Gold and silver are rebounding from the bottom of a falling wedge pattern. Key resistance for gold is $4,200, with a potential move to $4,350 if broken. Silver needs to clear $61.73 and then $67.38 for a breakout above $72. ETF outflows (gold -1.8% YTD, silver -9.2% YTD) show weak retail participation, which is needed to sustain a bull run. Reduced Fed rate hike probabilities (30% for July) are supportive for metals.
inferred
NDX
RUT
Oil
explicit
USD
silver (futures) cautious up
Blue Line Futures
7.5
Hedge Fund
Phillip Streible 6.0
Hedge Fund
Phillip Streible 6.0
6/26/2026 6:00:31 PM
- gold → 4350
- silver → 72
metals
We hit the bottom of the falling wedge, now we're starting to rise back up. Key resistance is $4,200; if we can get above there, perhaps we could see a move up to $4,350. On silver, back above $67.38 and the top of the wedge would indicate a new breakout above $72.
| 6/18/2026 5:41:39 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -4.73% | +4.73% |
| 6/18/2026 2:14:40 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -4.73% | +4.73% |
| 6/17/2026 2:15:24 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -2.32% | -1.16% |
| 6/16/2026 7:09:38 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -4.30% | -2.15% |
| 6/15/2026 7:26:52 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -3.80% | -3.80% |
| 6/15/2026 2:10:51 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -3.80% | -3.80% |
| 6/12/2026 11:02:19 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -3.62% | -3.62% |
| 6/12/2026 4:37:45 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -3.62% | -3.62% |
| 6/12/2026 2:14:01 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -3.62% | -3.62% |
| 6/11/2026 2:08:47 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +3.56% | +1.78% |
| 6/10/2026 5:49:09 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +6.18% | -3.09% |
| 6/5/2026 9:53:37 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.29% | -0.29% |
| 6/5/2026 8:22:33 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.29% | -0.29% |
| 6/3/2026 6:28:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -5.22% | +2.61% |
| 6/3/2026 2:08:27 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -5.22% | +2.61% |
| 6/2/2026 6:22:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -2.72% | -2.72% |
| 6/1/2026 5:29:41 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -4.08% | -6.12% |
| 5/28/2026 6:20:00 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.73% | +2.73% |
| 5/28/2026 2:12:37 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.73% | +2.73% |
| 5/27/2026 8:38:49 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.18% | +0.18% |
| 5/26/2026 8:03:19 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.49% | +0.49% |
| 5/26/2026 1:55:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.49% | +0.49% |
| 5/22/2026 6:20:20 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.78% | +1.16% |
| 5/21/2026 1:58:28 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.43% | +0.71% |
| 5/19/2026 2:01:35 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.25% | +0.12% |
| 5/18/2026 4:59:16 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.30% | +0.15% |
| 5/15/2026 5:59:29 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | -0.88% | +1.32% |
| 5/14/2026 6:12:33 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.70% | +0.70% |
| 5/14/2026 1:53:21 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.70% | +0.35% |
| 5/13/2026 1:45:31 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -4.02% | -6.03% |
| 5/12/2026 6:00:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.70% | -5.55% |
| 5/11/2026 4:58:00 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -3.01% | +1.50% |
| 5/11/2026 2:01:27 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -3.01% | +1.50% |
| 5/8/2026 7:12:41 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -3.85% | -5.77% |
| 5/8/2026 2:01:51 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -3.85% | -5.77% |
| 5/7/2026 1:56:51 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.10% | +0.15% |
| 5/6/2026 2:05:14 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.30% | -0.45% |
| 5/5/2026 2:13:50 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.88% | +0.44% |
| 5/4/2026 2:08:49 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +3.77% | -1.88% |
| 5/1/2026 2:11:55 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +4.65% | -4.65% |
| 4/30/2026 2:13:23 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.17% | +1.76% |
| 4/29/2026 2:22:08 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.25% | +1.25% |
| 4/24/2026 2:18:16 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -3.14% | +1.57% |
| 4/20/2026 2:18:07 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -0.69% | -0.35% |
| 4/16/2026 10:24:59 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -3.31% | -3.31% |
| 4/14/2026 2:08:46 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.01% | -0.01% |
| 4/1/2026 2:12:55 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.11% | -0.16% |
| 3/30/2026 2:13:18 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +0.19% | +0.19% |
| 3/26/2026 1:05:27 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +6.43% | -6.43% |
| 3/25/2026 1:10:36 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.36% | +9.54% |
| 3/23/2026 1:14:06 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +2.62% | -3.94% |
| 3/20/2026 1:23:19 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | +7.98% | +7.98% |
| 3/19/2026 5:20:35 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.51% | +0.51% |
| 3/18/2026 1:13:58 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -4.17% | +2.08% |
| 3/16/2026 1:23:55 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -12.00% | +6.00% |
| 3/10/2026 1:03:21 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -3.43% | -1.71% |
| 3/4/2026 1:58:21 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.36% | +3.36% |
| 3/3/2026 2:19:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.48% | +0.24% |
| 3/2/2026 2:15:55 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.84% | +1.26% |
| 2/25/2026 11:43:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.83% | -2.75% |
| 2/25/2026 2:15:06 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.83% | -1.83% |
| 2/24/2026 2:02:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.32% | +1.32% |
| 2/23/2026 2:01:27 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +2.61% | +2.61% |
| 2/17/2026 2:09:29 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +4.18% | -4.18% |
