Marley Kaden presents a market wrap: Nasdaq 100 rallied 2.6%, S&P/Russell/Dow up ~1% (Dow record high). Tech and industrials led (+3%), energy fell >6% on oil drop to March lows. Rally spurred by US-Iran MOU to end conflict. Fed held rates (first meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh), markets declined as nearly half of officials projected at least one rate hike before year-end. Chip stocks near record highs on MOU and AI demand. Intel rallied 8% on trial runs of new chip process and Apple deal. SpaceX IPO up 15%, planning $20B bond offering. Next week: Carnival, FedEx, Micron earnings; new home sales, permits, PCE data.

inferred

explicit

explicit
Metals
USD
SpaceX sharp up
Charles Schwab 8.0
Asset Manager $890.00B
Marley Caden 4.0
6/19/2026 2:00:05 AM
ndx
The NASDAQ 100 rally 2.6%
61 calls
+0
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
6/19/2026 1:00:15 AM short term up 7 days later -1.89% -1.89%
6/18/2026 1:00:06 AM short term down 5 days later -3.90% +3.90%
6/16/2026 2:00:34 AM short term up 5 days later +2.28% +2.28%
6/15/2026 7:16:33 PM short term up 6 days later +1.26% +1.26%
6/15/2026 4:30:16 PM short term up 6 days later +1.26% +1.26%
6/13/2026 2:00:23 AM short term up 7 days later -0.64% -0.64%
6/12/2026 2:00:09 AM short term sharp up 7 days later -0.64% -0.97%
6/11/2026 2:00:05 AM short term down 5 days later +0.12% -0.12%
6/9/2026 7:27:19 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later +6.20% -3.10%
6/8/2026 4:30:36 PM short term up 6 days later +5.02% +5.02%
6/5/2026 4:30:04 PM short term down 7 days later +3.84% -3.84%
6/5/2026 2:00:05 AM short term down 7 days later +3.84% -3.84%
6/4/2026 4:40:40 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.55% +0.78%
6/3/2026 7:30:39 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -4.35% +2.18%
5/29/2026 6:00:30 PM short term up 7 days later -2.68% -2.68%
5/27/2026 3:30:10 PM short term up 5 days later +1.44% +1.44%
5/20/2026 9:00:35 PM short term up 5 days later +0.42% +0.42%
5/19/2026 1:00:18 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.63% -0.31%
5/14/2026 3:30:29 PM short term up 5 days later +0.59% +0.59%
5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM short term up 6 days later -0.24% -0.24%
5/9/2026 5:00:57 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.08% +3.08%
5/8/2026 7:01:43 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -1.11% -0.56%
5/6/2026 6:30:38 PM short term up 5 days later +1.75% +1.75%
5/1/2026 6:30:15 PM short term up 7 days later +6.04% +6.04%
5/1/2026 3:30:59 PM short term up 7 days later +6.04% +6.04%
4/30/2026 3:49:07 PM short term up 5 days later +3.21% +3.21%
4/29/2026 6:30:43 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +2.05% -1.03%
4/24/2026 2:00:48 AM short term down 7 days later +1.27% -1.27%
4/14/2026 2:01:03 AM short term up 5 days later +1.47% +1.47%
4/3/2026 2:00:27 AM short term up 7 days later +4.93% +4.93%
3/28/2026 1:00:55 AM short term down 7 days later +5.40% -5.40%
3/27/2026 1:00:06 AM short term down 7 days later +5.40% -5.40%
3/17/2026 1:00:03 AM short term up 5 days later -0.97% -0.97%
3/13/2026 1:00:26 AM short term down 7 days later -1.89% +1.89%
3/10/2026 1:00:27 AM short term up 5 days later -1.24% -1.24%
3/9/2026 3:30:01 PM short term up 6 days later -1.21% -1.21%
3/7/2026 2:01:09 AM short term down 5 days later -1.06% +1.06%
3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM short term down 5 days later -0.50% +0.50%
2/18/2026 5:01:08 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +0.72% -0.36%
2/14/2026 2:00:56 AM short term down 7 days later -0.10% +0.10%
