Trump claims US-Iran ceasefire is on life support (1% chance), but oil will crash post-conflict. Markets resilient despite war, stocks higher than pre-war. Iran nuke deal unlikely; China wants stability. Drug pricing reforms cutting costs 80-90%. Ukraine a 'meat grinder.' Midterms easy win for GOP.
Yields
NDX
Oil
Metals
USD
The Trump Organization, Inc
3.0
Real Estate
Donald Trump 7.0
Real Estate
Donald Trump 7.0
5/11/2026 8:59:54 PM
ndx
Trump notes stock market is higher than before the war started, contrary to his expectation of a 20-25% decline, suggesting resilience but no strong directional view.
rut
No specific mention of small caps, but general market commentary suggests stability.
wti
As soon as this is over with Iran, as soon as it's over, you're going to see gasoline and oil drop like a rock... today it's at less than 100... when this ends, you're going to see it drop like a rock.
Trump expects resolution of Iran conflict to remove supply disruption premium, with alternative sources already filling the gap.
| 5/11/2026 8:01:30 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +6.34% | -3.17% |
| 5/6/2026 12:44:41 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +7.77% | +3.89% |
| 5/5/2026 8:39:48 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +3.14% | -1.57% |
| 5/4/2026 6:17:18 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -4.11% | +2.05% |
| 5/1/2026 8:16:28 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -7.85% | +3.92% |
| 5/1/2026 1:06:32 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -7.85% | -7.85% |
| 5/1/2026 8:36:16 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -7.85% | -11.77% |
| 4/29/2026 1:40:27 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.66% | -4.00% |
| 4/24/2026 5:23:35 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | +12.75% | +6.38% |
| 4/24/2026 2:19:58 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +10.43% | +5.21% |
| 4/23/2026 11:57:20 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +13.22% | +6.61% |
| 4/23/2026 11:52:58 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +13.22% | +6.61% |
| 4/21/2026 4:37:21 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.67% | +3.67% |
| 4/20/2026 9:01:16 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +6.45% | -6.45% |
| 4/17/2026 2:08:13 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -11.32% |
| 4/17/2026 11:37:01 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -3.77% |
| 4/17/2026 8:31:26 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -3.77% |
| 4/16/2026 10:53:39 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +10.86% | -16.30% |
| 4/16/2026 10:21:15 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +10.86% | -16.30% |
| 4/13/2026 11:02:21 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -0.91% |
| 4/13/2026 9:46:23 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -2.74% |
| 4/8/2026 8:00:34 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -6.73% | +3.37% |
| 4/8/2026 2:17:04 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -6.73% | +10.10% |
| 4/2/2026 9:36:47 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -15.36% | -23.04% |
| 4/2/2026 6:55:00 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -15.36% | +7.68% |
| 4/1/2026 3:20:56 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.26% | -0.63% |
| 3/26/2026 6:00:03 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.48% | +0.48% |
| 3/23/2026 7:47:20 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +11.40% | -17.10% |
| 3/18/2026 8:32:27 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -3.94% | -3.94% |
| 3/16/2026 11:23:07 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -8.40% | -8.40% |
| 3/16/2026 9:03:21 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | -8.40% | +12.60% |
| 3/16/2026 8:16:44 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +16.84% | -8.42% |
| 3/10/2026 9:18:14 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +7.16% | -3.58% |
| 3/10/2026 12:50:01 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +7.16% | -3.58% |
| 3/8/2026 6:30:54 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -1.34% | -0.67% |
| 3/6/2026 12:26:05 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +8.59% | -4.30% |
| 3/4/2026 9:51:48 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +3.01% | -4.52% |
| 3/3/2026 11:55:33 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +26.94% | +13.47% |
| 1/21/2026 7:26:12 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +5.10% | -2.55% |
| 1/13/2026 7:24:32 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.92% | -0.96% |
| 1/9/2026 10:36:27 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.12% | +0.06% |
| 1/5/2026 7:12:40 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +6.13% | +9.19% |
| 10/23/2025 12:46:28 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.66% | -2.49% |
| 10/15/2025 10:20:54 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +3.72% | -1.86% |
| 10/9/2025 10:45:24 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.07% | +0.53% |
| 9/15/2025 9:09:32 AM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -2.91% | -1.46% |
| 9/12/2025 12:16:57 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -2.54% | +1.27% |
| 8/25/2025 10:59:06 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +3.70% | +3.70% |
| 8/5/2025 4:44:03 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.61% | +0.30% |
