Mark Cudmore argues AI is the dominant narrative for equities, making stocks appear invulnerable and setting up a potential bubble. He believes the Fed needs to raise rates due to persistent inflation and strong growth, pushing 10-year yields above 4.50%. He also sees excessive optimism in UK gilt markets, with yields needing to be higher due to persistent inflation.
explicit
implicit
RUT
inferred
Metals
implicit
Bloomberg
5.5
Financial Media
Mark Cudmore 5.0
Financial Media
Mark Cudmore 5.0
US Stocks; 10-Year Yields; Gilt Markets
6/1/2026 10:39:53 AM
dxy
Fed needs to raise rates due to strong growth and persistent inflation, which would typically support the US dollar.
ndx
AI is the overpowering narrative driving equities higher, but stretched multiples and invulnerability signal caution and potential bubble risk.
wti
Oil prices are watching the Middle East story, but the equity market shrugged off the Iran conflict, suggesting limited sustained impact on oil from geopolitical events.
yields
The 10-year yield has got to be higher than 4.50%... the Fed has got to raise rates... 4.05% just doesn't cut it.
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| 5/20/2026 12:04:34 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.03% | -3.04% |
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| 5/12/2026 9:34:37 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.17% | +3.17% |
| 5/12/2026 2:49:50 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.17% | +3.17% |
| 5/11/2026 3:42:16 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/11/2026 2:37:40 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/11/2026 10:33:48 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/11/2026 10:21:17 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/8/2026 8:52:09 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +4.83% | +4.83% |
| 5/7/2026 11:14:07 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.09% | +2.09% |
| 5/7/2026 11:14:07 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.09% | +2.09% |
| 5/5/2026 10:43:29 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.24% | +1.24% |
| 5/5/2026 9:59:09 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.24% | +1.86% |
| 5/5/2026 6:19:06 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.24% | +1.86% |
| 5/1/2026 4:44:32 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.81% | -0.81% |
| 4/30/2026 2:14:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.50% |
| 4/30/2026 8:02:59 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.50% |
| 4/27/2026 7:39:37 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +2.11% | -2.11% |
| 4/24/2026 9:53:00 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.54% | +2.54% |
| 4/21/2026 4:08:13 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.98% | +0.98% |
| 4/18/2026 12:01:38 AM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | +2.02% | -3.04% |
| 4/17/2026 12:08:37 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | +3.76% | +1.88% |
| 4/15/2026 12:05:32 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.39% | +0.39% |
| 4/13/2026 7:00:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.14% | -0.14% |
| 4/10/2026 11:45:00 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -1.09% | -0.55% |
| 4/10/2026 11:41:57 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -1.09% | -0.55% |
| 4/9/2026 11:01:58 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.81% | -0.81% |
| 4/3/2026 12:36:51 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.88% | +0.88% |
| 4/1/2026 11:17:06 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.70% | -0.70% |
| 4/1/2026 10:17:51 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.70% | -0.70% |
| 3/31/2026 10:09:41 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.37% | +0.37% |
| 3/30/2026 2:09:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +0.56% | +0.56% |
| 3/30/2026 10:29:13 AM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.56% | -0.56% |
| 3/30/2026 8:40:46 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.56% | -0.28% |
| 3/27/2026 11:59:23 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.24% |
| 3/27/2026 10:05:53 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | -2.12% | -2.12% |
| 3/27/2026 2:00:21 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.16% |
| 3/25/2026 10:19:55 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | -3.03% | -3.03% |
| 3/23/2026 7:21:12 AM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.14% | -1.14% |
| 3/21/2026 1:47:39 AM | long term down | 60 days later | +5.17% | -5.17% |
| 3/20/2026 2:30:40 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.18% | +0.18% |
| 3/19/2026 8:12:15 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.43% | +1.43% |
| 3/13/2026 9:58:26 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.70% | +2.70% |
| 3/13/2026 6:57:37 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +2.70% | -2.70% |
| 3/13/2026 4:40:53 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +2.73% | -1.36% |
| 3/13/2026 9:59:21 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +2.70% | +4.05% |
| 3/13/2026 6:44:24 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.70% | +2.70% |
| 3/11/2026 10:02:21 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.66% | +1.66% |
| 3/9/2026 2:08:40 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +2.03% | +2.03% |
| 3/9/2026 10:03:43 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +2.03% | +2.03% |
| 3/3/2026 9:47:37 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.37% | +1.37% |
| 3/3/2026 10:53:30 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.37% | +1.37% |
| 2/28/2026 1:02:34 AM | medium term sharp down | 21 days later | +7.07% | -10.60% |
| 2/20/2026 5:23:54 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.47% | +0.47% |
| 2/19/2026 11:46:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.93% | -0.93% |
| 2/19/2026 2:30:40 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.93% | -0.93% |
| 2/19/2026 8:04:55 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +4.58% | +4.58% |
| 2/18/2026 11:17:07 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +3.26% | +1.63% |
| 2/18/2026 9:44:49 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +3.26% | +1.63% |
| 2/2/2026 10:10:47 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | -5.73% | -5.73% |
| 1/30/2026 10:19:09 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.80% | -1.80% |