2/5/2026 2:00:23 AM short term down 5 days later +0.50% -0.50%
2/4/2026 2:00:00 AM short term down 5 days later +2.36% -2.36%
1/27/2026 2:00:35 AM short term up 5 days later -1.09% -1.09%
11/20/2025 7:30:15 PM short term up 5 days later +4.11% +4.11%
11/18/2025 6:00:07 PM short term down 5 days later +0.95% -0.95%
11/7/2025 3:01:02 AM medium term up 21 days later -1.05% -1.05%
11/5/2025 8:18:35 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +1.61% +0.80%
11/3/2025 6:30:01 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +0.69% +0.35%
11/1/2025 1:00:33 AM short term up 7 days later -1.39% -1.39%
10/27/2025 5:01:01 PM short term up 6 days later -0.15% -0.15%
10/23/2025 3:00:52 AM short term cautious up 5 days later +3.00% +1.50%
10/8/2025 1:00:07 AM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.07% +1.03%
10/1/2025 5:00:02 PM short term up 5 days later -0.21% -0.21%
9/13/2025 1:29:51 AM short term up 7 days later +1.92% +1.92%
8/11/2025 5:30:31 PM short term up 6 days later -0.53% -0.53%
Show all 55 ndx results
rut
Russell finished up about a percent
31 calls
+7
slightly better than random
6/18/2026 1:00:06 AM short term down 5 days later +0.23% -0.23%
6/17/2026 7:00:30 PM short term up 5 days later -0.14% -0.14%
6/16/2026 3:33:45 PM short term up 5 days later +2.96% +2.96%
6/16/2026 2:00:34 AM short term cautious up 5 days later +2.96% +1.48%
6/15/2026 3:31:55 PM short term up 6 days later +2.22% +2.22%
6/13/2026 2:00:23 AM short term sharp up 7 days later +1.33% +1.99%
6/12/2026 2:00:09 AM short term sharp up 7 days later +1.33% +1.99%
6/11/2026 2:00:05 AM short term down 5 days later -0.88% +0.88%
6/9/2026 7:00:31 PM medium term up 20 days later +6.66% +6.66%
6/9/2026 3:42:43 PM short term up 5 days later +4.57% +4.57%
6/8/2026 11:37:26 PM medium term up 20 days later +5.00% +5.00%
6/5/2026 4:00:33 PM short term up 7 days later +3.84% +3.84%
6/5/2026 2:00:05 AM short term up 7 days later +3.84% +3.84%
5/29/2026 3:30:30 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -2.76% -1.38%
5/24/2026 4:30:31 PM medium term up 21 days later +3.34% +3.34%
5/21/2026 3:30:57 PM short term up 5 days later +1.77% +1.77%
5/19/2026 7:00:05 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +1.84% -0.92%
5/9/2026 5:00:57 PM medium term up 21 days later +2.30% +2.30%
5/8/2026 7:01:43 PM short term cautious up 7 days later -3.33% -1.66%
5/7/2026 10:23:56 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -0.60% +0.30%
4/24/2026 4:01:46 PM medium term up 21 days later -0.47% -0.47%
3/28/2026 1:00:55 AM short term up 7 days later +5.25% +5.25%
3/9/2026 3:30:01 PM short term down 6 days later -1.76% +1.76%
3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM short term down 5 days later -3.12% +3.12%
2/18/2026 5:01:08 PM short term up 5 days later -0.48% -0.48%
1/27/2026 2:00:35 AM short term down 5 days later -0.50% +0.50%
12/12/2025 11:34:07 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later +0.68% +0.34%
12/11/2025 6:01:13 PM short term up 5 days later -2.32% -2.32%
11/18/2025 6:00:07 PM short term down 5 days later +2.83% -2.83%
Show all 29 rut results
wti
oil dropped to the lowest prices we've seen since early March
113 calls
+0
no reliable edge (random outcomes)
6/19/2026 1:00:15 AM short term cautious down 7 days later -5.44% +2.72%
6/17/2026 9:13:17 PM short term down 5 days later -4.43% +4.43%
6/16/2026 4:30:12 PM short term down 5 days later -2.57% +2.57%
6/16/2026 3:33:45 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -2.57% +1.28%
6/16/2026 2:00:34 AM short term sharp down 5 days later -2.57% +3.85%
6/15/2026 7:16:33 PM short term down 6 days later -1.62% +1.62%
