implicit
implicit
inferred
inferred
implicit
Federal Reserve
9.4
Central Bank
Kevin Warsh 7.0
Central Bank
Kevin Warsh 7.0
5/22/2026 9:03:36 PM
dxy
Trump's tariff policy ('tariff is my favorite word') and massive capital inflows ($18 trillion investment) suggest a stronger dollar as foreign capital seeks US assets and trade policy supports USD.
| 1/30/2026 6:01:07 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.81% | -0.81% |
| 1/30/2026 4:06:49 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.81% | -0.81% |
| 1/30/2026 11:22:22 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.81% | -0.81% |
| 1/12/2026 10:19:49 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.27% | -0.13% |
| 9/19/2025 7:19:43 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.76% | -0.88% |
| 9/16/2025 3:38:44 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.47% | -0.24% |
| 8/25/2025 10:46:05 AM | long term cautious down | 62 days later | +0.56% | -0.28% |
| 8/25/2025 8:38:14 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.95% | +0.47% |
| 8/12/2025 4:25:35 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.57% | -0.29% |
| 7/30/2025 11:06:39 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.81% | -0.90% |
metals
No direct mention of metals. Strong dollar and growth optimism typically pressure gold, while industrial metals could benefit from infrastructure/buildout narrative.
| 2/7/2026 5:00:41 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +5.77% | +5.77% |
| 1/30/2026 6:01:07 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | +6.99% | -10.49% |
| 1/30/2026 4:46:51 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | +6.99% | -10.49% |
| 1/30/2026 11:22:22 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +6.99% | -3.50% |
| 9/30/2025 10:13:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.67% | +4.01% |
| 9/24/2025 10:54:59 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.86% | +4.29% |
| 9/23/2025 11:29:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.06% | +4.06% |
| 9/23/2025 4:45:06 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.06% | +6.09% |
| 9/16/2025 3:38:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.45% | +5.18% |
| 8/29/2025 11:06:25 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +2.26% | +3.38% |
| 8/20/2025 10:17:30 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.30% | +1.30% |
ndx
Trump states stock market is up 600 points and S&P set a new record, saying 'I think with you it's only going to go up.' Warsh expresses confidence in unmatched prosperity, implying bullish equity outlook.
| 1/30/2026 11:22:22 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -1.83% | +1.83% |
| 11/12/2025 7:56:09 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +2.45% | +1.23% |
| 11/10/2025 11:28:21 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -2.87% | +1.44% |
| 11/4/2025 10:02:59 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.03% | +0.02% |
| 9/24/2025 7:15:12 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.16% | -0.58% |
| 9/10/2025 2:40:48 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.17% | +1.17% |
| 8/28/2025 11:22:55 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -+0.00% | -+0.00% |
| 8/22/2025 11:32:42 PM | short term sharp up | 8 days later | -0.83% | -1.25% |
| 8/21/2025 1:01:24 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.29% | +0.14% |
rut
Trump emphasizes massive domestic investment ($18 trillion), factory construction, and job creation, which disproportionately benefits small-cap and domestic-focused Russell 2000 companies.
wti
No direct mention of oil. Trump's focus on domestic production and energy independence, combined with tariff policy, suggests mixed signals for oil prices - increased domestic supply vs potential trade disruptions.
| 5/12/2026 11:55:09 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +7.56% | +11.34% |
| 5/12/2026 8:03:12 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +7.56% | +11.34% |
| 5/7/2026 8:36:03 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +5.87% | -2.93% |
| 5/7/2026 8:22:54 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +5.87% | -2.93% |
| 4/30/2026 1:27:38 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -6.73% | -3.36% |
| 4/29/2026 9:59:50 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.66% | -4.00% |
| 4/29/2026 8:25:38 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.66% | -4.00% |
| 4/22/2026 1:15:04 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.26% | +6.38% |
| 3/23/2026 3:29:56 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +7.29% | +7.29% |
| 3/23/2026 3:17:02 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +11.40% | +11.40% |
| 3/20/2026 5:36:27 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +12.42% | +12.42% |
| 3/20/2026 4:29:36 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +12.42% | +12.42% |
| 3/19/2026 12:11:26 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -8.14% | -12.21% |
| 3/18/2026 11:29:30 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.94% | -5.91% |
| 3/18/2026 9:30:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -3.94% | -3.94% |
| 3/18/2026 8:57:23 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -3.94% | -3.94% |
| 3/9/2026 4:35:07 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +12.04% | +12.04% |
| 3/5/2026 5:39:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.02% | -4.02% |
| 3/5/2026 4:38:35 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -4.02% | -4.02% |
| 9/23/2025 11:29:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.37% | -2.37% |
| 9/10/2025 9:59:15 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.45% | +3.45% |
| 8/28/2025 10:35:20 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.06% | +0.06% |
| 8/20/2025 10:17:30 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.43% | -0.43% |
yields
Trump wants to 'let it boom' with growth while stopping inflation. Warsh emphasizes price stability and independence. The combination of strong growth expectations and inflation vigilance suggests gradual upward pressure on yields.
