explicit
NDX
RUT
Oil
Metals
USD
Federal Reserve
9.0
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari 9.0
Central Bank
Neel Kashkari 9.0
3/4/2026 2:04:00 PM
yields
the neutral rate must be higher, at least in the near term.
Kashkari explicitly states his belief that the neutral rate is higher due to economic resilience. A higher neutral rate implies that policy is less restrictive than thought, which would put upward pressure on yields over the medium term as the market adjusts to this view.
| 2/25/2026 12:14:44 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +6.02% | -3.01% |
| 2/24/2026 5:28:52 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +3.80% | -1.90% |
| 1/31/2026 1:39:54 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -1.80% | +0.90% |
| 1/30/2026 4:06:49 PM | short term up | 7 days later | -1.80% | -1.80% |
| 1/21/2026 10:03:18 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.81% | -0.91% |
| 1/15/2026 8:49:33 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.50% | +0.25% |
| 1/15/2026 4:20:34 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.50% | +0.25% |
| 1/15/2026 12:26:20 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.52% | -0.26% |
| 1/13/2026 2:09:12 AM | short term up | 5 days later | +2.20% | +2.20% |
| 1/8/2026 11:18:05 PM | medium term down | 20 days later | +1.34% | -1.34% |
| 1/8/2026 5:00:02 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.34% | -0.67% |
| 12/23/2025 1:43:04 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.85% | -0.42% |
| 12/22/2025 6:49:39 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -1.27% | +0.64% |
| 12/19/2025 4:38:22 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +0.43% | -0.22% |
| 12/17/2025 4:02:54 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.53% | -0.27% |
| 12/12/2025 11:35:37 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -0.41% | +0.20% |
| 12/12/2025 7:30:18 PM | long term cautious down | 60 days later | -3.01% | +1.51% |
| 12/12/2025 4:27:07 PM | long term cautious down | 60 days later | -3.01% | +1.51% |
| 12/11/2025 8:07:07 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -0.17% | +0.08% |
| 12/10/2025 11:45:00 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.19% | -0.10% |
| 12/10/2025 10:06:22 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.19% | -0.10% |
| 12/10/2025 9:59:59 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.19% | -0.19% |
| 12/10/2025 9:58:25 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.19% | -0.19% |
| 12/8/2025 4:22:22 PM | short term down | 6 days later | -0.10% | +0.10% |
| 11/25/2025 1:10:38 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.45% | -1.23% |
| 11/25/2025 10:11:27 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.45% | -1.23% |
| 11/21/2025 4:18:30 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +3.57% | -1.78% |
| 11/18/2025 10:02:58 AM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.30% | +2.30% |
| 11/10/2025 7:15:17 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.58% | +0.29% |
| 11/7/2025 10:50:35 PM | medium term down | 21 days later | -0.34% | +0.34% |
| 11/4/2025 2:28:09 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.13% | +0.57% |
| 11/4/2025 2:28:09 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.13% | +0.57% |
| 11/3/2025 7:15:45 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.26% |
| 11/3/2025 5:15:56 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.25% | -0.62% |
| 11/3/2025 3:04:15 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.25% | +0.62% |
| 10/30/2025 5:30:59 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.12% | -0.06% |
| 10/30/2025 1:30:10 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.37% | -0.68% |
| 10/30/2025 1:00:07 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.37% | -0.68% |
| 10/29/2025 11:38:10 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 10:44:00 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.10% |
| 10/29/2025 10:11:32 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 10:00:33 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.98% | -0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:40:37 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.98% | -0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:34:46 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 9:30:01 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 9:19:58 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.98% | +0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:15:22 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.98% | -0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:15:00 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.98% | +0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:08:09 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -0.10% | -0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 9:05:01 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.98% | -0.49% |
| 10/29/2025 9:02:24 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/29/2025 8:57:22 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.10% | +0.05% |
| 10/27/2025 1:59:40 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +3.09% | -1.54% |
| 10/24/2025 8:55:32 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | +3.40% | -1.70% |
| 10/16/2025 6:04:41 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.35% | +0.67% |
| 10/16/2025 4:52:44 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +2.15% | -1.07% |
| 10/16/2025 4:01:47 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +2.15% | -1.07% |
| 10/15/2025 9:05:27 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +4.55% | -2.28% |
| 10/15/2025 8:00:24 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +4.55% | -2.28% |
| 10/15/2025 5:49:02 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.33% | +0.16% |
| 10/15/2025 1:03:55 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -0.33% | +0.49% |
| 10/15/2025 12:59:00 PM | short term sharp down | 5 days later | -0.33% | +0.49% |
| 10/14/2025 11:49:39 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.06% | +0.53% |
| 10/14/2025 10:05:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.48% | +0.74% |
| 10/14/2025 9:31:14 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +1.06% | -0.53% |
| 10/14/2025 9:15:03 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.06% | +0.53% |
| 10/14/2025 7:56:12 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +1.06% | +0.53% |
| 10/10/2025 6:15:07 PM | medium term cautious down | 22 days later | +1.36% | -0.68% |
| 10/3/2025 6:45:12 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -3.96% | -1.98% |