6/15/2026 3:48:45 PM short term sharp down 6 days later -1.62% +2.43%
6/11/2026 1:00:34 AM short term up 5 days later -9.53% -9.53%
6/9/2026 9:27:50 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -10.31% -5.15%
6/9/2026 7:27:19 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -10.31% -5.15%
6/9/2026 3:42:43 PM short term down 5 days later -10.31% +10.31%
6/4/2026 4:40:40 PM short term down 5 days later -0.56% +0.56%
6/3/2026 7:30:39 PM short term up 5 days later -5.20% -5.20%
6/3/2026 4:30:25 PM short term up 5 days later -5.20% -5.20%
6/3/2026 1:00:23 AM medium term cautious up 20 days later -24.40% -12.20%
6/1/2026 6:00:30 PM short term sharp up 6 days later -2.62% -3.94%
6/1/2026 3:30:31 PM short term up 6 days later -2.62% -2.62%
5/29/2026 6:00:30 PM medium term sharp up 21 days later -18.82% -28.22%
5/29/2026 4:00:33 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -0.93% +0.47%
5/28/2026 3:30:30 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +9.91% +4.96%
5/27/2026 7:19:54 PM short term down 5 days later +5.47% -5.47%
5/27/2026 7:00:32 PM medium term cautious down 20 days later -13.62% +6.81%
5/26/2026 4:30:11 PM short term down 5 days later -4.60% +4.60%
5/21/2026 7:00:03 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -9.20% -4.60%
5/20/2026 3:30:13 PM short term down 5 days later +0.26% -0.26%
5/19/2026 4:00:55 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -1.69% -0.84%
5/19/2026 1:00:18 AM medium term cautious down 20 days later -10.24% +5.12%
5/18/2026 3:30:42 PM short term down 5 days later -10.36% +10.36%
5/15/2026 7:01:24 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later -15.98% -7.99%
5/15/2026 3:30:02 PM short term cautious up 6 days later -11.10% -5.55%
5/15/2026 1:00:15 AM short term cautious up 6 days later -11.10% -5.55%
5/13/2026 4:07:44 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +6.52% +9.79%
5/12/2026 6:01:10 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +7.56% +3.78%
5/12/2026 3:43:59 PM short term up 5 days later +7.56% +7.56%
5/11/2026 6:01:37 PM short term up 6 days later +6.34% +6.34%
5/11/2026 4:33:03 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +6.34% +3.17%
5/11/2026 3:30:59 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +6.34% +3.17%
5/6/2026 7:01:28 PM short term up 5 days later +7.77% +7.77%
5/6/2026 6:30:38 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +7.77% -3.89%
5/5/2026 4:37:16 PM short term down 5 days later +3.14% -3.14%
5/5/2026 3:38:25 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +3.14% +1.57%
5/4/2026 3:36:16 PM short term sharp up 6 days later -4.11% -6.16%
5/1/2026 8:00:31 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later -9.23% -4.61%
5/1/2026 6:30:15 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -7.85% +3.92%
5/1/2026 5:30:10 PM short term cautious down 7 days later -7.85% +3.92%
5/1/2026 4:30:29 PM short term sharp up 7 days later -7.85% -11.77%
4/30/2026 6:01:11 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -6.73% -3.36%
4/29/2026 10:30:10 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -2.66% -4.00%
4/29/2026 6:30:43 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -2.66% -4.00%
4/29/2026 4:30:58 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -2.66% -4.00%
4/28/2026 6:01:12 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -0.43% -0.65%
4/28/2026 5:00:31 PM short term up 5 days later -0.43% -0.43%
4/28/2026 3:35:20 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -0.43% -0.65%
4/27/2026 6:00:43 PM short term up 6 days later +6.49% +6.49%
4/27/2026 4:30:46 PM short term up 6 days later +6.49% +6.49%
