Geopolitical easing (more ships transiting Hormuz) reduces oil-driven headline inflation, relieving immediate policy pressure. However, AI-driven CapEx and related services keep core PCE elevated, making the Fed's disinflation path harder and supporting higher yields. Earnings season is now 'CapEx season'—CapEx numbers matter more than earnings for hyperscalers.
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NDX
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Metals
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Charles Schwab
8.0
Asset Manager $890.00B
Kevin Gordon 8.5
Asset Manager $890.00B
Kevin Gordon 8.5
6/22/2026 7:00:38 PM
wti
Brent crude oil prices coming down because of eventual supply coming back online
| 6/19/2026 2:00:05 AM | short term down | 7 days later | -5.44% | +5.44% |
| 6/19/2026 1:00:15 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -5.44% | +2.72% |
| 6/17/2026 9:13:17 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -4.43% | +4.43% |
| 6/16/2026 4:30:12 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.57% | +2.57% |
| 6/16/2026 3:33:45 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.57% | +1.28% |
| 6/16/2026 2:00:34 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -2.57% | +3.85% |
| 6/15/2026 7:16:33 PM | short term down | 6 days later | -1.62% | +1.62% |
| 6/15/2026 3:48:45 PM | short term sharp down | 6 days later | -1.62% | +2.43% |
| 6/11/2026 1:00:34 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -9.53% | -9.53% |
| 6/9/2026 9:27:50 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -10.31% | -5.15% |
| 6/9/2026 7:27:19 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -10.31% | -5.15% |
| 6/9/2026 3:42:43 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -10.31% | +10.31% |
| 6/4/2026 4:40:40 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.56% | +0.56% |
| 6/3/2026 7:30:39 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -5.20% | -5.20% |
| 6/3/2026 4:30:25 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -5.20% | -5.20% |
| 6/3/2026 1:00:23 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -24.40% | -12.20% |
| 6/1/2026 6:00:30 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -2.62% | -3.94% |
| 6/1/2026 3:30:31 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -2.62% | -2.62% |
| 5/29/2026 6:00:30 PM | medium term sharp up | 21 days later | -18.82% | -28.22% |
| 5/29/2026 4:00:33 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.93% | +0.47% |
| 5/28/2026 3:30:30 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +9.91% | +4.96% |
| 5/27/2026 7:19:54 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +5.47% | -5.47% |
| 5/27/2026 7:00:32 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -13.62% | +6.81% |
| 5/26/2026 4:30:11 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -4.60% | +4.60% |
| 5/21/2026 7:00:03 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -9.20% | -4.60% |
| 5/20/2026 3:30:13 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.26% | -0.26% |
| 5/19/2026 4:00:55 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.69% | -0.84% |
| 5/19/2026 1:00:18 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -10.24% | +5.12% |
| 5/18/2026 3:30:42 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -10.36% | +10.36% |
| 5/15/2026 7:01:24 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -15.98% | -7.99% |
| 5/15/2026 3:30:02 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -11.10% | -5.55% |
| 5/15/2026 1:00:15 AM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -11.10% | -5.55% |
| 5/13/2026 4:07:44 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +6.52% | +9.79% |
| 5/12/2026 6:01:10 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +7.56% | +3.78% |
| 5/12/2026 3:43:59 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +7.56% | +7.56% |
| 5/11/2026 6:01:37 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +6.34% | +6.34% |
| 5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +6.34% | +3.17% |
| 5/11/2026 3:30:59 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +6.34% | +3.17% |
| 5/6/2026 7:01:28 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +7.77% | +7.77% |
| 5/6/2026 6:30:38 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +7.77% | -3.89% |
| 5/5/2026 4:37:16 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +3.14% | -3.14% |
| 5/5/2026 3:38:25 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +3.14% | +1.57% |
| 5/4/2026 3:36:16 PM | short term sharp up | 6 days later | -4.11% | -6.16% |
| 5/1/2026 8:00:31 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -9.23% | -4.61% |
| 5/1/2026 6:30:15 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -7.85% | +3.92% |
| 5/1/2026 5:30:10 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -7.85% | +3.92% |
| 5/1/2026 4:30:29 PM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -7.85% | -11.77% |
| 4/30/2026 6:01:11 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -6.73% | -3.36% |
| 4/29/2026 10:30:10 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.66% | -4.00% |
