President Trump and his cabinet tout record job creation, tax cuts, energy dominance (US now top oil producer), anti-fraud efforts recovering billions, and military success against Iran. They project continued economic strength, lower drug prices via TrumpRx, and falling gas prices post-Iran conflict. Stock market at highs, 401k up $30k. Macro outlook is bullish on US growth, energy, and equities.
inferred
explicit
explicit
inferred
implicit
pharmaceuticals sharp down
The Trump Organization, Inc
3.0
Real Estate
Donald Trump 8.5
Real Estate
Donald Trump 8.5
5/27/2026 5:05:48 PM
dxy
Energy dominance, record oil/gas production, trade leverage (tariffs), and capital inflows ($18 trillion investment) all support USD strength. Venezuela oil sales in US-controlled accounts also reinforce dollar hegemony.
metals
Strong USD and falling energy prices reduce inflation hedge demand for gold. However, geopolitical uncertainty (Iran) provides some support. Net neutral.
ndx
Stock market has set 68 all-time record highs since the election. Average 401k is up almost $30,000 since I took office. Stock market is the highest it's ever been.
| 5/15/2026 10:07:59 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +1.68% | -1.68% |
| 5/12/2026 11:17:08 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.27% | -1.90% |
| 5/12/2026 9:30:29 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.27% | -1.27% |
| 5/12/2026 10:12:49 AM | medium term up | 20 days later | +4.41% | +4.41% |
| 5/1/2026 8:16:28 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +6.04% | +6.04% |
| 4/24/2026 2:19:58 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +1.27% | +1.27% |
| 4/23/2026 11:57:20 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.43% | -0.43% |
| 4/17/2026 2:08:13 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +2.69% | +2.69% |
| 4/8/2026 2:17:04 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.03% | +3.03% |
| 4/2/2026 6:55:00 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.57% | +3.57% |
| 4/1/2026 4:30:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.65% | +0.65% |
| 3/26/2026 6:00:03 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +3.84% | -3.84% |
| 1/21/2026 7:26:12 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | -1.24% | -1.86% |
| 1/21/2026 6:33:54 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +1.65% | +2.48% |
| 1/13/2026 7:24:32 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.25% | +0.25% |
| 10/29/2025 12:29:34 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.16% | -1.16% |
| 10/29/2025 9:51:12 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.16% | -1.16% |
| 10/24/2025 2:17:33 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +0.59% | +0.29% |
| 10/24/2025 10:29:43 AM | short term up | 7 days later | +0.59% | +0.59% |
| 10/20/2025 1:11:12 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.93% | +0.96% |
| 10/14/2025 10:09:14 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.60% | +1.60% |
| 8/6/2025 7:02:59 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +1.92% | +1.92% |
| 7/23/2025 9:26:43 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +0.38% | +0.57% |
rut
Over 300,000 private sector jobs in last 2 months. Record business formation - over half a million per month. Manufacturing expansion 4 consecutive months. Small businesses are spring-loaded. Main Street is back.
wti
Oil will be lower than pre-conflict levels when this ends. Gas prices will come down to where they were before - we had $1.85-$1.90 in Iowa. We are producing more oil by double than Russia and Saudi Arabia combined.
| 5/21/2026 7:52:25 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -8.20% | +4.10% |
| 5/19/2026 9:54:52 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.69% | +0.84% |
| 5/12/2026 11:17:08 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +7.56% | -11.34% |
| 5/12/2026 10:15:06 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +7.56% | -3.78% |
| 5/12/2026 9:46:20 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +7.56% | +11.34% |
| 5/11/2026 8:59:54 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +6.34% | -3.17% |
| 5/11/2026 8:01:30 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +6.34% | -3.17% |
| 5/6/2026 12:44:41 AM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +7.77% | +3.89% |
| 5/5/2026 8:39:48 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +3.14% | -1.57% |
| 5/4/2026 6:17:18 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -4.11% | +2.05% |
| 5/1/2026 8:16:28 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -7.85% | +3.92% |
| 5/1/2026 1:06:32 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -7.85% | -7.85% |
| 5/1/2026 8:36:16 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -7.85% | -11.77% |
| 4/29/2026 1:40:27 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.66% | -4.00% |
| 4/24/2026 5:23:35 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | +12.75% | +6.38% |
| 4/24/2026 2:19:58 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | +10.43% | +5.21% |
| 4/23/2026 11:57:20 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +13.22% | +6.61% |
| 4/23/2026 11:52:58 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +13.22% | +6.61% |
| 4/21/2026 4:37:21 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.67% | +3.67% |
| 4/20/2026 9:01:16 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +6.45% | -6.45% |
| 4/17/2026 2:08:13 PM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -11.32% |
| 4/17/2026 11:37:01 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -3.77% |
| 4/17/2026 8:31:26 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -3.77% |
| 4/16/2026 10:53:39 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +10.86% | -16.30% |
| 4/16/2026 10:21:15 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +10.86% | -16.30% |
| 4/13/2026 11:02:21 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -0.91% |
| 4/13/2026 9:46:23 AM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -2.74% |
| 4/8/2026 8:00:34 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -6.73% | +3.37% |
| 4/8/2026 2:17:04 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -6.73% | +10.10% |
| 4/2/2026 9:36:47 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -15.36% | -23.04% |
| 4/2/2026 6:55:00 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -15.36% | +7.68% |
| 4/1/2026 3:20:56 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.26% | -0.63% |
| 3/26/2026 6:00:03 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.48% | +0.48% |
| 3/23/2026 7:47:20 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | +11.40% | -17.10% |
| 3/18/2026 8:32:27 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -3.94% | -3.94% |
| 3/16/2026 11:23:07 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -8.40% | -8.40% |
| 3/16/2026 9:03:21 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | -8.40% | +12.60% |
| 3/16/2026 8:16:44 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +16.84% | -8.42% |
| 3/10/2026 9:18:14 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +7.16% | -3.58% |
| 3/10/2026 12:50:01 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +7.16% | -3.58% |
| 3/8/2026 6:30:54 PM | short term cautious up | 7 days later | -1.34% | -0.67% |
| 3/6/2026 12:26:05 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +8.59% | -4.30% |
| 3/4/2026 9:51:48 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | +3.01% | -4.52% |
| 3/3/2026 11:55:33 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +26.94% | +13.47% |
| 1/21/2026 7:26:12 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +5.10% | -2.55% |
| 1/13/2026 7:24:32 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.92% | -0.96% |
| 1/9/2026 10:36:27 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.12% | +0.06% |
| 1/5/2026 7:12:40 PM | medium term sharp up | 20 days later | +6.13% | +9.19% |
| 10/23/2025 12:46:28 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -1.66% | -2.49% |
| 10/15/2025 10:20:54 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +3.72% | -1.86% |
| 10/9/2025 10:45:24 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.07% | +0.53% |
| 9/15/2025 9:09:32 AM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -2.91% | -1.46% |
| 9/12/2025 12:16:57 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -2.54% | +1.27% |
| 8/25/2025 10:59:06 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +3.70% | +3.70% |
| 8/5/2025 4:44:03 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.61% | +0.30% |
yields
Strong growth (4.3% GDP predicted) and fiscal spending ($1.5T defense) push yields up, but falling energy prices, lower drug costs, and anti-fraud savings reduce inflation pressure. Net effect is rangebound/sideways in near term.