4/27/2026 3:45:31 PM short term cautious up 6 days later +6.49% +3.25%
4/24/2026 7:01:37 PM medium term cautious up 21 days later +12.75% +6.38%
4/24/2026 3:30:34 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +10.43% -5.21%
4/23/2026 4:30:51 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +13.22% +6.61%
4/22/2026 6:00:26 PM short term up 5 days later +4.26% +4.26%
4/21/2026 6:01:24 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +3.67% +5.50%
4/17/2026 7:15:05 PM short term down 7 days later +7.54% -7.54%
4/17/2026 6:00:59 PM short term down 7 days later +7.54% -7.54%
4/17/2026 3:32:53 PM short term cautious down 7 days later +7.54% -3.77%
4/17/2026 1:00:06 AM short term down 7 days later +7.54% -7.54%
4/14/2026 7:15:03 PM short term sharp down 5 days later -1.84% +2.76%
4/14/2026 4:31:13 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.84% +0.92%
4/14/2026 2:01:03 AM short term sharp down 5 days later -1.84% +2.76%
4/13/2026 4:31:01 PM short term up 6 days later -1.83% -1.83%
4/11/2026 2:00:47 AM short term sharp down 7 days later -9.56% +14.34%
4/9/2026 7:29:52 PM short term up 5 days later -5.47% -5.47%
4/9/2026 6:01:13 PM short term up 5 days later -5.47% -5.47%
4/8/2026 7:00:27 PM short term down 5 days later -6.73% +6.73%
4/3/2026 2:00:27 AM short term sharp up 7 days later -11.86% -17.79%
4/3/2026 12:14:01 AM short term sharp up 7 days later -11.86% -17.79%
4/2/2026 7:01:00 PM short term up 5 days later -15.36% -15.36%
3/31/2026 2:00:25 AM short term up 5 days later +12.28% +12.28%
3/27/2026 6:00:24 PM short term up 7 days later +9.26% +9.26%
3/26/2026 6:15:02 PM short term up 5 days later +0.48% +0.48%
3/24/2026 6:00:01 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +1.06% +0.53%
3/24/2026 4:30:32 PM short term cautious up 5 days later +13.91% +6.95%
3/24/2026 2:00:29 AM short term cautious down 5 days later +13.91% -6.95%
3/23/2026 6:00:33 PM medium term cautious up 20 days later +7.29% +3.64%
3/20/2026 7:58:07 PM short term up 7 days later +16.74% +16.74%
3/19/2026 3:39:50 PM short term up 5 days later -8.14% -8.14%
3/19/2026 2:34:25 PM short term cautious up 5 days later -8.14% -4.07%
3/19/2026 12:00:25 AM medium term cautious up 20 days later -0.46% -0.23%
3/18/2026 5:00:40 PM short term sharp up 5 days later -3.94% -5.91%
3/17/2026 6:01:27 PM short term up 5 days later -8.50% -8.50%
3/17/2026 2:31:24 PM short term up 5 days later -8.50% -8.50%
3/13/2026 1:00:26 AM short term up 7 days later -5.74% -5.74%
3/9/2026 6:15:03 PM short term up 6 days later +12.04% +12.04%
3/9/2026 5:30:33 PM short term up 6 days later +12.04% +12.04%
3/7/2026 2:01:09 AM short term sharp up 5 days later +8.59% +12.89%
3/6/2026 7:01:41 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +8.59% +12.89%
3/3/2026 7:15:05 PM short term sharp up 5 days later +26.94% +40.40%
1/7/2026 6:30:03 PM short term cautious down 5 days later +5.87% -2.93%
12/30/2025 10:30:10 PM long term down 61 days later +24.05% -24.05%
12/22/2025 5:01:11 PM short term up 6 days later -0.51% -0.51%
12/17/2025 4:30:43 PM short term up 5 days later +3.97% +3.97%
12/11/2025 7:30:17 PM short term down 5 days later -2.61% +2.61%
10/14/2025 5:34:13 PM short term cautious down 5 days later -1.29% +0.64%
9/25/2025 6:01:25 PM short term up 5 days later -6.00% -6.00%
8/7/2025 12:00:18 AM short term up 5 days later -1.93% -1.93%
Show all 104 wti results
yields
Fed held rates but nearly half of officials projected at least one rate hike before year-end, implying upward pressure on yields in the medium term as markets price in future tightening.

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