Rob Kaplan, former Dallas Fed President, says Kevin Warsh will be an excellent Fed Chair. He expects the next Fed move could be a rate hike due to inflation, not a cut. Kaplan advises Warsh to be independent and not worry about political constituencies. He also discusses the AI-driven structural trend in the economy, where corporate earnings are being revised upward despite sluggish GDP growth.
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Goldman Sachs
9.0
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Rob Kaplan 8.5
Investment Bank $2500.00B
Rob Kaplan 8.5
5/22/2026 10:41:13 PM
dxy
The expectation of a potential rate hike by the Fed would be bullish for the US dollar.
metals
No explicit mention of metals. The focus is on rates and equities, suggesting no strong directional view on metals from this interview.
ndx
Kaplan highlights a structural trend in AI that is driving corporate earnings growth. This is a positive signal for the tech-heavy Nasdaq over the medium term.
rut
Kaplan says earnings growth will be more concentrated in smaller names, which is a positive signal for the Russell 2000. However, the sluggish GDP growth tempers the outlook.
wti
Kaplan mentions elevated oil prices as a key factor changing the Fed's outlook. The geopolitical situation in Iran creates significant uncertainty for oil prices.
yields
The next Fed move may actually be a rate increase, not a cut.
| 5/6/2026 9:19:41 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.62% | +0.81% |
| 5/5/2026 1:43:30 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.24% | +0.62% |
| 4/20/2026 7:09:00 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.75% | +2.75% |
| 3/4/2026 2:04:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.24% | -0.24% |
| 2/12/2026 6:36:08 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +2.22% | -1.11% |
| 1/30/2026 6:19:23 AM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -5.75% | +2.88% |
| 12/9/2025 6:20:53 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.82% | +0.41% |
| 11/28/2025 6:04:11 PM | medium term down | 21 days later | +1.78% | -1.78% |
| 11/13/2025 8:45:53 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.36% | +0.36% |
| 11/7/2025 7:28:39 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -0.34% | +0.17% |
| 10/29/2025 5:37:32 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.98% | -0.49% |
| 10/28/2025 6:42:40 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.60% | -0.80% |
| 10/28/2025 1:59:32 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.18% | -0.59% |
| 10/24/2025 6:55:30 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +3.40% | -1.70% |
| 10/15/2025 9:58:39 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +4.55% | -2.28% |
| 10/7/2025 1:51:58 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.89% | -1.89% |
| 9/29/2025 2:12:26 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.34% | -0.17% |
| 9/16/2025 4:19:00 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.25% | -0.63% |
| 9/11/2025 1:30:06 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.18% |
| 9/9/2025 10:35:22 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.05% | -0.02% |
| 9/5/2025 6:25:27 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +2.35% | -1.17% |
| 9/3/2025 7:20:32 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.44% | +1.22% |
| 9/2/2025 1:47:03 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.92% | -5.88% |
| 8/12/2025 11:12:01 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.43% | -1.22% |
| 8/6/2025 7:05:41 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 8/1/2025 6:12:49 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.74% | -1.74% |
