Powell holds rates at 3.5-3.75%, citing solid growth but sticky inflation (PCE 3.5%) driven by Middle East oil spike and tariffs. Unemployment at 4.3%, labor market soft. Outlook highly uncertain; no preset path. His last presser as Chair—Warsh incoming. Near-term: oil up, yields up, Fed on hold.

explicit

implicit
RUT

explicit
Metals

implicit
Federal Reserve 9.4
Central Bank
Jerome Powell 9.5
Developments in Middle East contributing to high level of uncertainty with economic outlook
4/29/2026 9:59:50 PM
wti
Total PCE prices rose 3.5% over the 12 months ending in March, boosted by the significant rise in global oil prices that has resulted from the conflict in the Middle East. The conflict in the Middle East is explicitly cited as driving oil prices sharply higher, with near-term inflation effects.
4/29/2026 8:25:38 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -2.66% -4.00%
4/22/2026 1:15:04 AM short term sharp up 5 days later +4.26% +6.38%
4/21/2026 10:56:53 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +3.67% +5.50%
4/21/2026 10:53:54 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +3.67% +5.50%
4/21/2026 9:02:49 PM short term up 5 days later +3.67% +3.67%
3/23/2026 3:29:56 PM medium term up 20 days later +7.29% +7.29%
3/23/2026 3:17:02 PM short term up 6 days later +11.40% +11.40%
3/20/2026 5:36:27 PM medium term up 21 days later +12.42% +12.42%
3/20/2026 4:29:36 PM medium term up 21 days later +12.42% +12.42%
3/19/2026 12:11:26 AM short term sharp up 5 days later -8.14% -12.21%
3/18/2026 11:29:30 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -3.94% -5.91%
3/18/2026 9:30:00 PM short term up 5 days later -3.94% -3.94%
3/18/2026 8:57:23 PM short term up 5 days later -3.94% -3.94%
3/9/2026 4:35:07 PM short term up 6 days later +12.04% +12.04%
3/5/2026 5:39:50 PM short term up 5 days later -4.02% -4.02%
3/5/2026 4:38:35 PM short term up 5 days later -4.02% -4.02%
9/23/2025 11:29:28 PM short term up 5 days later -2.37% -2.37%
9/10/2025 9:59:15 AM short term up 5 days later +3.45% +3.45%
8/28/2025 10:35:20 PM short term down 5 days later -0.06% +0.06%
8/20/2025 10:17:30 PM short term up 5 days later -0.43% -0.43%
Show all wti results
yields
In the near term, higher energy prices will push up overall inflation. Higher inflation expectations and the Fed holding rates steady support upward pressure on yields in the short term.
4/22/2026 1:15:04 AM medium term cautious up 20 days later +3.65% +1.83%
4/21/2026 9:02:49 PM short term up 5 days later +0.98% +0.98%
4/1/2026 10:00:00 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.44% +0.22%
3/30/2026 9:16:07 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.41% +0.71%
3/18/2026 11:29:30 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.23% +0.12%
3/18/2026 8:57:23 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.23% -0.12%
3/5/2026 10:19:45 AM medium term down 20 days later +6.85% -6.85%
2/24/2026 5:28:52 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +3.80% -1.90%
1/31/2026 1:39:54 AM short term cautious down 7 days later -1.80% +0.90%
1/30/2026 4:06:49 PM short term up 7 days later -1.80% -1.80%
1/21/2026 10:03:18 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -1.81% -0.91%
1/8/2026 11:18:05 PM medium term down 20 days later +1.34% -1.34%
1/8/2026 5:00:02 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +1.34% -0.67%
12/23/2025 1:43:04 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.85% -0.42%
12/22/2025 6:49:39 PM short term cautious down 6 days later -1.27% +0.64%
12/19/2025 4:38:22 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later +0.43% -0.22%
12/17/2025 4:02:54 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.53% -0.27%
12/12/2025 11:35:37 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -0.41% +0.20%
12/11/2025 8:07:07 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -0.17% +0.08%
12/10/2025 11:45:00 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.19% -0.10%
12/10/2025 10:06:22 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.19% -0.10%
12/10/2025 9:59:59 PM short term down 5 days later +0.19% -0.19%
12/10/2025 9:58:25 PM short term down 5 days later +0.19% -0.19%
12/8/2025 4:22:22 PM short term down 6 days later -0.10% +0.10%
11/25/2025 1:10:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +2.45% -1.23%
11/25/2025 10:11:27 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +2.45% -1.23%
11/21/2025 4:18:30 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later +3.57% -1.78%
11/18/2025 10:02:58 AM short term down 5 days later -2.30% +2.30%
11/10/2025 7:15:17 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.58% +0.29%
11/10/2025 5:17:27 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.58% +0.29%
11/7/2025 10:50:35 PM medium term down 21 days later -0.34% +0.34%
11/4/2025 2:28:09 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.13% +0.57%
11/4/2025 2:28:09 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.13% +0.57%
11/3/2025 9:06:33 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -1.25% -0.62%
11/3/2025 7:15:45 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.51% -0.26%
11/3/2025 5:15:56 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -1.25% -0.62%
11/3/2025 3:04:15 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.25% +0.62%
10/30/2025 5:30:59 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.12% -0.06%
10/30/2025 1:30:10 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.37% -0.68%
10/30/2025 1:00:07 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.37% -0.68%
10/29/2025 11:38:10 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.10% +0.05%
10/29/2025 10:44:00 PM short term down 5 days later -0.10% +0.10%
10/29/2025 10:11:32 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.10% +0.05%
10/29/2025 10:00:33 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.98% -0.49%
10/29/2025 9:40:37 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.98% -0.49%
10/29/2025 9:34:46 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.10% +0.05%
10/29/2025 9:30:01 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.10% +0.05%
10/29/2025 9:19:58 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.98% +0.49%
10/29/2025 9:15:22 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.98% -0.49%
10/29/2025 9:15:00 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.98% +0.49%