| 2/16/2026 3:07:19 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +6.64% | +6.64% |
| 2/12/2026 2:35:02 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.44% | -0.67% |
| 2/11/2026 2:40:37 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.72% | -1.08% |
| 2/10/2026 10:04:22 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +0.26% | +0.40% |
| 2/9/2026 2:13:26 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +0.04% | +0.06% |
| 2/4/2026 2:35:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.83% | +4.25% |
| 2/3/2026 1:56:20 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.28% | +3.42% |
| 2/2/2026 6:29:20 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +2.47% | -3.71% |
| 1/30/2026 2:05:52 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +8.54% | -8.54% |
| 1/28/2026 2:08:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -8.60% | -12.91% |
| 1/26/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -9.60% | -14.40% |
| 1/23/2026 10:16:00 PM | medium term up | 21 days later | -4.20% | -4.20% |
| 1/23/2026 10:07:21 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -14.40% | -21.60% |
| 1/22/2026 11:27:23 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | -13.73% | -20.59% |
| 1/21/2026 11:13:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.97% | -1.48% |
| 1/21/2026 2:14:38 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +2.97% | +1.48% |
| 1/20/2026 2:41:17 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.34% | +9.51% |
| 1/14/2026 11:25:04 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.95% | +4.43% |
| 1/14/2026 2:13:25 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.95% | +4.43% |
| 1/13/2026 1:56:34 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 1/12/2026 2:15:07 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +1.41% | +2.11% |
| 1/9/2026 2:07:56 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +1.01% | +0.51% |
| 12/23/2025 2:10:09 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.74% | -5.62% |
| 12/19/2025 5:07:19 PM | long term sharp up | 60 days later | +12.69% | +19.04% |
| 12/19/2025 1:48:55 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +12.69% | +12.69% |
| 12/17/2025 2:18:23 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.34% | +6.50% |
| 12/16/2025 1:50:51 PM | long term up | 61 days later | +14.28% | +14.28% |
| 12/15/2025 10:17:24 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +4.27% | +6.41% |
| 12/15/2025 10:16:24 PM | long term sharp up | 62 days later | +15.71% | +23.57% |
| 12/11/2025 2:02:09 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.96% | +2.94% |
| 12/10/2025 2:04:36 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +18.06% | +18.06% |
| 12/8/2025 1:55:19 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +2.72% | +2.72% |
| 12/4/2025 1:55:43 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.41% | -0.41% |
| 12/3/2025 1:42:38 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.20% | +0.29% |
| 11/28/2025 2:32:51 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -1.06% | -1.59% |
| 11/27/2025 3:34:31 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.43% | -0.64% |
| 11/25/2025 2:09:39 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.99% | +2.99% |
| 11/20/2025 2:01:46 PM | long term up | 60 days later | +19.78% | +19.78% |
| 11/19/2025 2:11:41 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +2.07% | +3.10% |
| 11/18/2025 2:15:37 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.30% | -0.15% |
| 11/17/2025 11:09:46 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.63% | -0.32% |
| 11/14/2025 2:02:42 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +0.48% | -0.48% |
| 11/12/2025 10:49:45 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.06% | -4.59% |
| 11/12/2025 2:16:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.06% | -4.59% |
| 11/11/2025 1:54:15 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.41% | -5.12% |
| 11/7/2025 1:44:27 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -1.17% | -1.75% |
| 10/30/2025 1:04:43 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.10% | -0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 1:10:53 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.56% | -2.33% |
| 10/28/2025 1:16:24 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.38% | -0.19% |
| 10/27/2025 10:44:23 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.91% | -0.45% |
| 10/17/2025 1:31:37 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.03% | -4.54% |
| 10/13/2025 10:52:34 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.17% | +2.17% |
| 10/13/2025 2:05:40 PM | long term sharp up | 62 days later | +4.31% | +6.46% |
| 10/10/2025 2:00:52 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.16% | +4.74% |
| 10/2/2025 1:50:52 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +4.52% | +6.78% |
| 9/29/2025 2:11:15 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +2.91% | +4.37% |
| 9/26/2025 2:00:35 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +3.31% | +4.97% |
| 9/24/2025 2:07:11 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | +12.13% | +12.13% |
| 9/22/2025 1:45:19 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | +1.42% | +2.13% |
| 9/19/2025 2:06:39 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +2.79% | +1.39% |
| 9/12/2025 2:07:34 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | +1.47% | +2.20% |
| 9/11/2025 1:56:16 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +0.46% | +0.23% |
| 9/10/2025 1:41:49 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.20% | -0.60% |
| 9/9/2025 11:14:55 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +5.83% | +8.74% |
| 9/9/2025 2:18:10 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.08% | +1.62% |
| 9/3/2025 1:52:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.97% | +2.96% |
| 9/2/2025 2:02:33 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.83% | +1.24% |
| 8/28/2025 2:17:15 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.64% | +3.64% |
| 8/13/2025 2:10:59 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.91% | -0.91% |
| 8/4/2025 11:45:30 PM | medium term up | 20 days later | -0.51% | -0.51% |
| 7/24/2025 2:44:36 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -1.17% | +1.17% |
| 7/18/2025 2:12:59 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -2.75% | -2.75% |
yields
The interviewee notes reduced Fed rate hike probabilities (30% for July, down from 32%), which implies lower short-term rate expectations and thus lower yields.
