Trump claims US military strikes on Iran were highly successful, but the ceasefire is on life support (1% chance of survival). He expects oil/gasoline to drop sharply once resolved, and notes stock market resilience despite expectations of a 20-25% decline. Highlights drug pricing savings ($529-600B over 10 years) and strong US-China trade relations. Geopolitical uncertainty remains high, with Taiwan and Iran as key flashpoints.
Yields
NDX
Oil
Metals
USD
The Trump Organization, Inc 3.0
Real Estate
Donald Trump 7.0
5/11/2026 8:01:30 PM
dxy
No direct mention of the dollar. Trade relations with China and oil dynamics could have mixed effects, but no clear directional signal.
metals
No mention of gold, silver, or other metals. Geopolitical tensions could support safe havens, but not explicitly discussed.
ndx
Trump says the stock market is higher than when the war started, implying resilience, but he expected a 20-25% drop, suggesting uncertainty. No clear bullish or bearish signal for tech specifically.
rut
No direct mention of small caps. General market commentary suggests stability but no specific catalyst for RUT.
wti
As soon as this is over with Iran, as soon as it's over, you're going to see gasoline and oil drop like a rock... today it's at less than 100... when this ends, you're gonna see a drop like a rock.
70 calls
-2
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
5/6/2026 12:44:41 AM short term cautious up 5 days later +7.77% +3.89%
5/5/2026 8:39:48 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +3.14% -1.57%
5/4/2026 6:17:18 PM short term cautious down 6 days later -4.11% +2.05%
5/1/2026 8:16:28 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -7.85% +3.92%
5/1/2026 1:06:32 PM short term up 7 days later -7.85% -7.85%
5/1/2026 8:36:16 AM short term sharp up 7 days later -7.85% -11.77%
4/29/2026 1:40:27 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -2.66% -4.00%
4/24/2026 5:23:35 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later +12.75% +6.38%
4/24/2026 2:19:58 PM short term cautious up 7 days later +10.43% +5.21%
4/23/2026 11:57:20 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +13.22% +6.61%
4/23/2026 11:52:58 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +13.22% +6.61%
4/21/2026 4:37:21 PM short term up 5 days later +3.67% +3.67%
4/20/2026 9:01:16 PM medium term down 20 days later +6.45% -6.45%
4/17/2026 2:08:13 PM short term sharp down 7 days later +7.54% -11.32%
4/17/2026 11:37:01 AM short term cautious down 7 days later +7.54% -3.77%
4/17/2026 8:31:26 AM short term cautious down 7 days later +7.54% -3.77%
4/16/2026 10:53:39 PM short term sharp down 5 days later +10.86% -16.30%
4/16/2026 10:21:15 PM short term sharp down 5 days later +10.86% -16.30%
4/13/2026 11:02:21 PM short term cautious up 6 days later -1.83% -0.91%
4/13/2026 9:46:23 AM short term sharp up 6 days later -1.83% -2.74%
4/8/2026 8:00:34 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -6.73% +3.37%
4/8/2026 2:17:04 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -6.73% +10.10%
4/2/2026 9:36:47 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -15.36% -23.04%
4/2/2026 6:55:00 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -15.36% +7.68%
4/1/2026 3:20:56 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.26% -0.63%
3/26/2026 6:00:03 PM short term up 5 days later +0.48% +0.48%
3/23/2026 7:47:20 PM short term sharp down 6 days later +11.40% -17.10%
3/18/2026 8:32:27 AM short term up 5 days later -3.94% -3.94%
3/16/2026 11:23:07 PM short term up 6 days later -8.40% -8.40%
3/16/2026 9:03:21 PM short term sharp down 6 days later -8.40% +12.60%
3/16/2026 8:16:44 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +16.84% -8.42%
3/10/2026 9:18:14 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +7.16% -3.58%
3/10/2026 12:50:01 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +7.16% -3.58%
3/8/2026 6:30:54 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -1.34% -0.67%
3/6/2026 12:26:05 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +8.59% -4.30%
3/4/2026 9:51:48 AM short term sharp down 5 days later +3.01% -4.52%
3/3/2026 11:55:33 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +26.94% +13.47%
1/21/2026 7:26:12 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +5.10% -2.55%
1/13/2026 7:24:32 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +1.92% -0.96%
1/9/2026 10:36:27 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -0.12% +0.06%
1/5/2026 7:12:40 PM medium term sharp up 20 days later +6.13% +9.19%
10/23/2025 12:46:28 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -1.66% -2.49%
10/15/2025 10:20:54 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later +3.72% -1.86%
10/9/2025 10:45:24 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.07% +0.53%
9/15/2025 9:09:32 AM short term cautious up 6 days later -2.91% -1.46%
9/12/2025 12:16:57 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -2.54% +1.27%
8/25/2025 10:59:06 PM short term up 7 days later +3.70% +3.70%
8/5/2025 4:44:03 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.61% +0.30%
Show all 48 wti results
yields
No direct mention of bond yields. Drug pricing savings and economic policies could affect fiscal outlook, but no clear signal.

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