Nate Peterson attributes the recent market sell-off to a culmination of factors: Broadcom earnings, yield spike, June seasonality, SpaceX IPO, and upcoming FOMC meeting. He views the pullback as a healthy mean reversion after a 20% rally in 9 weeks. The Nasdaq found support at its 50-day moving average. He warns that the biggest future risk is a potential deceleration in AI/CapEx spending, which could challenge EPS growth forecasts.

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Charles Schwab 8.0
Asset Manager $890.00B
Nathan Peterson 9.0
State of the Tech Sector: U.S.-Iran War, Bitcoin Adds Unseen Pressures
Bitcoin
6/10/2026 7:00:16 PM
dxy
No explicit mention of the dollar. However, with yields spiking and the Fed expected to sit on hands, the dollar is likely to remain rangebound in the near term.
metals
No explicit mention of metals. Given the broader market volatility and geopolitical uncertainty, metals could see short-term volatility.
ndx
Nate describes significant single stock volatility with 15-20% drops, VIX at 20, and the Nasdaq finding support at its 50-day moving average. He frames this as a healthy shakeout of excess momentum, implying near-term volatility but not a directional breakdown.
rut
Nate discusses mean reversion after a 20% rally in the S&P 500, consolidation, and finding a new near-term bottom. The Russell 2000 typically follows similar patterns but with more volatility. No explicit mention of small caps.
wti
Nate says 'the expectation of course is that ultimately there will be a resolution, ultimately oil prices go lower.' This implies a cautious downward view on oil over the medium term as geopolitical tensions resolve.
yields
The yield spike two years hitting 52 week high on that strong jobs report did not help.
116 calls
+1
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
6/9/2026 1:00:34 AM short term cautious up 5 days later -1.61% -0.80%
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6/8/2026 6:04:18 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -3.40% -1.70%
6/5/2026 7:35:40 PM short term up 7 days later -1.82% -1.82%
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6/4/2026 4:40:40 PM short term down 5 days later +0.13% -0.13%
6/3/2026 7:30:39 PM short term up 5 days later +1.14% +1.14%
6/2/2026 6:00:01 PM short term up 5 days later +1.36% +1.36%
6/1/2026 3:30:31 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +2.18% +1.09%
5/29/2026 7:00:03 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later +0.76% +0.38%
5/28/2026 7:00:37 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -0.04% -0.02%
5/26/2026 4:30:11 PM short term down 5 days later -0.13% +0.13%
5/24/2026 4:30:31 PM medium term up 21 days later -1.95% -1.95%
5/23/2026 1:00:14 AM short term sharp up 5 days later -2.30% -3.46%
5/22/2026 7:01:08 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -2.30% -1.15%
5/21/2026 7:00:03 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.08% -1.04%
5/21/2026 3:30:57 PM short term down 5 days later -1.69% +1.69%
5/20/2026 6:00:24 PM short term up 5 days later -2.03% -2.03%
5/20/2026 4:30:01 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.03% +1.01%
5/20/2026 1:00:35 AM short term sharp up 5 days later -2.03% -3.04%
5/19/2026 7:00:05 PM medium term sharp up 20 days later -0.96% -1.44%
5/19/2026 5:39:53 PM medium term down 20 days later -0.96% +0.96%
5/18/2026 6:00:43 PM short term up 5 days later -2.34% -2.34%
5/18/2026 3:30:42 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.46% -1.23%
5/15/2026 3:30:02 PM short term up 6 days later -1.41% -1.41%
5/14/2026 7:01:22 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.50% -0.25%
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5/13/2026 6:00:58 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +4.62% +6.93%
5/13/2026 4:07:44 PM short term up 5 days later +4.62% +4.62%
5/12/2026 6:01:10 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +3.17% +4.75%
5/12/2026 4:00:57 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.58% +0.29%
5/11/2026 7:00:43 PM short term up 6 days later +3.59% +3.59%
5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM short term up 6 days later +3.59% +3.59%
5/6/2026 7:01:28 PM short term up 5 days later +1.62% +1.62%
5/4/2026 7:00:25 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +3.22% +1.61%
5/1/2026 8:00:31 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +2.52% +1.26%
5/1/2026 5:30:10 PM short term down 7 days later -0.81% +0.81%
4/29/2026 10:30:10 PM short term up 5 days later +0.59% +0.59%
4/22/2026 6:00:26 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.72% -0.36%
4/17/2026 7:00:31 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.76% +3.76%
4/10/2026 7:01:10 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.47% +3.47%
4/8/2026 7:30:12 PM short term down 5 days later -0.86% +0.86%
3/27/2026 10:22:16 PM short term sharp up 7 days later -0.16% -0.24%
3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -0.16% -0.08%
3/26/2026 6:15:02 PM short term up 5 days later -2.73% -2.73%
