Risk for EM bonds has shifted from oil prices to Fed policy. Sensitivity of EM yields to Treasury yields has increased. A hawkish signal from Kevin Warsh could weigh on EM local currency bonds. However, some argue a Fed hike due to robust growth could be positive for EM, and prior EM rate hikes provide defense.
explicit
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
implicit
Bloomberg
7.0
Financial Media
Marcus Wong 4.0
Financial Media
Marcus Wong 4.0
6/29/2026 7:28:15 AM
dxy
Hawkish Fed signal would lift the dollar, weighing on EM.
yields
If Kevin Warsh sends a more hawkish signal, it would lift US yields and the dollar, weighing on EM local currency bonds.
| 6/16/2026 9:27:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.27% | +0.13% |
| 6/16/2026 2:20:00 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.27% | +0.27% |
| 6/15/2026 10:13:45 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +0.52% | +0.52% |
| 6/15/2026 8:40:10 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.52% | -0.52% |
| 6/15/2026 2:19:28 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +0.52% | +0.26% |
| 6/15/2026 9:57:41 AM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.52% | -0.52% |
| 6/15/2026 6:06:57 AM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.52% | -0.52% |
| 6/12/2026 11:32:25 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -0.40% | -0.20% |
| 6/12/2026 11:26:03 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -0.40% | -0.20% |
| 6/11/2026 10:44:04 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.53% | -0.53% |
| 6/10/2026 10:48:17 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.78% | -0.78% |
| 6/10/2026 10:15:09 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.78% | -0.39% |
| 6/9/2026 11:22:48 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.61% | +1.61% |
| 6/9/2026 6:11:16 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.61% | -0.80% |
| 6/9/2026 5:45:24 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.61% | -1.61% |
| 6/9/2026 9:54:49 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.61% | -1.61% |
| 6/9/2026 12:30:31 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.61% | -1.61% |
| 6/8/2026 9:51:40 AM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.30% | -1.30% |
| 6/6/2026 12:20:35 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.82% | -1.82% |
| 6/5/2026 8:54:13 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.82% | -1.82% |
| 6/5/2026 4:23:51 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.82% | -1.82% |
| 6/5/2026 4:12:24 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.82% | -1.82% |
| 6/3/2026 11:19:38 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.14% | +1.14% |
| 6/3/2026 2:30:02 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.14% | +1.14% |
| 6/3/2026 8:32:54 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.14% | +0.57% |
| 6/2/2026 12:01:38 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.36% | +1.36% |
| 6/1/2026 5:46:26 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +2.18% | +2.18% |
| 6/1/2026 10:39:53 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | -0.09% | -0.09% |
| 5/31/2026 4:41:52 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +1.72% | +1.72% |
| 5/30/2026 3:00:04 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | -0.54% | -0.54% |
| 5/30/2026 2:06:01 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +1.72% | +1.72% |
| 5/29/2026 6:56:30 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | -0.54% | -0.54% |
| 5/29/2026 6:24:16 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +1.72% | +1.72% |
| 5/28/2026 10:34:44 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.85% | +0.85% |
| 5/26/2026 8:31:32 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.18% | -0.59% |
| 5/26/2026 6:57:45 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -1.18% | -1.18% |
| 5/26/2026 6:15:06 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.13% | -0.13% |
| 5/26/2026 10:05:40 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.13% | -0.13% |
| 5/25/2026 10:15:34 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | -0.53% | -0.53% |
| 5/23/2026 3:12:45 AM | medium term up | 22 days later | -1.95% | -1.95% |
| 5/22/2026 11:48:41 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -2.30% | -1.15% |
| 5/22/2026 9:17:41 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -2.30% | +3.46% |
| 5/22/2026 4:48:45 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.30% | -2.30% |
| 5/22/2026 10:35:21 AM | medium term up | 22 days later | -1.95% | -1.95% |
| 5/22/2026 10:35:21 AM | medium term up | 22 days later | -1.95% | -1.95% |
| 5/21/2026 9:08:20 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.69% | -1.69% |
| 5/20/2026 12:04:34 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.03% | -3.04% |
| 5/20/2026 10:29:52 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.03% | -3.04% |
| 5/20/2026 9:05:17 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.03% | -2.03% |
| 5/19/2026 11:25:08 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.31% | -0.46% |
| 5/19/2026 8:14:25 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.31% | -0.31% |
| 5/19/2026 5:57:57 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.31% | -0.46% |
| 5/19/2026 10:44:11 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.31% | -0.31% |
| 5/19/2026 10:44:11 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.31% | -0.31% |
| 5/19/2026 10:30:32 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.31% | -0.46% |
| 5/19/2026 8:42:26 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | -0.96% | -0.96% |
| 5/19/2026 8:29:51 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.31% | -0.31% |
| 5/18/2026 7:27:09 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.34% | -2.34% |
| 5/18/2026 4:03:29 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -2.34% | +3.50% |
| 5/18/2026 2:18:22 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.34% | -2.34% |
| 5/18/2026 11:32:06 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | -2.46% | -2.46% |
| 5/18/2026 11:24:21 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.34% | -2.34% |
| 5/18/2026 11:10:00 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.34% | -2.34% |
| 5/18/2026 8:51:01 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.34% | -3.50% |
