/2025 11:10:24 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.94% | -1.94% |
| 8/14/2025 11:46:57 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.09% | -0.09% |
| 8/11/2025 9:25:03 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.16% | -0.16% |
| 8/11/2025 10:07:32 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.16% | +0.08% |
| 8/8/2025 8:23:48 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.25% | -0.38% |
yields
The interviewee's core thesis is that U.S. authorities are concerned about Japanese bond weakness spilling over and pushing U.S. Treasury yields higher. The motivation for intervention is to prevent this, implying a view that yields have upward pressure absent action.
| 1/21/2026 3:54:53 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +2.00% | +2.00% |
| 1/20/2026 6:00:07 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -0.94% |
| 1/20/2026 3:56:13 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -2.49% | -3.74% |
| 1/20/2026 5:25:20 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -1.41% |
| 1/8/2026 11:18:05 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.34% | -0.67% |
| 12/24/2025 2:57:09 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.58% | +0.29% |
| 12/23/2025 7:24:06 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.85% | +0.85% |
| 12/22/2025 2:42:18 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.43% | +0.43% |
| 12/19/2025 10:45:28 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | +0.43% | +0.43% |
| 12/19/2025 8:37:44 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | +0.43% | +0.43% |
| 12/18/2025 11:18:27 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.36% | +0.36% |
| 12/18/2025 9:42:38 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +0.77% | -0.77% |
| 12/18/2025 1:08:16 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.77% | +0.77% |
| 12/18/2025 8:02:41 AM | medium term down | 20 days later | +0.77% | -0.77% |
| 12/17/2025 7:04:39 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.53% | +0.27% |
| 12/16/2025 11:40:23 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.43% | -0.43% |
| 12/11/2025 10:26:28 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.03% | +1.03% |
| 12/11/2025 10:09:14 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.03% | -1.03% |
| 12/9/2025 10:56:25 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.43% | +0.43% |
| 12/9/2025 10:44:30 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.43% | +0.65% |
| 12/9/2025 6:08:48 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -0.82% | -1.22% |
| 12/8/2025 7:49:51 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.67% | -0.84% |
| 12/4/2025 5:57:16 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.60% | -0.60% |
| 12/1/2025 5:28:31 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +2.10% | -1.05% |
| 11/28/2025 12:53:14 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +1.86% | +0.93% |
| 11/25/2025 8:46:35 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.45% | -2.45% |
| 11/25/2025 8:46:35 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +3.78% | -3.78% |
| 11/18/2025 10:02:58 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.30% | +2.30% |
| 11/13/2025 1:46:53 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.96% | +0.48% |
| 11/12/2025 2:18:30 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.27% | -0.13% |
| 11/12/2025 10:01:21 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +0.27% | -0.40% |
| 11/12/2025 7:56:58 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +0.27% | -0.40% |
| 11/11/2025 3:01:41 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.67% | -0.84% |
| 11/6/2025 11:18:53 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.68% | +0.68% |
| 11/6/2025 2:13:19 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.68% | +0.68% |
| 11/4/2025 12:00:38 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.13% | -0.57% |
| 10/21/2025 10:46:09 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +4.22% | +4.22% |
| 10/8/2025 9:34:41 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.04% | +1.52% |
| 10/2/2025 3:40:39 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.12% |
| 10/2/2025 12:44:17 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.24% |
| 10/1/2025 10:52:02 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.48% |
| 9/30/2025 7:44:54 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -1.36% |
| 9/26/2025 7:55:36 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.51% | +0.25% |
| 9/26/2025 1:25:54 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.51% | +0.25% |
| 9/19/2025 10:47:12 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.05% | -0.05% |
| 9/17/2025 10:11:21 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/12/2025 7:15:05 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +2.70% | -2.70% |
| 9/11/2025 8:51:28 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.18% |
| 9/10/2025 8:24:03 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/5/2025 10:16:54 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 9/5/2025 8:47:44 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 9/5/2025 8:47:44 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 9/5/2025 7:27:44 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.15% |
| 9/3/2025 7:42:12 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -0.69% | -1.04% |
| 8/29/2025 8:13:51 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.13% | +1.57% |
| 8/29/2025 8:13:51 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -3.13% | -4.70% |
| 8/28/2025 1:17:57 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.38% | -0.19% |
| 8/28/2025 7:11:09 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -2.91% | -4.36% |
| 8/27/2025 10:15:27 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/27/2025 6:53:39 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -3.11% | -1.56% |
| 8/27/2025 6:53:39 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -3.11% | -1.56% |
| 8/27/2025 2:10:17 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.66% | -0.83% |
| 8/26/2025 7:44:57 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 8/25/2025 12:19:20 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.45% |
| 8/20/2025 11:22:19 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/20/2025 6:36:06 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/19/2025 7:37:21 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.49% | +0.24% |
| 8/19/2025 7:37:21 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.49% | +0.24% |
| 8/19/2025 7:37:21 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.17% | +2.58% |
| 8/15/2025 10:20:21 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -1.52% | -0.76% |
| 8/7/2025 6:34:17 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -3.69% | -5.53% |
| 8/5/2025 10:44:07 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.26% | -0.63% |
| 8/4/2025 10:45:50 AM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +1.84% | -2.75% |
| 7/22/2025 6:22:47 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.73% | -0.36% |