| 5/6/2026 9:31:19 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.62% | +0.81% |
| 4/29/2026 9:59:50 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.30% |
| 4/22/2026 1:15:04 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +3.65% | +1.83% |
| 4/21/2026 9:02:49 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.98% | +0.98% |
| 4/1/2026 10:00:00 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.44% | +0.22% |
| 3/30/2026 9:16:07 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.41% | +0.71% |
| 3/18/2026 11:29:30 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.23% | +0.12% |
| 3/18/2026 8:57:23 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.23% | -0.12% |
| 3/5/2026 10:19:45 AM | medium term down | 20 days later | +6.85% | -6.85% |
| 2/24/2026 5:28:52 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +3.80% | -1.90% |
| 1/31/2026 1:39:54 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -1.80% | +0.90% |
| 1/30/2026 4:06:49 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.80% | -1.80% |
| 1/21/2026 10:03:18 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.81% | -0.91% |
| 1/8/2026 11:18:05 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +1.34% | -1.34% |
| 1/8/2026 5:00:02 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.34% | -0.67% |
| 12/23/2025 1:43:04 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.85% | -0.42% |
| 12/22/2025 6:49:39 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -1.27% | +0.64% |
| 12/19/2025 4:38:22 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +0.43% | -0.22% |
| 12/17/2025 4:02:54 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.53% | -0.27% |
| 12/12/2025 11:35:37 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -0.41% | +0.20% |
| 12/11/2025 8:07:07 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -0.17% | +0.08% |
| 12/10/2025 11:45:00 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.19% | -0.10% |
| 12/10/2025 10:06:22 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.19% | -0.10% |
| 12/10/2025 9:59:59 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.19% | -0.19% |
| 12/10/2025 9:58:25 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.19% | -0.19% |
| 12/8/2025 4:22:22 PM | short term down | 6 days later | -0.10% | +0.10% |
| 11/25/2025 1:10:38 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.45% | -1.23% |
| 11/25/2025 10:11:27 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.45% | -1.23% |
| 11/21/2025 4:18:30 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +3.57% | -1.78% |
| 11/18/2025 10:02:58 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.30% | +2.30% |
| 11/10/2025 7:15:17 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.58% | +0.29% |
| 11/10/2025 5:17:27 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.58% | +0.29% |
| 11/7/2025 10:50:35 PM | medium term down | 21 days later | -0.34% | +0.34% |
| 11/4/2025 2:28:09 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.13% | +0.57% |
| 11/4/2025 2:28:09 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.13% | +0.57% |
| 11/3/2025 9:06:33 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.25% | -0.62% |
| 11/3/2025 7:15:45 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.26% |
| 11/3/2025 5:15:56 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.25% | -0.62% |
| 11/3/2025 3:04:15 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.25% | +0.62% |
| 10/30/2025 5:30:59 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.12% | -0.06% |
| 10/30/2025 1:30:10 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.37% | -0.68% |
| 10/30/2025 1:00:07 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.37% | -0.68% |
| 10/29/2025 11:38:10 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 10:44:00 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.10% |
| 10/29/2025 10:11:32 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 10:00:33 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.98% | -0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:40:37 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.98% | -0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:34:46 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 9:30:01 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 9:19:58 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.98% | +0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:15:22 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.98% | -0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:15:00 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.98% | +0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:08:09 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.10% | -0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 9:05:01 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.98% | -0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:02:24 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 8:57:22 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/16/2025 6:04:41 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.35% | +0.67% |
| 10/16/2025 4:52:44 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +2.15% | -1.07% |
| 10/16/2025 4:01:47 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +2.15% | -1.07% |
| 10/15/2025 9:05:27 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +4.55% | -2.28% |
| 10/15/2025 8:00:24 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +4.55% | -2.28% |
| 10/15/2025 5:49:02 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.33% | +0.16% |
| 10/15/2025 1:03:55 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -0.33% | +0.49% |
