explicit
NDX
RUT

implicit
Metals
USD
JPMorgan 9.0
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Mike Feroli 9.0
3/5/2026 1:17:37 AM
wti
He identifies higher energy prices as a key new development and a tax on consumers, and expresses concern about energy price pass-through to inflation. This reasoning implies an expectation that energy prices (WTI) are a source of upward pressure.
yields
Inflation is kind of going in the wrong direction right now. Feroli explicitly states inflation is moving the wrong way (core PCE rising) and links Middle East tensions to concerns about energy price pass-through. This suggests upward pressure on yields as the Fed remains on pause and inflation concerns persist.
39 calls
+1
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
2/6/2026 5:06:02 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -3.57% +1.79%
12/11/2025 1:18:26 AM short term down 5 days later -1.03% +1.03%
12/10/2025 9:25:29 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.53% -0.27%
12/1/2025 2:17:57 PM medium term up 20 days later +2.03% +2.03%
11/21/2025 1:54:47 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.57% +3.57%
11/7/2025 6:12:18 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -0.34% +0.17%
11/4/2025 12:53:31 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -3.73% -1.86%
10/30/2025 1:40:41 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.12% +0.06%
10/29/2025 8:30:24 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.10% +0.05%
10/21/2025 2:15:04 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.11% -0.56%
10/16/2025 5:42:00 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +2.15% +1.07%
10/1/2025 3:11:20 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -3.30% +1.65%
9/30/2025 10:13:15 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -3.48% +1.74%
9/22/2025 5:25:48 PM medium term up 20 days later -1.67% -1.67%
9/17/2025 6:49:25 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.61% -0.30%
9/11/2025 11:57:02 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.66% +0.33%
9/11/2025 4:51:16 PM short term down 5 days later +0.37% -0.37%
9/10/2025 9:53:06 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.37% -0.19%
9/10/2025 6:33:02 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.37% -0.19%
8/28/2025 1:07:30 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.38% +0.19%
8/15/2025 9:10:00 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -1.52% +0.76%
8/12/2025 4:29:28 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.92% +0.46%
8/8/2025 2:04:22 AM short term cautious down 7 days later +1.59% -0.80%
8/4/2025 11:59:32 PM short term down 6 days later +1.84% -1.84%
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