10/29/2025 9:08:09 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.10% -0.05%
10/29/2025 9:05:01 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.98% -0.49%
10/29/2025 9:02:24 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.10% +0.05%
10/29/2025 8:57:22 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.10% +0.05%
10/16/2025 6:04:41 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.35% +0.67%
10/16/2025 4:52:44 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +2.15% -1.07%
10/16/2025 4:01:47 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +2.15% -1.07%
10/15/2025 9:05:27 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +4.55% -2.28%
10/15/2025 8:00:24 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +4.55% -2.28%
10/15/2025 5:49:02 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.33% +0.16%
10/15/2025 1:03:55 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -0.33% +0.49%
10/15/2025 12:59:00 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -0.33% +0.49%
10/14/2025 11:49:39 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +1.06% +0.53%
10/14/2025 10:05:13 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.48% +0.74%
10/14/2025 9:31:14 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +1.06% -0.53%
10/14/2025 9:15:03 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +1.06% +0.53%
10/14/2025 7:56:12 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +1.06% +0.53%
10/3/2025 6:45:12 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later -3.96% -1.98%
10/3/2025 5:48:20 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -3.96% +1.98%
10/3/2025 5:24:31 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -3.96% +1.98%
9/30/2025 10:13:15 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.36% -0.68%
9/30/2025 10:13:15 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.36% -0.68%
9/25/2025 9:08:46 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -5.04% +2.52%
9/25/2025 6:06:52 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -5.04% +2.52%
9/25/2025 4:23:00 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -5.04% +2.52%
9/25/2025 2:39:06 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.93% +0.97%
9/23/2025 8:17:55 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.14% +0.07%
9/23/2025 4:45:06 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.14% +0.07%
9/22/2025 10:12:27 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.51% -0.25%
9/22/2025 7:01:00 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.51% -0.25%
9/19/2025 7:19:43 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -0.05% +0.02%
9/19/2025 3:30:59 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -0.05% +0.02%
9/18/2025 2:13:16 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.19% -0.10%
9/18/2025 2:00:01 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.22% -0.11%
9/17/2025 11:14:58 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.61% +0.30%
9/17/2025 10:48:21 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.39% -0.19%
9/17/2025 10:45:01 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.39% -0.19%
9/17/2025 10:16:13 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.39% -0.19%
9/17/2025 10:12:22 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.61% -0.30%
9/17/2025 10:09:39 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.39% -0.19%
9/17/2025 10:03:46 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.39% -0.19%
9/17/2025 10:00:17 PM short term down 5 days later +0.39% -0.39%
9/16/2025 3:38:44 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.64% -0.82%
9/16/2025 3:30:44 PM short term down 5 days later +1.64% -1.64%
9/15/2025 4:08:28 PM short term down 6 days later +2.91% -2.91%
9/12/2025 2:49:43 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +2.70% -1.35%
9/10/2025 2:40:48 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.37% -0.19%
9/10/2025 9:59:15 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.37% -0.19%
9/4/2025 5:58:21 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +2.10% +1.05%
9/3/2025 5:47:14 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.69% +0.35%
9/3/2025 5:46:57 PM medium term sharp down 20 days later -0.69% +1.04%
9/3/2025 4:33:59 PM short term down 5 days later -2.44% +2.44%
9/3/2025 4:33:52 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.44% +1.22%
8/29/2025 4:29:23 PM short term cautious up 6 days later -5.40% -2.70%
8/29/2025 2:20:50 PM short term cautious down 6 days later -5.40% +2.70%
8/29/2025 2:11:04 PM short term cautious down 6 days later -5.40% +2.70%
8/29/2025 10:48:16 AM short term cautious down 6 days later -5.40% +2.70%
8/29/2025 10:10:30 AM short term down 6 days later -5.40% +5.40%
8/29/2025 2:27:21 AM short term cautious down 6 days later -5.40% +2.70%
8/27/2025 5:54:14 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -3.11% +1.56%
8/27/2025 4:26:23 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -3.11% +1.56%
8/26/2025 6:50:08 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -5.00% -2.50%
8/26/2025 8:42:05 AM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.92% -0.46%
8/25/2025 5:57:59 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -5.26% +2.63%
8/25/2025 8:38:14 AM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.45% -0.22%
8/22/2025 11:32:42 PM short term down 8 days later +0.05% -0.05%
8/22/2025 8:13:21 PM short term cautious down 8 days later +0.05% -0.02%
8/20/2025 4:24:10 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -1.66% -0.83%
8/14/2025 11:48:29 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.74% +0.37%
8/12/2025 11:45:00 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.92% -0.46%
8/12/2025 11:24:12 PM medium term sharp down 20 days later +0.92% -1.38%
8/12/2025 4:25:35 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.92% -0.46%
8/12/2025 7:46:47 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +2.43% -1.22%
8/7/2025 6:16:13 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.10% +0.55%
8/7/2025 5:34:00 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.82% +0.91%
8/5/2025 12:45:01 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.90% -0.45%
7/30/2025 11:06:39 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -1.47% -0.73%
7/30/2025 9:54:37 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -1.47% -0.73%
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