| 1/28/2026 1:08:47 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.11% | +1.11% |
| 1/21/2026 3:54:53 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +2.00% | +2.00% |
| 1/20/2026 6:00:07 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -0.94% |
| 1/20/2026 3:56:13 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -2.49% | -3.74% |
| 1/20/2026 5:25:20 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -1.41% |
| 1/8/2026 11:18:05 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.34% | -0.67% |
| 12/24/2025 2:57:09 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.58% | +0.29% |
| 12/23/2025 7:24:06 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.85% | +0.85% |
| 12/22/2025 2:42:18 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.43% | +0.43% |
| 12/19/2025 10:45:28 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | +0.43% | +0.43% |
| 12/19/2025 8:37:44 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | +0.43% | +0.43% |
| 12/18/2025 11:18:27 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.36% | +0.36% |
| 12/18/2025 9:42:38 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +0.77% | -0.77% |
| 12/18/2025 1:08:16 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.77% | +0.77% |
| 12/18/2025 8:02:41 AM | medium term down | 20 days later | +0.77% | -0.77% |
| 12/17/2025 7:04:39 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.53% | +0.27% |
| 12/16/2025 11:40:23 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.43% | -0.43% |
| 12/11/2025 10:26:28 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.03% | +1.03% |
| 12/11/2025 10:09:14 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.03% | -1.03% |
| 12/9/2025 10:56:25 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.43% | +0.43% |
| 12/9/2025 10:44:30 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.43% | +0.65% |
| 12/9/2025 6:08:48 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -0.82% | -1.22% |
| 12/8/2025 7:49:51 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.67% | -0.84% |
| 12/4/2025 5:57:16 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.60% | -0.60% |
| 12/1/2025 5:28:31 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +2.10% | -1.05% |
| 11/28/2025 12:53:14 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +1.86% | +0.93% |
| 11/25/2025 8:46:35 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.45% | -2.45% |
| 11/25/2025 8:46:35 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +3.78% | -3.78% |
| 11/18/2025 10:02:58 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.30% | +2.30% |
| 11/13/2025 1:46:53 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.96% | +0.48% |
| 11/12/2025 2:18:30 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.27% | -0.13% |
| 11/12/2025 10:01:21 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +0.27% | -0.40% |
| 11/12/2025 7:56:58 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +0.27% | -0.40% |
| 11/11/2025 3:01:41 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.67% | -0.84% |
| 11/6/2025 11:18:53 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.68% | +0.68% |
| 11/6/2025 2:13:19 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.68% | +0.68% |
| 11/4/2025 12:00:38 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.13% | -0.57% |
| 10/21/2025 10:46:09 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +4.22% | +4.22% |
| 10/8/2025 9:34:41 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.04% | +1.52% |
| 10/2/2025 3:40:39 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.12% |
| 10/2/2025 12:44:17 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.24% |
| 10/1/2025 10:52:02 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.48% |
| 9/30/2025 7:44:54 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -1.36% |
| 9/26/2025 7:55:36 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.51% | +0.25% |
| 9/26/2025 1:25:54 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.51% | +0.25% |
| 9/19/2025 10:47:12 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.05% | -0.05% |
| 9/17/2025 10:11:21 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/12/2025 7:15:05 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +2.70% | -2.70% |
| 9/11/2025 8:51:28 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.18% |
| 9/10/2025 8:24:03 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/5/2025 10:16:54 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 9/5/2025 8:47:44 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 9/5/2025 8:47:44 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 9/5/2025 7:27:44 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.15% |
| 9/3/2025 7:42:12 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -0.69% | -1.04% |
| 8/29/2025 8:13:51 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.13% | +1.57% |
| 8/29/2025 8:13:51 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -3.13% | -4.70% |
| 8/28/2025 1:17:57 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.38% | -0.19% |
| 8/28/2025 7:11:09 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -2.91% | -4.36% |
| 8/27/2025 10:15:27 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/27/2025 6:53:39 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -3.11% | -1.56% |
| 8/27/2025 6:53:39 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -3.11% | -1.56% |
| 8/27/2025 2:10:17 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.66% | -0.83% |
| 8/26/2025 7:44:57 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 8/25/2025 12:19:20 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.45% |
| 8/20/2025 11:22:19 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/20/2025 6:36:06 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/19/2025 7:37:21 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.49% | +0.24% |
| 8/19/2025 7:37:21 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.49% | +0.24% |
| 8/19/2025 7:37:21 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.17% | +2.58% |
| 8/15/2025 10:20:21 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -1.52% | -0.76% |
| 8/7/2025 6:34:17 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -3.69% | -5.53% |
| 8/5/2025 10:44:07 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.26% | -0.63% |
| 8/4/2025 10:45:50 AM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +1.84% | -2.75% |
| 7/22/2025 6:22:47 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.73% | -0.36% |