| 10/3/2025 5:48:20 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -3.96% | +1.98% |
| 10/3/2025 5:24:31 PM | medium term cautious down | 21 days later | -3.96% | +1.98% |
| 9/30/2025 10:13:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -0.68% |
| 9/30/2025 10:13:15 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.36% | -0.68% |
| 9/29/2025 4:51:12 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -3.91% | -1.95% |
| 9/26/2025 3:41:14 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.24% | +1.62% |
| 9/26/2025 7:55:36 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.24% | +1.62% |
| 9/25/2025 9:08:46 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.04% | +2.52% |
| 9/25/2025 6:06:52 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.04% | +2.52% |
| 9/25/2025 4:23:00 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.04% | +2.52% |
| 9/25/2025 2:39:06 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.93% | +0.97% |
| 9/23/2025 8:17:55 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 9/23/2025 4:45:06 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 9/23/2025 4:21:15 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.01% | +1.51% |
| 9/22/2025 10:12:27 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/22/2025 7:01:00 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.51% | -0.25% |
| 9/19/2025 7:19:43 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.05% | +0.02% |
| 9/19/2025 5:36:26 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -2.22% | -1.11% |
| 9/19/2025 4:18:23 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -2.22% | +1.11% |
| 9/19/2025 4:05:04 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -2.22% | +1.11% |
| 9/19/2025 3:30:59 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | -0.05% | +0.02% |
| 9/18/2025 11:18:42 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.22% | -0.11% |
| 9/18/2025 2:13:16 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.19% | -0.10% |
| 9/18/2025 2:00:01 AM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.22% | -0.11% |
| 9/17/2025 11:14:58 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +0.61% | +0.30% |
| 9/17/2025 10:48:21 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/17/2025 10:45:01 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/17/2025 10:16:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/17/2025 10:12:22 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.61% | -0.30% |
| 9/17/2025 10:09:39 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/17/2025 10:03:46 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.19% |
| 9/17/2025 10:00:17 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +0.39% | -0.39% |
| 9/16/2025 3:38:44 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +1.64% | -0.82% |
| 9/16/2025 3:30:44 PM | short term down | 5 days later | +1.64% | -1.64% |
| 9/15/2025 4:08:28 PM | short term down | 6 days later | +2.91% | -2.91% |
| 9/12/2025 2:49:43 PM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +2.70% | -1.35% |
| 9/10/2025 2:40:48 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/10/2025 9:59:15 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +0.37% | -0.19% |
| 9/8/2025 3:31:50 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -0.98% | +0.49% |
| 9/4/2025 5:58:21 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | +2.10% | +1.05% |
| 9/3/2025 5:47:14 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.69% | +0.35% |
| 9/3/2025 5:46:57 PM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | -0.69% | +1.04% |
| 9/3/2025 4:33:59 PM | short term down | 5 days later | -2.44% | +2.44% |
| 9/3/2025 4:33:52 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -2.44% | +1.22% |
| 8/29/2025 4:29:23 PM | short term cautious up | 6 days later | -5.40% | -2.70% |
| 8/29/2025 2:20:50 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -5.40% | +2.70% |
| 8/29/2025 2:11:04 PM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -5.40% | +2.70% |
| 8/29/2025 10:48:16 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -5.40% | +2.70% |
| 8/29/2025 10:10:30 AM | short term down | 6 days later | -5.40% | +5.40% |
| 8/29/2025 2:27:21 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | -5.40% | +2.70% |
| 8/28/2025 2:23:04 PM | long term up | 60 days later | -5.77% | -5.77% |
| 8/27/2025 5:54:14 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.11% | +1.56% |
| 8/27/2025 4:26:23 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -3.11% | +1.56% |
| 8/26/2025 6:50:08 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -5.00% | -2.50% |
| 8/26/2025 8:42:05 AM | short term cautious down | 6 days later | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 8/25/2025 5:57:59 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -5.26% | +2.63% |
| 8/25/2025 8:38:14 AM | short term cautious down | 7 days later | +0.45% | -0.22% |
| 8/22/2025 11:32:42 PM | short term down | 8 days later | +0.05% | -0.05% |
| 8/22/2025 9:51:01 PM | short term cautious down | 8 days later | +0.05% | -0.02% |
| 8/22/2025 8:49:41 PM | short term cautious down | 8 days later | +0.05% | -0.02% |
| 8/22/2025 8:13:21 PM | short term cautious down | 8 days later | +0.05% | -0.02% |
| 8/20/2025 4:24:10 PM | short term cautious up | 5 days later | -1.66% | -0.83% |
| 8/15/2025 8:22:39 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -6.80% | -3.40% |
| 8/15/2025 4:22:33 PM | medium term cautious up | 21 days later | -6.80% | -3.40% |
| 8/14/2025 11:48:29 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -0.74% | +0.37% |
| 8/14/2025 6:32:32 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -3.51% | -1.76% |
| 8/12/2025 11:45:00 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 8/12/2025 11:24:12 PM | medium term sharp down | 20 days later | +0.92% | -1.38% |
| 8/12/2025 4:25:35 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | +0.92% | -0.46% |
| 8/12/2025 7:46:47 AM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | +2.43% | -1.22% |
| 8/7/2025 7:17:58 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.82% | +0.91% |
| 8/7/2025 6:16:13 PM | short term cautious down | 5 days later | -1.10% | +0.55% |
| 8/7/2025 5:34:00 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -1.82% | +0.91% |
| 8/6/2025 4:32:08 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 8/6/2025 4:30:01 PM | medium term cautious down | 20 days later | -0.14% | +0.07% |
| 7/30/2025 11:06:39 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.47% | -0.73% |
| 7/30/2025 9:54:37 PM | medium term cautious up | 20 days later | -1.47% | -0.73% |