| 10/15/2025 12:59:00 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -0.33% | +0.49% |
| 10/14/2025 11:49:39 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.06% | +0.53% |
| 10/14/2025 10:05:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.48% | +0.74% |
| 10/14/2025 9:31:14 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.06% | -0.53% |
| 10/14/2025 9:15:03 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.06% | +0.53% |
| 10/14/2025 7:56:12 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.06% | +0.53% |
| 10/3/2025 6:45:12 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -3.96% | -1.98% |
| 10/3/2025 5:48:20 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -3.96% | +1.98% |
| 10/3/2025 5:24:31 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -3.96% | +1.98% |
| 9/30/2025 10:13:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -0.68% |
| 9/30/2025 10:13:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -0.68% |
| 9/25/2025 9:08:46 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.04% | +2.52% |
| 9/25/2025 6:06:52 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.04% | +2.52% |
| 9/25/2025 4:23:00 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.04% | +2.52% |
| 9/25/2025 2:39:06 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.93% | +0.97% |
| 9/23/2025 8:17:55 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 9/23/2025 4:45:06 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 9/22/2025 10:12:27 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/22/2025 7:01:00 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/19/2025 7:19:43 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.05% | +0.02% |
| 9/19/2025 3:30:59 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.05% | +0.02% |
| 9/18/2025 2:13:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.19% | -0.10% |
| 9/18/2025 2:00:01 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.22% | -0.11% |
| 9/17/2025 11:14:58 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.61% | +0.30% |
| 9/17/2025 10:48:21 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/17/2025 10:45:01 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/17/2025 10:16:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/17/2025 10:12:22 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.61% | -0.30% |
| 9/17/2025 10:09:39 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/17/2025 10:03:46 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/17/2025 10:00:17 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.39% |
| 9/16/2025 3:38:44 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.64% | -0.82% |
| 9/16/2025 3:30:44 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.64% | -1.64% |
| 9/15/2025 4:08:28 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +2.91% | -2.91% |
| 9/12/2025 2:49:43 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +2.70% | -1.35% |
| 9/10/2025 2:40:48 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/10/2025 9:59:15 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/4/2025 5:58:21 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +2.10% | +1.05% |
| 9/3/2025 5:47:14 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.69% | +0.35% |
| 9/3/2025 5:46:57 PM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | -0.69% | +1.04% |
| 9/3/2025 4:33:59 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.44% | +2.44% |
| 9/3/2025 4:33:52 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.44% | +1.22% |
| 8/29/2025 4:29:23 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -5.40% | -2.70% |
| 8/29/2025 2:20:50 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -5.40% | +2.70% |
| 8/29/2025 2:11:04 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -5.40% | +2.70% |
| 8/29/2025 10:48:16 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -5.40% | +2.70% |
| 8/29/2025 10:10:30 AM | short term down | 6 days later | -5.40% | +5.40% |
| 8/29/2025 2:27:21 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -5.40% | +2.70% |
| 8/27/2025 5:54:14 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.11% | +1.56% |
| 8/27/2025 4:26:23 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.11% | +1.56% |
| 8/26/2025 6:50:08 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -5.00% | -2.50% |
| 8/26/2025 8:42:05 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 8/25/2025 5:57:59 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.26% | +2.63% |
| 8/25/2025 8:38:14 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/22/2025 11:32:42 PM | short term down | 8 days later | +0.05% | -0.05% |
| 8/22/2025 8:13:21 PM | short term cautious down | 8 days later | +0.05% | -0.02% |
| 8/20/2025 4:24:10 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.66% | -0.83% |
| 8/14/2025 11:48:29 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.74% | +0.37% |
| 8/12/2025 11:45:00 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 8/12/2025 11:24:12 PM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | +0.92% | -1.38% |
| 8/12/2025 4:25:35 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 8/12/2025 7:46:47 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.43% | -1.22% |
| 8/7/2025 6:16:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.10% | +0.55% |
| 8/7/2025 5:34:00 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.82% | +0.91% |
| 8/5/2025 12:45:01 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.90% | -0.45% |
| 7/30/2025 11:06:39 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.47% | -0.73% |
| 7/30/2025 9:54:37 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.47% | -0.73% |
