The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has imposed a war tax on energy and petrochemicals, hitting poorer Asian nations hardest via demand destruction, depleted reserves, and food stress. Even if the Strait reopens, the structural shift toward building stockpiles and supply independence will keep inflation elevated globally. AI-driven chip demand from Asia remains strong, but helium shortages threaten production. The US dollar strength and rising rates compound fiscal strain on emerging markets.
implicit
implicit
implicit
explicit
implicit
helium cautious up
Bloomberg
7.0
Financial Media
Tracy Alloway 4.0
Financial Media
Tracy Alloway 4.0
Strait of Hormuz; Asia energy; food commodities
6/18/2026 9:52:37 PM
dxy
The US dollar is described as 'really strong right now' and the AI investment boom centered in the US/West supports continued dollar strength. Emerging market fiscal strain from needing to buy oil with FX further reinforces dollar demand.
metals
One of the theories I've seen for the falling gold price recently is that governments are selling or central banks are selling reserve assets in order to raise more foreign FX so that they can buy more oil at the higher prices.
| 6/11/2026 10:44:04 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.09% | -0.09% |
| 6/11/2026 7:18:14 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.09% | -0.09% |
| 6/3/2026 10:35:42 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -7.61% | +3.80% |
| 5/21/2026 8:16:00 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.89% | +0.45% |
| 5/14/2026 8:54:29 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | -2.34% | -2.34% |
| 4/16/2026 5:48:30 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -3.17% | -3.17% |
| 3/21/2026 1:47:39 AM | long term down | 60 days later | +4.32% | -4.32% |
| 3/19/2026 10:26:26 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +2.41% | -2.41% |
| 3/19/2026 8:12:15 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +2.41% | -3.62% |
| 3/4/2026 2:20:59 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +4.23% | -4.23% |
| 2/23/2026 10:19:28 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.23% | +3.23% |
| 2/20/2026 7:33:41 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +1.77% | -1.77% |
| 2/19/2026 11:46:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.46% | +2.46% |
| 2/12/2026 8:51:59 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.56% | +2.56% |
| 2/5/2026 9:56:02 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +4.73% | -4.73% |
| 2/3/2026 11:03:27 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +2.40% | +3.60% |
| 2/2/2026 8:50:45 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +1.02% | -1.52% |
| 2/2/2026 10:10:47 AM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +1.02% | -1.52% |
| 1/30/2026 2:30:29 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +6.99% | -6.99% |
| 1/29/2026 9:23:52 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.93% | +2.93% |
| 1/29/2026 9:18:07 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.93% | +4.40% |
| 1/28/2026 1:08:47 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -16.50% | -24.75% |
| 1/27/2026 5:40:35 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -21.17% | +10.58% |
| 1/26/2026 2:05:23 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -18.04% | +9.02% |
| 1/26/2026 10:56:46 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -18.04% | +9.02% |
| 1/26/2026 10:10:52 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -18.04% | -27.06% |
| 1/23/2026 10:16:13 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -16.21% | -16.21% |
| 1/21/2026 3:54:53 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +9.15% | +13.73% |
| 1/19/2026 10:27:54 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +9.93% | +14.89% |
| 1/15/2026 8:01:10 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.70% | +4.70% |
| 1/14/2026 9:49:21 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.92% | +4.38% |
| 1/14/2026 6:48:56 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +1.48% | +1.48% |
| 1/10/2026 2:50:05 AM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -2.27% | -1.14% |
| 12/24/2025 10:09:01 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -7.53% | -11.30% |
| 12/24/2025 8:43:44 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -7.53% | -7.53% |
| 12/24/2025 7:08:10 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -7.53% | -11.30% |
| 12/23/2025 7:24:06 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.80% | -2.71% |
| 12/22/2025 11:02:38 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +7.73% | -3.87% |
| 12/22/2025 9:48:16 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.16% | -2.16% |
| 12/19/2025 9:48:49 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.39% | +0.39% |
| 12/1/2025 1:30:08 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +10.54% | +10.54% |
| 11/24/2025 10:10:50 AM | long term up | 62 days later | +50.41% | +50.41% |
| 11/11/2025 3:01:41 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.54% | -6.81% |
| 11/11/2025 2:03:07 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.54% | -4.54% |
| 11/11/2025 10:07:03 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.54% | -6.81% |
| 11/10/2025 2:14:07 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.26% | -2.26% |
| 10/22/2025 11:01:29 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -3.73% | +5.60% |
| 10/22/2025 10:20:48 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -3.73% | +5.60% |
| 10/21/2025 9:16:26 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.09% | +1.55% |
| 10/20/2025 6:00:17 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.71% | -2.71% |
| 10/8/2025 9:39:08 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +4.31% | -2.16% |
| 10/8/2025 1:58:52 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.31% | +6.47% |
| 10/7/2025 5:54:39 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.72% | +4.07% |
| 10/2/2025 12:01:12 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.07% | +4.07% |
| 10/1/2025 10:25:13 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.05% | +4.58% |
| 10/1/2025 3:37:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.05% | +3.05% |
| 10/1/2025 8:12:58 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.05% | +4.58% |
| 9/29/2025 10:23:48 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +13.19% | +19.78% |
| 9/24/2025 12:53:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.86% | +4.29% |
| 9/19/2025 10:47:12 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +3.81% | +3.81% |
| 9/8/2025 11:19:17 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +2.35% | +3.53% |
| 9/5/2025 10:16:54 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +1.91% | +1.91% |
| 9/2/2025 8:43:37 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.32% | +1.98% |
| 8/18/2025 11:31:36 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +9.56% | +14.34% |
| 8/18/2025 11:10:24 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.94% | -1.94% |
| 8/14/2025 11:46:57 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.09% | -0.09% |
| 8/11/2025 9:25:03 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.16% | -0.16% |
| 8/11/2025 10:07:32 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.16% | +0.08% |
| 8/8/2025 8:23:48 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.25% | -0.38% |
ndx
AI spending is described as 'existential' and swamping traditional macro signals, with massive investment flowing to Korea and Taiwan for chips. However, helium shortages and energy costs threaten semiconductor production, creating upside caution.
rut
Small caps are more exposed to domestic demand and higher input costs. The strong dollar, rising rates, and demand destruction in Asia (which affects global trade) create headwinds for smaller US companies.
wti
The deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is expected to send oil prices lower in the near term, but the structural shifts (depleted reserves, need to rebuild stockpiles, demand destruction in Asia) suggest ongoing volatility rather than a clear sustained direction.
yields
Persistent inflation from energy, petrochemicals, and the global push to build stockpiles is described as 'de facto inflationary.' Central banks across Asia are hiking, and the BOJ is under pressure, suggesting upward pressure on yields globally.