| 5/18/2026 8:47:22 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.34% | -2.34% |
| 5/18/2026 8:47:22 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.34% | -3.50% |
| 5/18/2026 8:47:22 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.34% | -3.50% |
| 5/16/2026 12:12:07 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -1.41% | -2.11% |
| 5/15/2026 11:52:13 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | -1.41% | +2.11% |
| 5/15/2026 6:52:37 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -1.41% | -2.11% |
| 5/15/2026 5:30:11 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.41% | -1.41% |
| 5/15/2026 4:01:38 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -1.41% | -0.70% |
| 5/15/2026 2:16:51 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.41% | -1.41% |
| 5/15/2026 10:06:02 AM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.41% | -1.41% |
| 5/15/2026 8:54:12 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -1.41% | -2.11% |
| 5/15/2026 7:54:32 AM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.41% | -1.41% |
| 5/14/2026 10:22:14 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | -2.57% | -2.57% |
| 5/14/2026 8:48:58 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.50% |
| 5/13/2026 2:30:46 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.67% | +0.67% |
| 5/13/2026 2:30:46 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.62% | +4.62% |
| 5/13/2026 10:40:42 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.67% | +0.67% |
| 5/13/2026 7:39:00 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.62% | +4.62% |
| 5/12/2026 9:34:37 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.17% | +3.17% |
| 5/12/2026 2:49:50 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.17% | +3.17% |
| 5/11/2026 3:42:16 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/11/2026 3:12:21 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.27% | +0.27% |
| 5/11/2026 2:37:40 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/11/2026 10:33:48 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/11/2026 10:21:17 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +3.59% | +3.59% |
| 5/8/2026 10:34:17 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | +1.47% | +1.47% |
| 5/8/2026 8:52:09 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +4.83% | +4.83% |
| 5/7/2026 11:14:07 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.09% | +2.09% |
| 5/5/2026 10:43:29 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.24% | +1.24% |
| 5/5/2026 9:59:09 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.24% | +1.86% |
| 5/5/2026 6:19:06 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.24% | +1.86% |
| 5/1/2026 4:44:32 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.81% | -0.81% |
| 4/30/2026 2:14:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.50% |
| 4/30/2026 8:02:59 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.50% |
| 4/22/2026 12:50:22 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.72% | +0.72% |
| 4/21/2026 4:08:13 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.98% | +0.98% |
| 4/18/2026 12:01:38 AM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | +2.02% | -3.04% |
| 4/17/2026 12:08:37 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | +3.76% | +1.88% |
| 4/15/2026 12:05:32 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.39% | +0.39% |
| 4/14/2026 10:13:21 AM | long term up | 61 days later | +4.37% | +4.37% |
| 4/13/2026 7:00:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.14% | -0.14% |
| 4/9/2026 11:01:58 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.81% | -0.81% |
| 4/3/2026 12:36:51 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.88% | +0.88% |
| 4/2/2026 4:45:47 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.51% | -0.51% |
| 4/2/2026 10:09:57 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.51% | -0.77% |
| 4/1/2026 11:17:06 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.70% | -0.70% |
| 4/1/2026 10:17:51 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.70% | -0.70% |
| 3/31/2026 10:09:41 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.37% | +0.37% |
| 3/30/2026 2:09:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +0.56% | +0.56% |
| 3/30/2026 10:29:13 AM | short term down | 6 days later | +0.56% | -0.56% |
| 3/30/2026 8:40:46 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.56% | -0.28% |
| 3/27/2026 11:59:23 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.24% |
| 3/27/2026 10:05:53 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | -2.12% | -2.12% |
| 3/27/2026 2:00:21 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.16% | -0.16% |
| 3/25/2026 10:19:55 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | -3.03% | -3.03% |
| 3/23/2026 7:21:12 AM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.14% | -1.14% |
| 3/20/2026 2:30:40 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.18% | +0.18% |
| 3/13/2026 9:58:26 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.70% | +2.70% |
| 3/13/2026 6:57:37 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +2.70% | -2.70% |
| 3/13/2026 4:40:53 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +2.73% | -1.36% |
| 3/13/2026 9:59:21 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +2.70% | +4.05% |
| 3/13/2026 6:44:24 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.70% | +2.70% |
| 3/11/2026 10:02:21 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.66% | +1.66% |
| 3/9/2026 2:08:40 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +2.03% | +2.03% |
| 3/9/2026 10:03:43 AM | short term up | 6 days later | +2.03% | +2.03% |
| 3/6/2026 3:54:59 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +3.68% | -3.68% |
| 3/6/2026 10:25:51 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.68% | +3.68% |
| 3/3/2026 9:47:37 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.37% | +1.37% |
| 3/3/2026 10:53:30 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.37% | +1.37% |
| 2/28/2026 1:02:34 AM | medium term sharp down | 21 days later | +7.07% | -10.60% |
| 2/20/2026 5:23:54 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.47% | +0.47% |
| 2/19/2026 11:46:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.93% | -0.93% |
