Oil prices are elevated ($100+/bbl) and will remain volatile, driven by the ongoing blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which has cut off over 10M bpd. The market is currently sustained by storage draws and demand destruction. Until free flow through the Strait resumes, expect price swings dictated by headlines, with no clear resolution in sight as both US and Iran await concessions.
Yields
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
The Trump Organization, Inc 3.0
Real Estate
Donald Trump 7.0
5/1/2026 8:36:16 AM
wti
We saw the prices jump up yesterday to the highest in the war... we were seeing these elevated prices over $100 a barrel... we're going to continue to see those prices elevated and again bouncing up and down depending on the headlines.
70 calls
-2
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
4/29/2026 1:40:27 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -2.66% -4.00%
4/24/2026 5:23:35 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later +12.75% +6.38%
4/24/2026 2:19:58 PM short term cautious up 7 days later +10.43% +5.21%
4/23/2026 11:57:20 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +13.22% +6.61%
4/23/2026 11:52:58 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +13.22% +6.61%
4/21/2026 4:37:21 PM short term up 5 days later +3.67% +3.67%
4/20/2026 9:01:16 PM medium term down 20 days later +6.45% -6.45%
4/17/2026 2:08:13 PM short term sharp down 7 days later +7.54% -11.32%
4/17/2026 11:37:01 AM short term cautious down 7 days later +7.54% -3.77%
4/17/2026 8:31:26 AM short term cautious down 7 days later +7.54% -3.77%
4/16/2026 10:53:39 PM short term sharp down 5 days later +10.86% -16.30%
4/16/2026 10:21:15 PM short term sharp down 5 days later +10.86% -16.30%
4/13/2026 11:02:21 PM short term cautious up 6 days later -1.83% -0.91%
4/13/2026 9:46:23 AM short term sharp up 6 days later -1.83% -2.74%
4/8/2026 8:00:34 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -6.73% +3.37%
4/8/2026 2:17:04 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -6.73% +10.10%
4/2/2026 9:36:47 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -15.36% -23.04%
4/2/2026 6:55:00 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -15.36% +7.68%
4/1/2026 3:20:56 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.26% -0.63%
3/26/2026 6:00:03 PM short term up 5 days later +0.48% +0.48%
3/23/2026 7:47:20 PM short term sharp down 6 days later +11.40% -17.10%
3/18/2026 8:32:27 AM short term up 5 days later -3.94% -3.94%
3/16/2026 11:23:07 PM short term up 6 days later -8.40% -8.40%
3/16/2026 9:03:21 PM short term sharp down 6 days later -8.40% +12.60%
3/16/2026 8:16:44 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +16.84% -8.42%
3/10/2026 9:18:14 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +7.16% -3.58%
3/10/2026 12:50:01 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +7.16% -3.58%
3/8/2026 6:30:54 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -1.34% -0.67%
3/6/2026 12:26:05 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +8.59% -4.30%
3/4/2026 9:51:48 AM short term sharp down 5 days later +3.01% -4.52%
3/3/2026 11:55:33 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +26.94% +13.47%
1/21/2026 7:26:12 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +5.10% -2.55%
1/13/2026 7:24:32 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +1.92% -0.96%
1/9/2026 10:36:27 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -0.12% +0.06%
1/5/2026 7:12:40 PM medium term sharp up 20 days later +6.13% +9.19%
10/23/2025 12:46:28 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -1.66% -2.49%
10/15/2025 10:20:54 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later +3.72% -1.86%
10/9/2025 10:45:24 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.07% +0.53%
9/15/2025 9:09:32 AM short term cautious up 6 days later -2.91% -1.46%
9/12/2025 12:16:57 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -2.54% +1.27%
8/25/2025 10:59:06 PM short term up 7 days later +3.70% +3.70%
8/5/2025 4:44:03 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.61% +0.30%
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