| 4/29/2026 6:30:43 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.66% | -4.00% |
| 4/29/2026 4:30:58 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -2.66% | -4.00% |
| 4/28/2026 6:01:12 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.43% | -0.65% |
| 4/28/2026 5:00:31 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -0.43% | -0.43% |
| 4/28/2026 3:35:20 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -0.43% | -0.65% |
| 4/27/2026 6:00:43 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +6.49% | +6.49% |
| 4/27/2026 4:30:46 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +6.49% | +6.49% |
| 4/27/2026 3:45:31 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | +6.49% | +3.25% |
| 4/24/2026 7:01:37 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | +12.75% | +6.38% |
| 4/24/2026 3:30:34 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +10.43% | -5.21% |
| 4/23/2026 4:30:51 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +13.22% | +6.61% |
| 4/22/2026 6:00:26 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +4.26% | +4.26% |
| 4/21/2026 6:01:24 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +3.67% | +5.50% |
| 4/17/2026 7:15:05 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -7.54% |
| 4/17/2026 6:00:59 PM | short term down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -7.54% |
| 4/17/2026 3:32:53 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -3.77% |
| 4/17/2026 1:00:06 AM | short term down | 7 days later | +7.54% | -7.54% |
| 4/14/2026 7:15:03 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -1.84% | +2.76% |
| 4/14/2026 4:31:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.84% | +0.92% |
| 4/14/2026 2:01:03 AM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -1.84% | +2.76% |
| 4/13/2026 4:31:01 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -1.83% | -1.83% |
| 4/11/2026 2:00:47 AM | short term sharp down | 7 days later | -9.56% | +14.34% |
| 4/9/2026 7:29:52 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -5.47% | -5.47% |
| 4/9/2026 6:01:13 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -5.47% | -5.47% |
| 4/8/2026 7:00:27 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -6.73% | +6.73% |
| 4/3/2026 2:00:27 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -11.86% | -17.79% |
| 4/3/2026 12:14:01 AM | short term sharp up | 7 days later | -11.86% | -17.79% |
| 4/2/2026 7:01:00 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -15.36% | -15.36% |
| 3/31/2026 2:00:25 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +12.28% | +12.28% |
| 3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +9.26% | +9.26% |
| 3/26/2026 6:15:02 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +0.48% | +0.48% |
| 3/24/2026 6:00:01 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.06% | +0.53% |
| 3/24/2026 4:30:32 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | +13.91% | +6.95% |
| 3/24/2026 2:00:29 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +13.91% | -6.95% |
| 3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +7.29% | +3.64% |
| 3/20/2026 7:58:07 PM | short term up | 7 days later | +16.74% | +16.74% |
| 3/19/2026 3:39:50 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -8.14% | -8.14% |
| 3/19/2026 2:34:25 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -8.14% | -4.07% |
| 3/19/2026 12:00:25 AM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -0.46% | -0.23% |
| 3/18/2026 5:00:40 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | -3.94% | -5.91% |
| 3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -8.50% | -8.50% |
| 3/17/2026 2:31:24 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -8.50% | -8.50% |
| 3/13/2026 1:00:26 AM | short term up | 7 days later | -5.74% | -5.74% |
| 3/9/2026 6:15:03 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +12.04% | +12.04% |
| 3/9/2026 5:30:33 PM | short term up | 6 days later | +12.04% | +12.04% |
| 3/7/2026 2:01:09 AM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +8.59% | +12.89% |
| 3/6/2026 7:01:41 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +8.59% | +12.89% |
| 3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM | short term sharp up | 5 days later | +26.94% | +40.40% |
| 1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +5.87% | -2.93% |
| 12/30/2025 10:30:10 PM | long term down | 61 days later | +24.05% | -24.05% |
| 12/22/2025 5:01:11 PM | short term up | 6 days later | -0.51% | -0.51% |
| 12/17/2025 4:30:43 PM | short term up | 5 days later | +3.97% | +3.97% |
| 12/11/2025 7:30:17 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.61% | +2.61% |
| 10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.29% | +0.64% |
| 9/25/2025 6:01:25 PM | short term up | 5 days later | -6.00% | -6.00% |
| 8/7/2025 12:00:18 AM | short term up | 5 days later | -1.93% | -1.93% |
yields
Core PCE running hotter than CPI due to AI-related spending makes it harder for the Fed to return to 2% inflation, implying upward pressure on yields.
