Dimon's core message: The market is mispricing rate risk. The catalyst for a sharp equity correction is the $5-6T leveraged loan market hitting a refinancing wall. Expect credit spreads to widen significantly, crushing valuations, with small caps (RUT) and tech (NDX) most exposed. He is explicitly cautious and not buying credit. The structural driver is unsustainable US fiscal math. AI is a long-term theme, but the immediate threat is a classic credit cycle turn.
explicit
implicit
Oil
Metals
USD
JPMorgan
9.0
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jamie Dimon 9.5
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Jamie Dimon 9.5
5/21/2026 9:57:13 PM
yields
Rates can easily go up more... they could be much higher than today... US government debt is $30T at 3.5%, they can't refinance below that... another $2T to do this year.
| 5/12/2026 8:21:02 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +3.17% | +1.58% |
| 5/12/2026 2:41:08 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.17% | +3.17% |
| 5/5/2026 9:11:37 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.24% | +0.62% |
| 4/30/2026 2:45:27 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.50% |
| 4/30/2026 2:09:30 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 4/30/2026 1:27:38 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.50% | -0.25% |
| 4/29/2026 12:00:22 AM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | +4.15% | -6.22% |
| 3/31/2026 2:37:12 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -0.63% | -0.31% |
| 3/13/2026 9:15:48 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.70% | +2.70% |
| 3/11/2026 11:21:40 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.66% | -1.66% |
| 3/5/2026 1:17:37 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +1.81% | +0.91% |
| 2/6/2026 5:06:02 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -3.57% | +1.79% |
| 12/11/2025 1:18:26 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.03% | +1.03% |
| 12/10/2025 9:25:29 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.53% | -0.27% |
| 12/1/2025 2:17:57 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +2.03% | +2.03% |
| 11/21/2025 1:54:47 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +3.57% | +3.57% |
| 11/7/2025 6:12:18 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -0.34% | +0.17% |
| 11/4/2025 12:53:31 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -3.73% | -1.86% |
| 10/30/2025 1:40:41 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.12% | +0.06% |
| 10/29/2025 8:30:24 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/21/2025 2:15:04 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.11% | -0.56% |
| 10/16/2025 5:42:00 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +2.15% | +1.07% |
| 10/1/2025 3:11:20 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.30% | +1.65% |
| 9/30/2025 10:13:15 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.48% | +1.74% |
| 9/22/2025 5:25:48 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -1.67% | -1.67% |
| 9/17/2025 6:49:25 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.61% | -0.30% |
| 9/11/2025 11:57:02 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.66% | +0.33% |
| 9/11/2025 4:51:16 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.37% |
| 9/10/2025 9:53:06 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/10/2025 6:33:02 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 8/28/2025 1:07:30 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.38% | +0.19% |
| 8/15/2025 9:10:00 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -1.52% | +0.76% |
| 8/12/2025 4:29:28 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.92% | +0.46% |
| 8/8/2025 2:04:22 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +1.59% | -0.80% |
| 8/4/2025 11:59:32 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.84% | -1.84% |
