explicit
NDX
RUT

explicit

explicit
USD
JPMorgan 9.0
Investment Bank $3170.00B
Grace Peters 8.5
JPMorgan's base case on oil, inflation, and tactical opportunities (with Anna)
3/31/2026 2:37:12 PM
metals
Gold... will prove to be a good asset to hold in a world where we see geopolistics is not going away... We still think there's a structural story to mean the gold will appreciate over the next 12 months. Gold seen as hedge against persistent geopolitics and deficit spending; currently down 10% from peaks.
3/16/2026 8:12:49 AM long term up 62 days later -6.74% -6.74%
2/4/2026 5:57:57 PM medium term up 20 days later +12.19% +12.19%
1/30/2026 12:46:06 AM short term up 7 days later +6.99% +6.99%
1/13/2026 2:12:43 PM medium term up 20 days later -0.60% -0.60%
12/12/2025 1:23:20 PM long term up 60 days later +17.36% +17.36%
12/10/2025 9:48:13 PM short term up 5 days later +1.03% +1.03%
11/18/2025 1:29:07 PM medium term sharp up 20 days later +8.23% +12.34%
9/30/2025 10:13:15 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +2.67% +4.01%
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wti
if you see oil at around $8,000, $800,000, level... we think that the global economy will still grow... The risks scenario to us... is that you see oil move more than $140 per bowel Base case assumes oil in $80-$100 range supporting growth; risk scenario >$140 leads to recession.
3/27/2026 4:46:35 PM short term up 7 days later +9.26% +9.26%
3/16/2026 6:26:04 PM short term cautious up 6 days later -8.40% -4.20%
3/4/2026 8:50:44 AM short term up 5 days later +3.01% +3.01%
3/3/2026 2:24:23 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +26.94% +40.40%
3/3/2026 11:01:30 AM short term up 5 days later +26.94% +26.94%
yields
Curve steepening more likely to play out... longer-term curve steepening is a potential consequence when it comes back to repricing, not just inflation. Deficit concerns may re-emerge; prefers 3-6 year maturities due to front-end opportunity and longer-term steepening risks.
3/13/2026 9:15:48 PM short term up 7 days later +2.70% +2.70%
3/11/2026 11:21:40 PM short term up 5 days later -1.66% -1.66%
3/5/2026 1:17:37 AM short term cautious up 5 days later +1.81% +0.91%
2/6/2026 5:06:02 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -3.57% +1.79%
12/11/2025 1:18:26 AM short term down 5 days later -1.03% +1.03%
12/10/2025 9:25:29 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.53% -0.27%
12/1/2025 2:17:57 PM medium term up 20 days later +2.03% +2.03%
11/21/2025 1:54:47 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.57% +3.57%
11/7/2025 6:12:18 PM medium term cautious down 21 days later -0.34% +0.17%
11/4/2025 12:53:31 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -3.73% -1.86%
10/30/2025 1:40:41 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.12% +0.06%
10/29/2025 8:30:24 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.10% +0.05%
10/21/2025 2:15:04 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.11% -0.56%
10/16/2025 5:42:00 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +2.15% +1.07%
10/1/2025 3:11:20 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -3.30% +1.65%
9/30/2025 10:13:15 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -3.48% +1.74%
9/22/2025 5:25:48 PM medium term up 20 days later -1.67% -1.67%
9/17/2025 6:49:25 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.61% -0.30%
9/11/2025 11:57:02 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.66% +0.33%
9/11/2025 4:51:16 PM short term down 5 days later +0.37% -0.37%
9/10/2025 9:53:06 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.37% -0.19%
9/10/2025 6:33:02 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.37% -0.19%
8/28/2025 1:07:30 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.38% +0.19%
8/15/2025 9:10:00 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -1.52% +0.76%
8/12/2025 4:29:28 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.92% +0.46%
8/8/2025 2:04:22 AM short term cautious down 7 days later +1.59% -0.80%
8/4/2025 11:59:32 PM short term down 6 days later +1.84% -1.84%
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