3/24/2026 3:30:35 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +0.32% +0.16%
3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.16% -1.08%
3/20/2026 4:35:56 PM medium term up 21 days later -0.85% -0.85%
3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM short term down 5 days later +1.76% -1.76%
3/16/2026 6:01:06 PM short term up 6 days later +3.14% +3.14%
2/23/2026 7:00:42 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +4.64% +2.32%
2/18/2026 7:00:31 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +3.26% +1.63%
2/13/2026 4:30:47 PM short term down 7 days later -0.67% +0.67%
2/11/2026 7:35:50 PM short term up 5 days later -1.27% -1.27%
2/11/2026 4:30:22 PM short term up 5 days later -1.27% -1.27%
2/9/2026 7:00:36 PM short term cautious down 6 days later -2.19% +1.10%
1/30/2026 7:01:03 PM short term up 7 days later -1.80% -1.80%
1/23/2026 8:46:35 PM long term cautious up 60 days later +5.39% +2.69%
1/20/2026 7:01:32 PM short term up 5 days later -0.94% -0.94%
1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM long term cautious up 60 days later -1.12% -0.56%
12/31/2025 5:47:14 PM short term up 5 days later -1.17% -1.17%
12/23/2025 5:54:44 PM short term up 5 days later -0.48% -0.48%
12/17/2025 7:00:01 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +0.53% +0.27%
12/15/2025 6:00:31 PM short term down 6 days later +0.48% -0.48%
12/11/2025 7:30:17 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.03% +0.51%
12/5/2025 8:31:08 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later -1.34% -0.67%
12/1/2025 7:17:24 PM medium term up 20 days later +2.03% +2.03%
11/21/2025 6:00:06 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +1.44% -0.72%
11/14/2025 6:01:14 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -2.30% -1.15%
11/11/2025 1:00:57 AM short term up 5 days later +1.67% +1.67%
11/5/2025 11:14:15 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +0.66% +0.99%
11/5/2025 6:00:18 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -2.32% -1.16%
10/31/2025 5:00:59 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.10% -0.05%
10/29/2025 5:30:29 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.10% +0.05%
10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM short term up 6 days later +3.09% +3.09%
10/24/2025 8:41:31 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +2.73% -1.36%
10/24/2025 5:33:04 PM short term up 7 days later +2.73% +2.73%
10/23/2025 7:03:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.53% -0.76%
10/21/2025 6:30:23 PM short term down 5 days later +1.11% -1.11%
10/20/2025 6:30:14 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.86% -0.43%
10/16/2025 10:47:56 PM short term down 5 days later -1.35% +1.35%
10/14/2025 6:01:25 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -1.48% -0.74%
10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.48% +0.74%
9/30/2025 5:42:26 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.36% -0.68%
9/29/2025 6:30:09 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +0.34% +0.17%
9/26/2025 6:27:34 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.51% -0.25%
9/22/2025 6:00:19 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +0.51% -0.25%
9/18/2025 5:45:03 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +0.22% -0.11%
9/17/2025 6:01:49 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.39% -0.19%
9/16/2025 11:52:11 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.64% -0.82%
9/15/2025 10:13:32 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +3.38% -1.69%
9/15/2025 6:00:38 PM short term cautious down 6 days later +2.91% -1.45%
9/12/2025 11:30:07 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +2.70% -1.35%
9/10/2025 11:30:15 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.37% -0.19%
9/5/2025 11:30:10 PM short term sharp down 7 days later -0.30% +0.44%
9/3/2025 11:30:04 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -0.69% +0.35%
9/2/2025 8:01:17 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -3.92% +1.96%
8/29/2025 11:22:31 PM medium term down 20 days later -3.13% +3.13%
8/28/2025 11:34:09 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -2.91% +1.45%
8/25/2025 11:30:06 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -5.26% +2.63%
8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.45% -0.22%
8/25/2025 6:17:17 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +0.45% -0.22%
8/22/2025 11:30:14 PM short term down 8 days later +0.05% -0.05%
8/21/2025 6:30:30 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -0.52% -0.26%
8/13/2025 11:30:57 PM short term down 5 days later +0.21% -0.21%
8/8/2025 11:30:04 PM long term cautious down 60 days later -5.20% +2.60%
8/7/2025 11:35:19 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.82% +0.91%
7/30/2025 1:54:24 AM short term up 5 days later -3.76% -3.76%
7/21/2025 11:30:17 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -1.45% +0.73%
7/16/2025 11:30:00 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -2.85% -1.42%
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