| 2/19/2026 2:30:40 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.93% | -0.93% |
| 2/19/2026 8:04:55 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +4.58% | +4.58% |
| 2/18/2026 11:17:07 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +3.26% | +1.63% |
| 2/18/2026 9:44:49 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +3.26% | +1.63% |
| 2/13/2026 9:18:42 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -0.67% | -0.33% |
| 2/6/2026 11:41:39 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -3.38% | -3.38% |
| 2/2/2026 10:10:47 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | -5.73% | -5.73% |
| 1/30/2026 10:19:09 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.80% | -1.80% |
| 1/28/2026 1:08:47 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.11% | +1.11% |
| 1/21/2026 3:54:53 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +2.00% | +2.00% |
| 1/20/2026 6:00:07 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -0.94% |
| 1/20/2026 3:56:13 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -2.49% | -3.74% |
| 1/20/2026 5:25:20 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.94% | -1.41% |
| 1/12/2026 3:24:56 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +1.44% | +1.44% |
| 1/12/2026 2:06:59 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +1.44% | +1.44% |
| 1/12/2026 2:06:59 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +1.44% | +0.72% |
| 12/24/2025 2:57:09 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.58% | +0.29% |
| 12/19/2025 10:45:28 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | +0.43% | +0.43% |
| 12/19/2025 8:37:44 AM | medium term up | 21 days later | +0.43% | +0.43% |
| 12/18/2025 11:18:27 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.36% | +0.36% |
| 12/18/2025 1:08:16 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +0.77% | +0.77% |
| 12/17/2025 7:04:39 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.53% | +0.27% |
| 12/16/2025 11:40:23 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.43% | -0.43% |
| 12/11/2025 10:26:28 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.03% | +1.03% |
| 12/11/2025 10:09:14 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.03% | -1.03% |
| 12/9/2025 10:44:30 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.43% | +0.65% |
| 12/9/2025 6:08:48 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -0.82% | -1.22% |
| 12/8/2025 7:49:51 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.67% | -0.84% |
| 12/4/2025 5:57:16 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.60% | -0.60% |
| 12/1/2025 5:28:31 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +2.10% | -1.05% |
| 11/28/2025 12:53:14 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +1.86% | +0.93% |
| 11/12/2025 2:18:30 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.27% | -0.13% |
| 11/12/2025 10:01:21 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +0.27% | -0.40% |
| 11/12/2025 7:56:58 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +0.27% | -0.40% |
| 11/11/2025 3:01:41 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.67% | -0.84% |
| 11/6/2025 2:13:19 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.68% | +0.68% |
| 11/4/2025 12:00:38 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.13% | -0.57% |
| 10/21/2025 10:46:09 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +4.22% | +4.22% |
| 10/17/2025 10:27:37 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.25% | +0.25% |
| 10/8/2025 9:34:41 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -3.04% | +1.52% |
| 10/2/2025 3:40:39 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.12% |
| 10/2/2025 12:44:17 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.24% | -0.24% |
| 10/1/2025 10:52:02 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.95% | -0.48% |
| 9/30/2025 7:44:54 AM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -1.36% |
| 9/26/2025 2:08:35 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -3.24% | -3.24% |
| 9/26/2025 7:55:36 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.51% | +0.25% |
| 9/26/2025 1:25:54 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.51% | +0.25% |
| 9/19/2025 10:47:12 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -0.05% | -0.05% |
| 9/19/2025 9:19:21 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.22% | -1.11% |
| 9/17/2025 10:11:21 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/12/2025 7:15:05 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +2.70% | -2.70% |
| 9/10/2025 8:24:03 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/5/2025 10:16:54 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 9/5/2025 8:47:44 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 9/5/2025 8:47:44 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.30% |
| 9/5/2025 7:27:44 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.30% | +0.15% |
| 8/29/2025 8:13:51 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.13% | +1.57% |
| 8/29/2025 8:13:51 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -3.13% | -4.70% |
| 8/28/2025 1:17:57 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.38% | -0.19% |
| 8/28/2025 7:11:09 AM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -2.91% | -4.36% |
| 8/27/2025 10:15:27 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/27/2025 6:53:39 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -3.11% | -1.56% |
| 8/26/2025 7:44:57 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 8/25/2025 12:19:20 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.45% |
| 8/20/2025 6:36:06 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.66% | +0.83% |
| 8/19/2025 7:37:21 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.49% | +0.24% |
| 8/19/2025 7:37:21 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.49% | +0.24% |
| 8/19/2025 7:37:21 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.17% | +2.58% |
| 8/15/2025 10:20:21 AM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -1.52% | -0.76% |
| 8/5/2025 10:44:07 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.26% | -0.63% |
| 8/4/2025 10:45:50 AM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +1.84% | -2.75% |
| 7/22/2025 6:22:47 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.73% | -0.36% |
